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增长是解决可负担性问题的关键
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文章认为,经济增长是解决当前可负担性问题的核心,而非仅仅关注低利率。作者指出,联邦储备委员会设定的2%增长目标不足以解决问题,主张应追求3%-4%的历史平均增长率,以创造更多收入,提升中低收入群体的购买力。文章批评了“拜登时期”的通货膨胀对购买力的侵蚀,并强调了特朗普政府的减税、放松管制和能源政策(“drill baby drill”)是促进经济增长的有效手段。尽管面临挑战,作者对特朗普政府的增长政策及其带来的经济效益表示乐观,并认为这将最终解决可负担性问题。

📈 **经济增长是解决可负担性问题的根本途径**:文章核心观点认为,与其过度关注低利率,不如致力于实现更高水平的经济增长(目标3%-4%)。作者认为,持续的经济增长能够创造更多就业机会和收入,从而直接提升民众的购买力,有效解决可负担性问题,使得中低收入群体能够更好地实现经济上的向上流动。

📉 **通货膨胀侵蚀购买力,阻碍可负担性**:文章指出,在“拜登时期”出现的通货膨胀严重损害了民众的实际收入和购买力。即使收入有所增加,高通胀也会使其贬值,导致人们在购买房屋、汽车或享受假期等方面面临更大困难。因此,控制通胀并稳定物价是提升可负担性的重要前提。

💡 **特朗普政府的增长导向政策**:文章高度评价了特朗普政府的政策组合,包括减税、放松管制以及“drill baby drill”的能源政策。这些政策被视为“更具增长性”,能够刺激经济活动,吸引投资,创造就业,从而带来更广泛的经济繁荣。作者认为,这些政策的积极效应正在显现,并有望在未来进一步解决可负担性挑战。

💰 **能源价格下降与经济效益**:文章强调,“drill baby drill”政策带来的较低能源价格(例如汽油价格)能够渗透到整个经济体系,有效拉低通货膨胀。较低的能源成本不仅减轻了家庭的日常开支负担,也降低了企业的生产成本,进一步促进了经济的整体健康发展和可负担性的提升。

🚀 **特朗普是自里根以来最“增长主义”的总统**:文章将特朗普总统与里根总统相比较,认为特朗普是自里根以来最推崇经济增长的总统。文章提到,特朗普的税收政策和推动的经济增长模式,与里根执政时期相似,都带来了显著的经济繁荣和民众财富的增长,这被视为解决可负担性问题的历史经验。

Everyone nowadays is obsessing about affordability. I get that, but I have a thought. Let’s not make it any harder than it needs to be. The solution to affordability is growth. Growth solves a lot of problems, but especially for affordability.

The Federal Reserve and other government bureaucracies say we have to settle for less than 2% growth. That will never solve affordability. We must have policies that are growthier. I’m thinking 3% to 4%, which is actually the historical norm. That kind of prosperity will make everyone happy. It is growthier, and it will lead to money-er for our middle class and even lower income folks who are trying to climb the ladder. 3% to 4% growth produces a lot of income. And that income can be used to buy a new home, or whatever else you want.

I think interest rates are too high, but I don’t think that’s the biggest obstacle to making people happier and live more affordably. I think there’s not enough income because we have not had enough growth for quite some time. And yes, we’ve had too much inflation during the awful Biden years. And inflation destroys the purchasing power of income.

Now, once again, let me say I don’t want to make this any harder than it needs to be. President Trump has a policy of tax cuts, deregulation, drill baby drill, and reciprocal free and fair trade. That is a growthier policy. It is just what the doctor ordered. And it’s been passed into law and we need a bit of patience to watch it solve the affordability problem.

As NEC Director Kevin Hassett is telling us, the typical worker lost $3,400 during the Biden years. That’s a killer. But already the Trumpian growth policy has recouped about $1,200. So, a third is back, but that’s not good enough. And I understand the people who suffered from Biden’s failed big government socialism.

Nonetheless, even with these stock market corrections that come and go, the S&P 500 stock index is up 35% since the April dip. About 135 million Americans are sharing in that. And total household net worth is about $180 trillion. That is a remarkable achievement for our economy.

Coming back to earth, drill, baby, drill is producing a $2.80 average gasoline price in 28 states. And it’s going to go lower, and lower energy prices permeate the entire economy and will drag down inflation. Just give it some time. Next year perhaps as much as $200 billion worth of tax refunds for tips, overtime, seniors, auto loans will help solve affordability.  It’s massively pro-growth. All the business tax incentives are hugely pro-growth. We’re building factories that will be hiring workers with good pay and that provides all the income that I describe as money-er for the average working family. Money-er means you can fix up your existing home. Money-er means you’ll be able to buy a new car. Money-er means you can take a wonderful vacation.

But here’s the point, Mr. Trump is the growthiest President since Ronald Reagan. His second tax cut coming after the first one in his first term is remarkable. Reagan also had two major tax cuts and grew the economy at roughly 5% for nearly 8 years. 5%. Growthier. Money-er.

So, I know the affordability issue is going to continue and I also know that the Schumer Democrats are doing everything they can to sabotage Mr. Trump’s successes. But I know the President's gonna stick with it. And I know that his advisors are gonna fan out through the country and do a good selling job. And I know that growth and the prosperity growth brings is the ultimate solution.

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经济增长 可负担性 通货膨胀 特朗普政策 能源价格 Economic Growth Affordability Inflation Trump Policies Energy Prices
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