Fortune | FORTUNE 14小时前
知名投资者迈克尔·布里押注人工智能泡沫破裂
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知名投资者迈克尔·布里(Michael Burry)在对人工智能(AI)行业估值过高的担忧下,采取了实际行动。他的对冲基金Scion Asset Management在第三季度购买了超过10亿美元的英伟达(Nvidia)和Palantir的看跌期权,押注这两家科技巨头的股价将下跌。布里此前曾通过其在《大空头》中的预见性洞察而闻名。他近期在社交媒体上发布的关于市场泡沫的言论,以及对科技股的悲观看法,引发了广泛关注。尽管Palantir的CEO亚历克斯·卡普对布里的押注表示不解,但AI行业的估值过高问题已成为市场关注焦点,多家科技公司股价近期出现下跌。

📈 迈克尔·布里通过其对冲基金Scion Asset Management,在第三季度购买了超过10亿美元的英伟达(Nvidia)和Palantir的看跌期权。这表明他对比特币等科技公司当前估值过高的担忧,并押注其股价将下跌。此举与他过往在2008年金融危机中的预见性决策相呼应,引发市场对AI行业泡沫的讨论。

💡 布里通过其在社交媒体上的言论,包括引用关于市场泡沫的图表,表达了他对当前AI热潮中估值膨胀的担忧。他暗示,在某些市场环境下,规避风险是明智的选择。Palantir的CEO亚历克斯·卡普则公开表示不解,认为布里做空的恰恰是当前AI领域最赚钱的公司。

📉 AI行业虽然经历了创纪录的支出,但盈利能力尚未显著体现,这加剧了市场对潜在泡沫的担忧。周二,包括Palantir和英伟达在内的多家科技公司股价出现下跌,Palantir在公布财报后股价一度下跌16%。高盛和摩根士丹利的CEO也预测未来12-24个月内可能出现显著的市场回调。

Storied investor Michael Burry has talked the AI-bubble talk, and now he’s walking the walk.

Burry, made famous in the 2015 film The Big Short for his prescience on the 2008 housing market collapse, disclosed some cynical bets against tech giants Nvidia and Palantir amid concerns of AI company valuations swelling beyond their true worth.

Scion Asset Management, Burry’s hedge fund, bought more than $1 billion in put options on the two tech companies, according to regulatory filings released on Monday for the quarter ending on Sept. 30. A put refers to an options contract that allows the buyer to profit when share prices decline. Scion also disclosed call options on Pfizer and Halliburton

Burry has offered cryptic social media posts about market omens: “Sometimes, we see bubbles,” Burry said in a recent X post. “Sometimes, there is something to do about it. Sometimes, the only winning move is not to play.”

He followed up with a post on Monday showing three graphics, including one published by Bloomberg last month depicting how much of the AI boom is being propped up by partnerships with two companies, Nvidia and OpenAI. Another graph showed similar patterns in tech capital expenditure growth between today and the dot-com era.

Scion disclosed a put on Nvidia in the first quarter of this year and liquidated nearly its entire equity portfolio. While the fund’s earlier filing said the disclosed puts “may serve to hedge long positions which are not eligible to be reported,” the most recent filing did not contain the same statement.

Palantir CEO Alex Karp rebuked Burry’s move in an interview with CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Tuesday.

“The two companies he’s shorting are the ones making all the money, which is super weird,” Karp said. “The idea that chips and ontology is what you want to short is batsh-t crazy.”

“He’s actually putting a short on AI….It was us and Nvidia,” he added.

A swelling AI bubble

Burry is not the only one heeding warnings about the AI industry, which has seen record spending but little profitability so far. The Nasdaq fell 1.5% immediately upon opening on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 initially dropped about 1%. Tech stocks are leading the nosedive, including Palantir, which saw its share price drop as much as 16% following its earnings report on Monday, despite beating revenue expectations.

“Their results were good, but markets were disappointed at the lack of company visibility for the whole of 2026,” Deutsche Bank researcher Jim Reid said in a note to investors.

Nvidia was similarly lagging, down more than 2% as of Tuesday morning. Last week, the semiconductor giant became the world’s first $5 trillion company. Oracle, Microsoft, and Apple, among other tech firms, are also trading down.

Nvidia and Palantir shares are up about 46% and 157% year-to-date, respectively.

The markets’ precipitous drops on Tuesday also followed comments from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley CEOs saying they expect a major stock market correction. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said at the Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit in Hong Kong on Tuesday there would likely be a 10% to 20% drawdown in equity markets in the next 12 to 24 months. Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick agreed.

“We should also welcome the possibility that there would be drawdowns, 10-to-15% drawdowns that are not driven by some sort of macro cliff effect,” he said.

Scion Asset Management did not respond to Fortune’s request for comment.

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