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“确定性范围”猜想:AI系统内在权衡的探讨
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本文探讨了人工智能系统内在权衡的“确定性范围”猜想,分析了其局限性,并提出了应对策略。

arXiv:2508.19304v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The recently published "certainty-scope" conjecture offers a compelling insight into the inherent trade-off present within artificial intelligence (AI) systems. As general research, this investigation remains vital as a philosophical undertaking and a potential guide for directing AI investments, design, and deployment, especially in safety-critical and mission-critical domains where risk levels are substantially elevated. While maintaining intellectual coherence, its formalization ultimately consolidates this insight into a suspended epistemic truth, which resists operational implementation within practical systems. This paper argues that the conjecture's objective to furnish insights for engineering design and regulatory decision-making is limited by two fundamental factors: first, its dependence on incomputable constructs and its failure to capture the generality factors of AI, rendering it practically unimplementable and unverifiable; second, its foundational ontological assumption of AI systems as self-contained epistemic entities, distancing it from the complex and dynamic socio-technical environments where knowledge is co-constructed. We conclude that this dual breakdown - an epistemic closure deficit and an embeddedness bypass - hinders the conjecture's transition to a practical and actionable framework suitable for informing and guiding AI deployments. In response, we point towards a possible framing of the epistemic challenge, emphasizing the inherent epistemic burdens of AI within complex human-centric domains.

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人工智能 权衡 设计 决策
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