Fortune | FORTUNE 10月25日 18:01
体育博彩的兴起与潜在风险
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自广泛合法化以来,价值数十亿美元的体育博彩产业迅速扩张,通过手机即可轻松投注各种比赛结果。如今,无论是在现场还是电视上观看体育赛事,都充斥着体育博彩的广告。然而,这种便利性也带来了挑战。近期,有联邦调查指控涉及利用球员私人信息进行非法投注,另有指控称有人策划操纵扑克牌局。文章探讨了体育博彩爆炸式增长的原因,包括2018年最高法院的裁决,以及线上投注的普及。同时,文章也分析了谁从中受益,包括平台、联赛和数据提供商,并指出各州在监管方面面临的难题,以及对球员和联盟人员参与博彩的限制。此外,文章还详细介绍了“道具投注”(prop betting)的含义及其引发的担忧,并警示了体育博彩可能带来的赌博成瘾、经济损失等社会问题,特别是对年轻男性和低收入群体的影响。

📈 体育博彩产业爆炸式增长:自2018年最高法院推翻禁止令以来,体育博彩在美国迅速合法化并扩张,尤其是在线投注通过智能手机应用普及。截至今年第三季度,合法体育博彩已产生100亿美元收入,同比增长约19%。这种增长得益于便捷的投注方式和广泛的广告宣传,但也引发了对监管和潜在风险的关注。

⚖️ 监管挑战与潜在风险并存:尽管合法博彩平台声称能监测可疑活动,但监管体育博彩仍面临巨大挑战。近期联邦调查指控涉及利用球员隐私信息进行非法投注,以及可能存在的比赛操纵。此外,职业体育联盟禁止内部人员投注自家联赛比赛,但“道具投注”(prop betting)等新形式的投注方式,以及微观投注的可能性,使得潜在操纵更易于隐藏。

💸 利益链条与社会影响:体育博彩的兴起为平台、联赛和数据提供商带来了可观的收入,但同时也加剧了赌博成瘾的风险。文章指出,平台通过算法和激励措施吸引用户,并从“大输家”那里获利。研究表明,年轻男性和低收入群体尤其容易受到体育博彩的负面经济影响,对他们而言,后果可能非常严重。

Since widespread legalization, the multibillion-dollar industry has made it easy to place wagers on everything from the outcome of games to that of a single play with just a few taps of a cellphone. It’s just about impossible to go to a basketball, football, baseball or other pro game today — or watch a matchup on TV — without seeing ads for sports betting.

Fans can place wagers from their stadium seats, while “Bet” tickers scroll on TV sports broadcasts. Star athletes are frequently at the center of ads promoting it all.

In Thursday’s indictment, federal investigators accused Rozier and other defendants of breaking the law by exploiting private information about players to win bets on NBA games. Rozier’s lawyer, Jim Trusty, said in a statement that his client is “not a gambler” and “looks forward to winning this fight.”

A separate indictment alleges Portland Trail Blazers coach Chauncey Billups and others participated in a conspiracy to fix high-stakes card games. Billups’ attorney, Chris Heywood, issued a statement denying the allegations, calling his client a “man of integrity.”

Regulating sports wagering has proven to be a challenge — and experts warn about the ramifications for gamblers who typically lose money. Professional leagues’ own role in promoting gambling has raised eyebrows.

Here’s what we know.

Explosion of legalized sports betting

Sports betting is probably as old as sports itself. But in the U.S., legal gambling really took off in 2018.

That’s when the Supreme Court struck down the Professional Amateur Sports Protection Act, which barred sports betting in most states. Once allowed only in Nevada, sports betting is now permitted online or in retail locations in 38 states and Washington, D.C. Missouri will become the 39th state on Dec. 1.

Experts say the biggest jump has been online, through smartphone apps and platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel. Through the third quarter of this year, legal sports betting generated $10 billion in revenue, up about 19% from the same period a year ago, according to the American Gaming Association.

The industry argues that legal wagering generates money for states and can deter illegal betting. Major operators point to technology they use to monitor suspicious activity. FanDuel said Thursday’s news illustrates “the stark contrast between legal and illegal betting markets.”

Who benefits?

There is plenty of money on the table both for those who place winning bets and the platforms that make it possible. The NBA and other pro sports leagues have also created revenue streams by partnering with sportsbooks and reaping advertising dollars.

Live game stats provided by leagues are key to the sports world’s relationship with the gambling industry. When you’re able to bet what the next pitch in a baseball game is going to be, that’s because Major League Baseball is selling data to platforms “for a pretty high price,” according to Isaac Rose-Berman, whose research focuses on sports betting as a fellow at the American Institute for Boys and Men.

The NBA has a partnership with Sportradar for its data rights. Sportradar, in turn, provides FanDuel Sportsbook official NBA statistics. When the deal was announced in 2022, Sportradar touted it as a way “to monetize our long-term partnership with the NBA.”

How is sports betting regulated?

Each state has its own regulations and tax rates for sports betting. A handful restrict where you can place bets — allowing users to use mobile apps, but only while they’re physically inside a casino or within a certain radius of a stadium, for example. Others limit which betting platforms you can use or what you can bet on.

“States sort of opened up a can of worms, and now some of them are starting to realize just how crazy this sports betting world sort of is,” said Wayne Taylor, a professor of marketing at Southern Methodist University.

An even stickier factor is when players and other team or league personnel are involved. The NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL all prohibit employees and players from betting on their own league games, although some gambling in separate areas is allowed.

Legalized betting has certain security advantages in that unusual betting patterns — such as large bets being placed on a random player’s performance — can be immediately flagged. In some cases, sportsbooks have taken down odds on certain events to protect against manipulation.

Still, experts like Taylor note that companies’ own financial interests may bring some of that into question. And across the sports market, he says the large number of players and scope of micro bet possibilities makes potential manipulation “easier to hide.”

What is prop betting?

A prop is a type of wager that allows gamblers to bet on whether a player will exceed a certain statistical number, such as whether a basketball player will finish over or under a certain total of points, rebounds, assists and more.

This kind of bet is key to the sports betting probe announced Thursday. Investigators pointed to a March 23, 2023, game involving Rozier, then playing for the Charlotte Hornets.

Rozier played the first 9 minutes and 36 seconds of that game — and not only did he not return that night, citing a foot issue, but he did not play again that season. He finished with five points, four rebounds and two assists — a productive opening quarter, but well below his usual total output for a full game. At the time, many bettors turned to social media to say that something shady occurred regarding prop bets involving his stats for that night.

More broadly, the NBA has expressed concern about prop bets, while other sports leagues have worried about the potential for manipulation.

Earlier this year, Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine urged his state’s gambling commission to ban prop bets after Major League Baseball placed two Cleveland Guardians pitchers on leave during a sports betting investigation.

What are other pitfalls and social implications?

Sports betting also faces criticism for opening the door to addictive gambling.

“The fact that it’s normalized, the advertising is aggressive, it’s available 24/7, the micro bets — all of this is adding up to tremendous increase in usage across individuals,” said Taylor, citing algorithms and other incentives betting platforms use to increase engagement.

Rose-Berman notes that platforms make the most off of returning “biggest losers.” Recent research suggests that young men in low-income communities are particularly affected by financial consequences tied to sports gambling.

“Upwards of 90% of sports bettors are not really going to experience significant negative impacts — but it’s really concentrated among those big losers and it’s going to be devastating for them,” he said.

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Associated Press reporters Tim Reynolds in Miami, David Lieb in Jefferson City, Missouri, and Alan Suderman in Richmond, Virginia, contributed to this report.

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体育博彩 合法化 监管 风险 赌博成瘾 Sports Betting Legalization Regulation Risks Gambling Addiction
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