Fortune | FORTUNE 前天 20:28
伯克希尔哈撒韦现金充裕,CEO交接在即,关注运营表现
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伯克希尔哈撒韦在第三季度末拥有巨额现金储备,尽管进行了多年来最大的一笔交易,但现金总量并未显著减少。公司正面临CEO的权力交接,副董事长格雷格·艾贝尔将于明年一月接任CEO,而沃伦·巴菲特将继续担任董事长。分析师预计,在艾贝尔接任后,投资者将寻求更多关于公司未来战略的细节,并可能敦促公司更好地利用其庞大的现金储备。尽管公司财务报告中的净利润受到投资组合估值波动的影响,但其核心运营业务,特别是保险板块,表现强劲,运营盈利大幅增长。然而,部分零售业务受到经济不确定性和消费者信心下降的影响,利润有所下滑。公司整体营收增长温和。

💰 **巨额现金储备与投资策略:** 尽管伯克希尔哈撒韦进行了近期最大规模的投资,但截至9月末,公司仍持有高达3817亿美元的现金。这表明公司在寻找具有吸引力的投资机会方面可能面临挑战,也引发了关于如何更有效地利用这些资金的讨论,包括回购股票或派发股息的可能性。公司尚未回购股票,暗示巴菲特认为自家股票仍被高估。

🚀 **CEO平稳过渡与未来展望:** 备受关注的CEO交接将在明年1月进行,由副董事长格雷格·艾贝尔接任,巴菲特将继续担任董事长。分析师普遍认为,艾贝尔的运营背景可能带来新的管理风格和团队,但其具体计划可能要等到明年初的股东信或年度会议上才能揭晓。艾贝尔自2018年起已管理公司所有非保险业务,并获得了对其业务能力的高度评价。

📈 **运营盈利强劲增长:** 伯克希尔哈撒韦的季度报告显示,其核心运营业务表现出色,尤其是保险板块,得益于较少的灾难性损失和外汇收益。整体运营利润大幅跃升,远超分析师预期。这凸显了公司多元化业务的韧性,即使在宏观经济存在不确定性的背景下,其核心资产依然能够产生可观的收益。

⚠️ **部分业务面临挑战:** 尽管整体运营表现亮眼,但部分零售业务,如Fruit of the Loom、Duracell、Forest River RVs以及Jazwares,因经济不确定性和消费者信心下降而出现利润下滑。公用事业部门的利润也略有下降。这表明公司在应对宏观经济逆风和消费者行为变化方面仍需谨慎。

📊 **信息披露与沟通:** 伯克希尔哈撒韦长期以来在投资者关系和信息披露方面采取独特的方式,不召开季度电话会议,而是选择在周末发布财报,让投资者有时间消化。一些分析师和投资者希望在艾贝尔接任CEO后,公司能增加信息披露的透明度,但巴菲特继续担任董事长可能意味着短期内不会有剧烈变化。

But last month’s $9.7 billion investment in OxyChem won’t do much to diminish the $381.7 billion cash pile that Berkshire was sitting on at the end of September even though it is the biggest deal the company has made in years.

The biggest thing on most investors’ minds right now is that Buffett Vice Chair Greg Abel is set to succeed him as CEO in January, although Buffett will remain chairman at Berkshire. The Class A stock is well off its peak of $812,855, set just before Buffett surprised shareholders at the annual meeting in May by announcing he will step back. It closed Friday at $715,740, but Berkshire still didn’t buy back any of its own stock in the quarter, which suggests Buffett thinks it is still overvalued.

CFRA Research analyst Cathy Seifert said she expects investors will clamor for more details from Berkshire after Abel takes over, and that calls will also grow louder for the company to finally pay a dividend if it can’t find better uses for all that cash. But with Buffett remaining chairman there may not be any immediate changes.

“The lack of discussion and disclosure — I think has a lot of the investment community frustrated,” Seifert said. Berkshire has never had public or investor relations departments, and the company skips the quarterly investor calls that nearly every public company holds. Buffett has long said he prefers to share results with every investor at the same time, on Saturdays, and give them the weekend to digest the results before the markets reopen.

Edward Jones analyst Jim Shanahan said he’s excited to see what changes Abel might make after he becomes CEO and whether he will assemble a team of executives around him to help manage the various businesses and decide where to invest Berkshire’s cash. But investors might have to wait until Abel’s first letter to shareholders in late February or the annual meeting in May to learn more about his plans.

“I just think it’s a chance that Abel is going to do some things differently,” Shanahan said. “I think that with him being more involved in operations than Warren had been historically, I think that he’ll likely have a team around him, which would be different.”

Abel has already been managing all of Berkshire’s noninsurance businesses since 2018, and the CEOs who report to him say they’ve been impressed by his business acumen, sharp advice, and availability to help when they have questions.

Berkshire said Saturday that it earned $30.796 billion, or $21,413 per Class A share, in the quarter. That’s up from last year’s $26.251 billion, or $18,272 per A share.

But those bottom-line figures are always distorted by the current value of Berkshire’s massive investment portfolio and any stock sales, which this year added $17.3 billion to the company’s profits.

That’s why Buffett has long recommended that investors pay more attention to Berkshire’s operating earnings to get a sense of how its many operating companies are performing, including well-known insurers like Geico, BNSF railroad, several major utilities and an assortment of manufacturing and retail companies.

On that measure, Berkshire’s operating profit jumped to $13.485 billion, or $9376.15 per Class A share, thanks to a strong rebound in its insurance companies. A year ago, Berkshire reported operating earnings of $10.09 billion, or $7,023.01 per Class A share.

The four analysts surveyed by FactSet Research predicted Berkshire would report operating earnings of $8,573.50 per Class A share.

Berkshire said fewer catastrophic losses from hurricanes this year compared to when Hurricane Helene ravaged the southeast a year ago helped its insurance underwriting profit jump $1.6 billion to $2.369 billion. The bottom line was also helped by $331 million in gains on debt held in foreign currencies this year, compared to a $1.1 billion loss on those holdings a year ago.

Most of Berkshire’s other companies performed well in the quarter although profits did decline nearly 9% at its utilities to $1.489 billion, and Berkshire called out some weakness in its retail businesses because of the economic uncertainty and weaker consumer confidence. Earnings were down in the quarter at Fruit of the Loom, Duracell, Forest River RVs and at the toymaker Jazwares, which is known for its plush Squishmallows.

Berkshire said its revenue only grew about 2% to $94.972 billion during the quarter as some of its businesses performed better than others.

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伯克希尔哈撒韦 沃伦·巴菲特 格雷格·艾贝尔 CEO交接 现金储备 运营利润 Berkshire Hathaway Warren Buffett Greg Abel CEO Transition Cash Reserves Operating Earnings
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