Fortune | FORTUNE 10月30日 21:46
AI监管时机已过,科技巨头成“数字国家”
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科技界和政府高层普遍关注AI监管,但时机可能已过。S4 Capital创始人Sir Martin Sorrell认为,AI的“潘多拉魔盒”已开,如同核武器的控制,科技公司体量巨大、影响力深远,政府监管能力受限。苹果和特斯拉等公司已具备“数字国家”的经济体量,未来可能出现市值万亿美元的公司,其规模堪比第三大经济体。英伟达已成为首家市值5万亿美元的公司。Sorrell还预测,未来两三年内,广告业将普遍接受使用“合成人”和“虚拟人”,这将大幅降低制作成本,并为媒体投资腾出更多资金。

💡 AI监管的黄金时机或已错过:Sir Martin Sorrell指出,AI技术的快速发展和普及如同“潘多拉魔盒”的打开,政府已难以有效管控。他将此比作核武器的控制难题,强调科技公司的体量和影响力已超越传统监管范畴。

🚀 科技巨头崛起为“数字国家”:苹果、特斯拉等科技巨头的市值已接近甚至超越一些国家的GDP,具备独立的经济体量和影响力,使得政府的监管能力相对受限。英伟达成为首家市值5万亿美元的公司,印证了这一趋势。

💰 广告业将拥抱合成人:未来两到三年内,广告行业将普遍采用“合成人”和“虚拟人”。这种转变将带来高达80%-90%的制作成本削减,并能将节省下来的资金更多地投入到媒体宣传中,实现更高效的营销。

Regulating AI may be a prevalent topic at the highest levels of government and tech, but the moment to get it right may have already passed. 

“Regulation is going to have to be self-regulation,” said Sir Martin Sorrell, founder and executive chairman of S4 Capital, this week at the Fortune Global Forum in Riyadh. “The cat is out of the bag. We’ve missed the Oppenheimer moment. Many people compare it to the control of nuclear weapons.” 

Sorrell—famed as the founder of advertising giant WPP—went on to explain that tech companies and individual figures like Elon Musk are simply too large, rich, and influential for governments to meaningfully bring down a regulatory hammer. 

“Apple’s at $4 trillion, and Musk’s compensation in his latest plan is geared to a $10 trillion valuation,” Sorrell told the audience. “I have no doubt that Musk or Tesla will get to that valuation. At some point, we’ll have a $10 trillion company. To put that into perspective, other than the United States and China, a $10 trillion company would effectively be the third-biggest [economy in the world]. They’re nation-states. The ability of governments to control them, I think, has become limited.”

In some sense, we’re already halfway to Sorrell’s prediction: This week, Nvidia became the first $5 trillion company in history. The chipmaking behemoth’s shares shot up in the aftermath of comments from President Donald Trump about meeting with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. 

Looking ahead, Sorrell also foresees that, especially in advertising, we’re soon set to see audiences lean into and accept “the use of synthetic people … imaginary people in advertising.”

“Our view is that over the next two to three years that will become commonplace,” he said. “The reason is economics. We’re talking about a huge disruption. You’re talking about reductions of as much as 80% to 90% of production costs, out the window, and taking create costs down—whilst media costs and creating more money for media investment will become more and more important.”

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AI监管 科技巨头 数字国家 合成人 广告业 Sir Martin Sorrell AI Regulation Tech Giants Digital Nations Synthetic Humans Advertising Industry
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