Fortune | FORTUNE 09月18日
美国房市:房主资产缩水,但仍处高位
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美国房市正经历一场调整。疫情期间房价飙升带来的房主资产大幅增长已趋于平缓,甚至出现下跌。根据数据显示,过去一年美国平均房主损失了约9200美元的房产净值。这种转变是由于房价增长放缓、借贷成本高企以及供需失衡共同作用的结果。尽管如此,美国房主平均仍拥有约307,000美元的房产净值,这仍然是历史上的第三高水平。部分地区如华盛顿特区和佛罗里达州的房价下跌幅度较大,导致房主净值缩水,但对大多数拥有健康贷款价值比的房主而言,此次调整被视为“毛毛雨”,而非危机。

🏠 房主资产增长放缓:疫情期间房价飙升带来的房主净值快速增长已明显放缓,转为平台期,甚至在部分地区出现下跌。这是由房价升值减速、高昂的借贷成本以及市场供需不平衡共同驱动的。

💰 平均资产缩水但仍处高位:虽然平均而言,美国房主在过去一年损失了约9200美元的房产净值,但整体房主仍然拥有相当可观的房产净值,平均约为307,000美元,这是历史上的第三高水平。

📉 负资产风险增加但非危机:尽管负资产(房屋价值低于贷款余额)房屋数量有所增加,但专家认为目前尚未达到恐慌级别。这更多是为市场提供了一个预警信号,多数市场仍保持稳定。

📊 长期趋势与市场消化:当前的市场状况并非崩溃,而是对过去几年不可持续增长的一种市场消化和长期修正。未来房产增值将更加温和,季节性波动对资产变化的影响会更显著。

Owning a home is considered one of the best and most financially savvy a person can make—if you can afford it. After all, it’s the largest asset class in the largest financial market in the world, and the 30-year mortgage is a unique American invention that (theoretically) invites everyone into the American Dream of homeownership.

Buying a house allows people to build equity and wealth over time by making mortgage payments that reduce the loan principal and increase the owner’s stake in the home until, ideally, it’s owned outright. Typically, real estate appreciates, which adds to the homeowner’s wealth. In fact, owning a home during the past several years has been particularly lucrative as home prices spectactularly increased during the pandemic

But since the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates aggressively in 2023, home-price appreciation has been either broadly flat or falling across the U.S., the average American homeowner lost approximately $9,200 in equity during the past year, according to data from information services company Cotality (formerly CoreLogic).

“Home equity growth has shifted from a period of explosive gains in the years surrounding 2022, into a plateau,” Leo Pond, a real-estate advisor with Four Seasons Sotheby’s International Realty, told Fortune. He explained the transition is driven by a combination of slowing price appreciation, elevated borrowing costs, and supply imbalances. 

“This isn’t a collapse, but it is a market digesting several years of unsustainable growth,” he said. “It is a long-term market correction.”

Still, the average U.S. homeowner still has about $307,000 in accumulated home equity, according to Cotality. That’s the third-highest figure on record, according to Cotality Chief Economist Selma Hepp.

“Even in markets where recent price declines have pulled down average equity, such as the District of Columbia and Florida, borrowers on average hold almost $350,000 and $290,000 in equity, respectively,” Selma said in a statement. Home prices in Washington, D.C. and Florida dropped the most, down $34,000 and $32,000, respectively.

“Not to sound dismissive of $9,200, money is money [but] when compared to the six-figure equity many homeowners still hold, $9,200 doesn’t seem as dire,” Jules Garcia, a real-estate agent with Coldwell Banker Warburg, told Fortune. “It’s definitely more of a concern for homeowners who bought at market peaks, are experiencing more pronounced local market declines, and have higher sale urgency.”

‘Small haircut on top of a very full head of hair’

Zooming out, the total homeowner equity for borrowers with a mortgage totaled $17.5 trillion in Q2 2025, down 0.8% or $141.5 billion year over year, according to Cotality. Meanwhile, the number of homes with “negative equity,” meaning when a homeowner owes more on their mortgage than the current market value of their home, increased 18% year-over-year to 1.15 million homes.  

“Despite that being a concerning number, it’s not a panic level just yet,” Garcia said. “It’s a big warning sign, but there are still many local markets showing stability.”

To put it in perspective, many homeowners added gobs of money to their home equity during the pandemic.

“Many households added far more than during the pandemic, so this adjustment is a moderate correction rather than a crisis,” Pond said. “For the majority of owners with healthy loan-to-value ratios, this is a small haircut on top of a very full head of hair.”

Still, it’s always important to continue to follow home appreciation—especially in the case the homeowner is looking to sell.

“Home prices this year have experienced the slowest rate of growth since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. As appreciation remains modest and even declines in some markets, home equity accumulation is projected to follow suit,” Hepp said. “With the reduced pace of appreciation, seasonal fluctuations in home prices will have a pronounced impact on equity changes.”

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房产市场 房主净值 美国经济 住房 房地产 Housing Market Home Equity US Economy Housing Real Estate
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