Fortune | FORTUNE 10月21日 19:29
AI 采纳高失败率是学习过程
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在财富“最具权势女性”会议上,来自微软、彭博社和一家AI初创公司的三位领导者一致认为,企业AI采纳的高失败率并非技术缺陷,而是学习过程的必然。她们指出,与早期尝试骑自行车类似,AI的探索需要反复试验和从失败中学习。文章引用MIT研究数据,但指出这与传统IT工具的成功率相当,强调了AI仍处于早期阶段。成功的AI转型需要组织文化支持失败、拥抱实验,并培养员工的AI素养,让技术与日常工作流程协同,最终释放人类的独特价值。

💡 **AI 采纳中的失败是学习过程的一部分**:与早期的技术采纳类似,AI的探索需要大量的实验,失败是学习和进步的必然经历。这并非技术本身的缺陷,而是反映了技术仍在早期发展阶段,需要用户和组织不断适应和调整。

📈 **AI 采纳的成功率与传统IT工具相似**:文章指出,MIT关于AI试点项目失败率的研究,与历史上大型企业IT项目成功率相比,并非特别低。这表明,AI的挑战并非独有,而是普遍存在于新技术引入的过程中,需要耐心和持续的努力。

🤝 **组织文化和员工赋能是AI成功的关键**:成功的AI转型不仅依赖技术,更需要建立支持实验、容忍失败的文化。培养全员的“AI素养”,鼓励技术专家与业务用户协作,让员工在工作中安全地尝试和构建AI应用,是实现AI价值的关键。

🚀 **AI 目标是增强而非取代人类工作**:AI的引入旨在将员工从重复性工作中解放出来,让他们有更多时间专注于需要人类独特能力的任务。强调AI与人类协作的重要性,以及AI如何提升工作满意度和效率,是克服AI采纳疑虑的关键。

Despite mounting skepticism about artificial intelligence in the enterprise, three leaders from Microsoft, Bloomberg Beta, and an AI startup gathered at Fortune‘s Most Powerful Women conference last week with a unified message: high failure rates are not a bug in AI adoption—they’re a feature of learning how transformative technology actually works.

The panel discussion, titled “Working it out: How AI is transforming the office,” tackled head-on a widely circulated MIT study suggesting that approximately 95% of enterprise AI pilots fail to pay off. The statistic has fueled doubts about whether AI can deliver on its promises, but the three panelists—Amy Coleman, executive vice president and chief people officer at Microsoft; Karin Klein, founding partner at Bloomberg Beta; and Jessica Wu, co-founder and CEO of Sola—pushed back forcefully on the narrative that failure signals fundamental problems with the technology.

“We’re in the early innings,” Klein said. “Of course, there’s going to be a ton of experiments that don’t work. But, like, has anybody ever started to ride a bike on the first try? No. We get up, we dust ourselves off, we keep experimenting, and somehow we figure it out. And it’s the same thing with AI.”

Klein went further, encouraging the audience to become what she called “vibe coders,” or people who use accessible AI tools to build applications without traditional programming backgrounds. Coleman echoed Klein’s perspective, saying “this is all about experimentation.”

“We’re on that jagged frontier, which is we’re going to have some wins, and then we’re going to see that trough, and then we’re going to have some more wins,” she added.​

The Microsoft executive, who shared that her own CEO challenged the senior leadership team to vibe code, emphasized that creating the right organizational culture matters more than the technology itself. “I think the study is really important because it actually reflects how many people feel right now, which is, is it really something that’s going to help me at work? Will it give me more joy and take away the toil?” Coleman said.

Wu provided important context in an attempt to reframe the MIT findings. “I think the actual study says that only 5% of the AI tools people are testing are making it into production. What’s really interesting is if you actually take a step back and look at what percent of studies of IT tools being brought in actually made it into production before AI, it actually wasn’t particularly high either,” she said, noting success rates for large enterprise technology deployments historically hovered around 10% or lower.

Wu’s company, Sola, builds what she described as “agentic process automation” tools that help enterprises automate manual back-office work. She emphasized that the sheer volume of AI experimentation happening now makes lower success rates inevitable. “My guess is, there’s a lot more tools happening right, there’s a lot more tools to test, there’s a lot more things being brought in,” she said. “At the same time, AI is very new. It’s going to hallucinate. You’re going to have to work with experimentation in ways that previous [generations] wouldn’t have.”

The conversation moved beyond defending failure rates to discussing what successful AI implementation actually requires. Coleman stressed the importance of building “AI fluency” across workforces and recommended a collaborative approach where technical experts work alongside business users. “How do we pair somebody that’s really good at either tech or continuous improvement, or some of these other sort of breakthrough ways to look at processes, and sit side-by-side and not make something for you, but do something with you so they could learn how to actually put AI into your workflow,” she said.

Coleman also pushed back against the notion that enthusiasm for AI diminishes the value of human work. “The more we talk about AI, the more people think that we don’t trust humans,” she said. “It’s really important that we’re talking about the criticality of humans in all these workflows. So, it’s about talking about what time I get freed up to do what I can uniquely do as a human.”

Wu outlined what she sees in successful customer deployments: a combination of top-down leadership support and bottom-up engagement from employees who understand daily workflows. “Leadership really enabling employees to test and build things safely obviously, but giving people the flexibility to experiment, try new tools, encourage them to use and build AI and help them build fluency,” she said. “Your companies are full of people that live and breathe the business and they’ve been around for decades, sometimes even centuries. And so for AI to be deployed really effectively, you need the tool to work really alongside the people who are doing the work every single day.”

Klein emphasized that experimentation doesn’t require enterprise-scale deployments. “We also see startups working side by side, bringing engineers and business leaders together,” she said. “Even if we’re in a regulated industry, we can be trying this in our personal lives and you know using on the weekend for nonsensitive information and just starting to see some of how this technology works because that’s really where you’re going to get the gains, and advancements, and big ideas.”

When an audience member asked what organizational conditions must be true for AI transformation to succeed, Coleman’s answer revealed the cultural shift she believes is necessary. “You have to be okay with failure. You have to be okay with messy,” she said. “We’re talking about the entry point of this transformation. You have to be okay with experimentation, and you have to be okay with that jagged up and down.”

She added that companies need to embrace what she called “a learning organization” where “managers need to stop assessing tasks and start teaching learning.” The key conditions, she said, include “vulnerability and courage” as organizations navigate technology that moves faster than previous transformations.

The discussion underscored a central tension facing enterprises: the risk of moving too slowly on AI adoption may ultimately exceed the risk of experimentation itself.

You can watch the full discussion from Fortune‘s Most Powerful Women event below:

For this story, Fortune used generative AI to help with an initial draft. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing.

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人工智能 AI采纳 企业AI 技术转型 失败率 学习曲线 AI素养 组织文化 Artificial Intelligence AI Adoption Enterprise AI Technology Transformation Failure Rates Learning Curve AI Fluency Organizational Culture
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