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富豪热议马姆达尼胜选,探讨经济公平与年轻世代诉求
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Zohran Mamdani以民主社会主义者身份赢得纽约市长选举,引发了包括摩根大通CEO杰米·戴蒙在内的商界领袖的关注与讨论。尽管部分富豪曾投入巨资反对其竞选,但如今面临现实,一些人如激进投资人比尔·阿克曼已表示祝贺。科技界亿万富翁查马斯·帕利哈皮蒂亚则引用彼得·蒂尔的观点,认为过多的学生债务和负担不起的住房导致年轻人对资本主义体系产生疏离感。Mamdani的胜利很大程度上归功于年轻选民的支持,他们对高昂的租金和生活成本尤为关注,Mamdani提出的冻结租金、普及儿童保育和增加富人税等政策,正切中年轻世代的痛点,即便温和派政客也开始强调经济可负担性。

💰 亿万富翁对Zohran Mamdani的当选反应复杂,既有疑虑也有对其政策的探讨。摩根大通CEO杰米·戴蒙对资本主义堡垒出现社会主义者表示惊讶,但愿意与其接触。部分富豪曾投入巨资反对,但现在也开始祝贺,显示出对选举结果的接受。这种反应凸显了社会经济理念在商界引发的广泛讨论。

🏠 高昂的生活成本,尤其是纽约市惊人的租金水平(中位数近3600美元,占家庭收入55%),是Mamdani赢得年轻选民支持的关键因素。他的竞选承诺,如冻结约100万套租金稳定公寓的租金,推出全市范围的普及儿童保育,以及提高对最富有居民的税收以筹集40亿美元用于社会项目,直接回应了年轻人对经济不平等和住房负担能力的担忧。

💡 彼得·蒂尔在2020年的一份备忘录中,通过查马斯·帕利哈皮蒂亚的转发,引发了对年轻一代转向社会主义原因的思考。蒂尔认为,过多的学生债务和缺乏可负担住房导致年轻人长期处于负资本状态,从而可能让他们背离资本主义体系。他强调,不应简单地将年轻人的社会主义倾向视为愚蠢或被洗脑,而应努力理解其背后的原因。

📊 Mamdani的胜利并非孤例,其背后是年轻一代对经济公平的诉求。尽管特朗普在2024年赢得了更多年轻选民的支持,但Mamdani的当选证明了以经济公平为核心的进步主义议程能够获得广泛响应。这表明,理解并解决年轻世代在经济上面临的挑战,对于未来的政治格局至关重要。

Zohran Mamdani’s election has billionaires searching for answers. One of them thinks he’s found an answer—from another billionaire. The 34-year-old democratic socialist’s definitive victory in Tuesday’s New York City mayoral election brings an odd fact reality to life. As JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon mused onstage at the Fortune Most Powerful Women summit in late October, “it is odd to have the bastion of American capitalism with a socialist” coming to the mayor’s office. Still, Dimon has been open to engaging with Mamdani, unlike many of America’s wealthiest business leaders, who put an estimated $22 million behind the effort to defeat the upstart from Queens and are now grappling with the fallout.

To be sure, some of New York’s elite in finance and tech are now offering their congratulations to Mamdami after having poured millions into keeping him away from the mayor’s office. One vocal critic, activist investor Bill Ackman congratulated the mayor-elect Tuesday after having reportedly donated $1.75 million to oppose him. It’s an open question just how leftist Mamdani will be as he governs, but Dimon noted in conversation with Fortune editor-in-chief Alyson Shontell that “he was part of that socialist democratic thing, which literally is more Marxist than socialist—and I read it—but I don’t know what he believes in that.”

One wealthy elite grappling with ostensibly spreading socialism is Chamath Palihapitiya, the Silicon Valley venture capital billionaire and former “SPAC king,” known for his investments in special purpose acquisition companies. He recirculated on X a 2020 note from Thiel that argued, in Palihapitiya’s words, about how “too much student debt and lack of affordable housing keeps young people with negative capital for too long. And without a stake in the capitalist system, they will turn against it.”

In the 2020 email correspondence to Mark Zuckerberg and Marc Andreessen, Thiel wrote that “if one has no stake in the capitalist system, then one may well turn against it.” Thiel also implied that he was taking the millennial generation’s then-well-publicized turn toward socialism seriously, writing of a “broken generational compact.”

Mamdami swept New York City’s mayoral election this week, in part thanks to broad support from young voters. An estimated 78% of voters ages 18 to 29 cast their ballot for Mamdami, according to exit polls. His success has brought renewed attention to high rent prices in New York City. The median rent in the city stands at $3,599 per month as of the third quarter, according to Realtor.com, an amount representing around 55% of the typical household’s income.

Seemingly striking a chord with his young coalition are proposals to tackle New York City’s historic unaffordability. Mamdami’s platform included ideas such as freezing rents on about 1 million rent-stabilized apartments, launching city-wide universal childcare, and increasing taxes on the city’s wealthiest residents to potentially raise $4 billion for social initiatives.  

Even more moderate victors from Tuesday’s elections have stressed affordability. New Jersey’s Gov.-elect Mikie Sherrill, from a more centrist wing of the party, said after her victory, “The reason I was so focused on affordability issues is because my communities are focused on affordability issues and how they’re going to be successful.”

President Trump himself argued on Wednesday that the U.S. has “the greatest economy right now,” speaking onstage at Miami’s America Business Forum. “A lot of people don’t see that,” he said, adding that if people don’t talk about how great things are, “then you can do not so well in elections.” 

Thiel himself made no public statements on Mamdami but has previously supported Republican candidates including President Trump with a $1 million contribution during his first run for office in 2016. He later stepped down his political activity after the 2022 midterms but has since returned to political advocacy with donations to the GOP and Republican candidates. 

While Mamdami’s win represents a leap forward for progressive politicians, it’s too soon to say definitively that young people are broadly leaning leftward. President Trump made major strides with young people in 2024, capturing 46% of voters ages 18 to 29, compared to 36% when he ran in 2020, according to the Tufts Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement.

Still, Thiel’s 2020 note made clear that any rejection of the U.S. capitalist system in young people should not be taken lightly.

“I would be the last person to advocate for socialism. But when 70% of Millennials say they are pro-socialist, we need to do better than simply dismiss them by saying that they are stupid or entitled or brainwashed; we should try and understand why,” he wrote.

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Zohran Mamdani 纽约市长选举 民主社会主义 经济公平 生活成本 年轻世代 亿万富翁 资本主义 彼得·蒂尔 Zohran Mamdani New York City Mayor Election Democratic Socialism Economic Fairness Cost of Living Young Generation Billionaires Capitalism Peter Thiel
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