Fortune | FORTUNE 11月12日 18:49
CEO们应对经济变化与AI浪潮
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文章聚焦于CEO们如何应对当前经济环境的变化和人工智能(AI)带来的颠覆性影响。前亚特兰大联储主席丹尼斯·洛克哈特将经济担忧比喻为“青蛙煮沸”,强调长期隐性变化而非突发事件。CEO们正通过全面拥抱AI、保留关键技术人才、多元化供应链以及在美国本土发展机器人制造等方式积极转型。尽管对全球经济的悲观情绪有所缓解,但AI已成为新的焦点,多数CEO预计其在未来几年内将对核心业务产生重大影响。文章还提及了美国航班取消、美联储加息分歧、限制代理咨询机构影响、AMD的AI芯片增长前景、软银出售英伟达股份、派拉蒙的远程办公成本以及Meta首席AI科学家离职等近期商业动态。

📈 **经济前景与CEO情绪转变:** 尽管前亚特兰大联储主席丹尼斯·洛克哈特用“青蛙煮沸”来形容经济面临的长期隐性挑战,但CEO们对全球经济的整体情绪较今年早些时候有所改善。一项调查显示,对未来一年经济持悲观态度的CEO比例已从58%下降至32%,部分原因在于关税并未像预期那样严重扰乱全球贸易。

🤖 **拥抱AI与技术转型:** 人工智能(AI)已成为CEO们关注的焦点,60%的受访者预计AI将在未来一到三年内对其核心流程产生显著或颠覆性影响。各公司正采取不同策略应对,包括软件公司“全力押注”AI以在两年内实现投资回报,以及汽车供应商通过多元化供应链来应对全球格局演变,机器人公司则着眼于在美国本土“机器人制造机器人”以规避关税风险。

💼 **关键技能与应对策略:** 面对快速变化的市场环境,CEO们认识到“成长型思维”和“情商”是驾驭变革浪潮的关键技能。此外,文章还列举了其他重要商业动态,如美国航班因政府停摆而大面积取消、美联储官员在加息问题上的分歧、白宫考虑限制代理咨询机构的影响力、AMD对AI芯片驱动的强劲营收增长预测、软银出售英伟达股份引发市场担忧、派拉蒙因强制返岗政策产生的巨额遣散费,以及Meta首席AI科学家离职等,这些都构成了当前商业环境的重要组成部分。

We kicked things off with former Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart, who outlined the state of the economy and memorably said that it wasn’t “frog choking” conditions he was most worried about, but “frog boiling”—in his words, “the creeping, long-term changes where you can’t point to a particular event, necessarily, but over time you wake up and find you’re in a different world.”

So how did the CEOs say they’re managing change? 

For one software firm, it’s a “go all in” on AI with the ability to “answer the ROI question in about 24 months.” For another, it’s “hold on to your best developers” and “train up” everyone to leverage new tech. For an auto supplier, it’s diversifying your supply chain to deal with evolving relationships on the global stage; for a robotics company, it’s “robots building robots” in the U.S. where tariffs won’t wreck the balance sheet. And, of course, it’s seizing fresh opportunities amid the tumult.

Broadly, CEOs are feeling more upbeat about the global economy than they were earlier this year. In an October survey of chief executives conducted by Fortune and Deloitte, out yesterday, 32% of respondents described themselves as pessimistic about the economy over the next year, down from 58% in April. One reason for the shift in sentiment is the fact that tariffs have not disrupted global trade as feared. 

CEOs have shifted their focus to a different kind of disruption—that driven by AI. Sixty percent of chief execs say AI will have either a significant (45%) or transformational (15%) impact on their core processes over the next one to three years.

Drawing from the survey, Deloitte U.S. CEO Jason Girzadas highlighted the importance of a “growth mindset” and “emotional intelligence” as top skills to ride the wave.

Many thanks to sponsor Deloitte (which also sponsors this newsletter) for helping to make the conversation happen.

More news below.

Contact CEO Daily via Diane Brady at diane.brady@fortune.com

Top news

Flight chaos

As the U.S. shutdown drags on, government-mandated flight cancellations are crippling major U.S. airports. Cancellations representing 5% of all daily flights hit main hubs in Chicago and Atlanta on Tuesday; at New York’s LaGuardia, 12% of flights were scrapped. The shutdown could end soon, but the Federal Aviation Administration has declined to say when air travel will return to normal.

Fracture at the Fed

Federal Reserve officials are split over a December rate cut as they differ on which threat is more urgent: ongoing inflation or a cooling labor market. Even the availability of official government data might not bridge the rift. 

Limiting proxy advisors’ influence

The White House is considering an executive order to limit the power of proxy advisors like ISS and Glass Lewis and index-fund managers like BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street, the WSJ reports. The proxy firms, in particular, have drawn ire from CEOs like Jamie Dimon who say they have conflicts of interest in making shareholder recommendations. 

AMD’s revenue growth 

AMD CEO Lisu Su said “insatiable demand” for AI chips could fuel revenue growth of 35% per year for the next three to five years. Much of that will come from its data center business, which Su forecasts to grow at 80% over the same period. 

SoftBank sinks on Nvidia sale

SoftBank Group’s announcement Tuesday morning that it sold its entire $5.8 billion stake in Nvidia has spooked investors who are already nervous about inflated tech valuations. Shares in SoftBank plunged as much as 10% on Tuesday, touching a one-month low. 

Paramount Skydance's RTO losses 

Company disclosures from Paramount Skydance released this week reveal that 600 employees in New York and Los Angeles rejected the company’s five day return-to-office plan. The total cost of severance packages amounted to $185 million.

Chief AI scientist to leave Meta

Yann LeCun, chief AI scientist at Meta, has reportedly told colleagues that he is leaving the company in the next few months, per those familiar with the conversations who spoke to the Financial Times. LeCun has been working on AI at Meta for more than a decade but is reportedly exiting to establish his own startup.

The markets

S&P 500 futures are up 0.35% this morning. The last session closed up 0.21%. STOXX Europe 600 was up 0.59% in early trading. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was down 0.07% in early trading. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 0.43%. China’s CSI 300 was down 0.13%. The South Korea KOSPI was up 1.07%. India’s NIFTY 50 is up 0.70%. Bitcoin was flat at $105K.

Around the watercooler

Ford CEO says a ‘shocking’ discovery after taking apart rival Tesla and Chinese EVs led to a ‘brutal’ business decision by Marco Quiroz-Gutierrez

Trump calls his 50-year mortgage idea ‘not even a big deal’ while insisting ‘the economy is the strongest it’s ever been’ by Nick Lichtenberg

Shares of Winklevoss’s Gemini sag as crypto firm losses grow by Carlos Garcia

Apple is now selling a $150 sling for your iPhone made by the same designer who created Steve Jobs’ iconic black turtleneck by Dave Smith

CEO Daily is compiled and edited by Joey Abrams and Claire Zillman.

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