钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知 10月23日 16:48
特斯拉CEO马斯克下调AI机器人与自动驾驶出租车目标
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特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在近期财报电话会议上,就备受期待的人工智能(AI)机器人Optimus和全自动驾驶Robotaxi服务下调了目标。马斯克强调了AI在特斯拉未来战略中的关键作用,并透露了第三代Optimus机器人(V3)的进展,该机器人有望在明年第一季度亮相,并被形容为“令人难以置信的外科医生”。然而,Optimus的量产时间表已调整至2026年底,远低于此前的预期,这反映了在制造复杂人手方面遇到的技术挑战。Robotaxi服务方面,特斯拉已在奥斯汀和旧金山湾区推出了试点,并计划年底前在更多城市运营,但其宏大的普及目标也显得更为谨慎。总体而言,此次财报会议显示特斯拉在AI驱动的未来愿景上,正经历着务实的调整。

🤖 **Optimus机器人进展与目标调整:** 特斯拉CEO马斯克介绍了第三代Optimus机器人(V3)的潜力,称其将非常逼真,甚至能胜任外科手术。然而,Optimus的量产计划已从今年和明年生产数千至数万个,调整为2026年底开始大规模生产,并计划在第一季度展示生产意向原型机。此次调整源于制造极其灵巧、堪比人手的机器人部件所面临的严峻技术挑战,尤其是手部设计的复杂性,导致此前设定的雄心勃勃的生产目标被搁置。

🚗 **Robotaxi服务逐步推广:** 特斯拉已于6月在德克萨斯州奥斯汀启动Robotaxi服务,并在第三季度扩展了服务区域和车队规模,同时在湾区推出了叫车服务。马斯克表示,年底前将在奥斯汀实现无人驾驶Robotaxi运营,并有望在获得监管批准的情况下,在约八到十个大都市区开展服务。尽管如此,与去年设定的2025年底让美国半数人口能使用Robotaxi的宏大目标相比,当前的服务范围和推广速度显得更为审慎。

💡 **AI技术是核心驱动力:** 马斯克在财报电话会议上花费大量时间阐述人工智能(AI)在特斯拉未来发展中的核心地位,并将其视为公司战略的关键转折点。从Optimus机器人到Robotaxi,AI技术的进步被视为实现消除贫困、普及优质医疗等愿景的基础。尽管面临技术和生产上的挑战,但特斯拉对AI驱动的未来充满了信心,并将其视为引领公司发展的核心动力。

📊 **投资者反应与市场预期:** 马斯克在财报电话会议上对Optimus和Robotaxi等前沿业务的调整,并未完全打消投资者的疑虑。尽管他对AI技术的长期潜力充满信心,但近期目标的下调以及生产制造的实际困难,使得市场对特斯拉的短期业绩和交付预期持观望态度。公司股价在财报发布后并未出现大幅提振,显示出投资者在期待技术突破的同时,也更加关注实际的生产能力和盈利前景。

TMTPOST -- Tesla Inc. CEO Elon Musk failed to impress investors on an earnings call  Wednesday as the billionaire scaled down targets of two highly-anticipated businesses.

Credit:Tesla

Musk on the call spent most of the time talking about promise of artificial intelligence (AI), the Grok AI model-powered Optimus humanoid robot and fully self-driving Robotaxi service. “We're at a critical inflection point for Tesla and our strategy going forward as we bring AI into the real-world,” Musk said in the opening marks. He touted  the third-version (V3) Optimus, which could be unveiled in the first quarter next year.

“It won’t even seem like a robot,” Musk said of the upcoming Optimus V3. “It will seem so real that you will need to poke it to believe that it’s actually a robot.” He even called the robot “an incredible surgeon.” With Optimus and self driving, “you can actually create a world where there is no poverty, where everyone has access to the finest medical care,” he said.

Musk said Tesla hopes the mass production of Optimus start by the end of 2026 as the company building a million-unit production line after it shows off a production intent prototype of the third-generation robot in the first quarter. That represented a more cautious production outlook. Tesla had been aimed at making 5,000 Optimus robots this year and 50,000 next year.  

Musk disclosed the new production roadmap as he highlighted difficulties in building the robot. He told analysts it's especially difficult to create a hand that is “as dexterous and capable as the human hand”, noting “the human hand is an incredible thing that the more you study the human hand, the more incredible you realize the human hand is and why you need five -- four fingers and the thumb, why the fingers have certain degrees of freedom.”

A report two weeks ago said Tesla had to dial back its production plans for Optimus this year due to challenges with its hand design. Targets Musk set for Tesla to make thousands of the Optimus robots this year were abandoned by the summer, The Information cited people with knowledge of the project on October 7.

It was reported Tesla workers repeated told Musk his timeline and goal of making at least 5,000 robots this year, which was first made public in March, were overambitious, and a few months later the company slashed its production goal to 2,000 units. During the summer, staffers told Musk Tesla could meet the 2,000 target, but the robots wouldn’t be very useful due to technical issues with their hands, and Tesla therefore dropped plans to build thousands of bots this year, instead, decided to further improve bands of the robot and other design changes, per the report.

Tesla in June kicked off its Robotaxi service in Austin, Texas. In its shareholder deck released on Wednesday, Tesla disclosed in the third quarter it expanded both service area and fleet count for Robotaxi service in Austin, and launched Bay Area ride-hailing service. That means the Robotaxi vehicles so far are only available in Austin and San Francisco.

Musk on the earnings call said Tesla would have its Robotaxi service operating without human drivers in Austin by the end of this year. He also said Tesla expected to  be operating Robotaxi in about eight to ten metro areas by the end of the year, depending on various regulatory approvals. 

The remarks appeared Musk scaled back his ambition revealed on last earnings call. During that conference in July, he said Tesla was aiming to make half the U.S. population have access to Robotaxi by the end of 2025. 

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特斯拉 Elon Musk Optimus Robotaxi AI 人工智能 自动驾驶 Tesla Artificial Intelligence Self-driving
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