Fortune | FORTUNE 10月29日 14:37
欧洲大公司格局稳定,传统巨头依然主导
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尽管初创公司常被描绘为挑战者,但在欧洲最大公司的排名中,老牌企业依然占据主导地位。多数巨头拥有二战前的悠久历史,营收和市值均有所增长,但利润有所下滑。金融、能源和汽车行业是营收最大的三大板块,正经历数字化和可再生能源的变革,但主导力量仍是老牌企业。科技公司虽有上榜,但多为老面孔且营收下滑,显示科技更多是融入现有产业而非形成独立主导。人工智能的影响尚待数据验证。德国在榜单上的领先地位面临挑战,而英国公司利润表现强劲,英德两国的经济竞争值得关注。

👑 欧洲大型企业格局稳固,老牌公司仍占据主导地位。文章指出,欧洲最大公司的榜单在过去二三十年间变化不大,绝大多数上榜企业都拥有二战前的悠久历史,最古老的甚至可以追溯到1857年。这种稳定性体现在,即使在金融、能源和汽车等正在经历深刻变革的行业,主导力量依然是长期存在的企业,而非新兴的颠覆者。例如,榜单中并未出现金融科技公司,而最靠前的金融业新面孔是成立于1850年的意大利CDP集团。

📈 尽管结构变化不大,但欧洲五百强公司的整体财务表现稳中有升。总营收增长了2.5%,达到14.9万亿美元,市值更是攀升了13.7%,达到15.9万亿美元。然而,利润方面则出现了5.1%的下滑,总利润为9782亿美元。这表明,虽然企业规模和市场价值在增长,但盈利能力面临一定的压力,可能与行业转型、成本增加或市场竞争有关。

💡 数字化和可再生能源正在重塑传统行业,但科技公司尚未成为主导力量。金融、能源和汽车这三大营收板块正积极拥抱数字化技术和可再生能源。然而,榜单中的科技公司数量不多,且多为老牌企业,甚至有九家公司营收出现下滑。这暗示着科技更多的是作为一种赋能工具,被应用到现有产业中,而非形成一个独立的、颠覆性的主导力量。人工智能(AI)的潜力巨大,但其对生产力提升或就业的影响尚未在数据上得到明显体现。

🌍 德国在榜单上的领导地位面临挑战,英国公司利润表现抢眼。德国作为欧洲最大经济体,其公司在榜单上的数量有所减少,并面临经济停滞的压力。相比之下,英国企业贡献了最多的利润,其金融业受益于高利率环境。而德国的汽车行业则面临关税和需求疲软的挑战。英德两国在榜单上的排名和经济表现的此消彼长,预示着两国之间的经济竞争将是未来值得关注的焦点。

Startups may cast incumbents as hapless Goliaths, but in ranking Europe’s biggest companies, David is nowhere to be seen.

Minus a merger here and an acquisition there, Europe’s business giants remain largely unchanged from two—or even 20—years ago. Every company in the Fortune 500 Europe top 10 has roots from before the Second World War. The oldest, Banco Santander, was founded in 1857.

They’re hardly struggling: Total revenue for the 500 rose 2.5% to $14.9 trillion, and market capitalization climbed 13.7% to $15.9 trillion. Profits, however, slipped 5.1% to $978.2 billion.

That doesn’t mean Europe’s largest businesses are standing still. The three largest sectors by revenue—finance (107 companies, $3.5 trillion), energy (71 companies, $3 trillion), and motor vehicles and parts (23 companies, $1.4 trillion)—are all being reshaped by digital technology and in the case of energy, renewables. Yet even in these fast-changing industries, the dominant players are still long-established incumbents rather than upstart disrupters. There are no fintechs among the 500; the highest-ranking newcomer in finance is Italy’s CDP Group (No. 122), founded in 1850. The top pure-play renewables firm, wind-turbine manufacturer Vestas (No. 226), got started in 1945.

Will this change in the coming years? Will disruptive tech firms eclipse carmakers and banks? Possibly, but it hasn’t happened yet. None of the 14 tech companies on the list are new to the 500, and nine saw revenue declines over the past year, suggesting we’re more likely to see tech implemented within other industries rather than emerge as a dominant sector in its own right. 

The three largest sectors by revenue—finance, energy, and motor vehicles and parts…

AI will undoubtedly play a major role, regardless of sector. Still, predictions that it will provide a dramatic boost to productivity or reduce employment aren’t yet showing up in the data: Total employment by the 500 rose 3.7% to 34.9 million, while revenue per employee fell by 1.1% to $426,376. 

What we could see next year is a shift in national rankings. Germany, Europe’s largest economy, has led the Fortune 500 Europe since its debut in 2023, but economic stagnation is starting to take a toll. The number of German firms has dropped from 80 to 77 over the past couple of years—it’s now only one ahead of Britain. 

The U.K. cohort already generates the most profit—$157.2 billion, compared with $128.3 billion for Germany and $148 billion for France’s 64 companies. With Britain’s strongest sector, finance, benefiting from higher interest rates, and Germany’s motor vehicles and parts, struggling with tariffs and weak demand, the rivalry between the two economies is one to watch. 

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