All Content from Business Insider 10月18日 00:39
俄乌冲突:外国零件仍出现在俄制武器中
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俄乌冲突已进入第三年半,乌克兰仍在俄罗斯导弹和无人机中发现大量外国制造的零部件。这些发现揭示了俄罗斯如何规避西方制裁和出口管制,持续获取关键技术以维持其武器生产。零部件来源广泛,涉及美国、英国、德国、中国等多个国家。尽管西方国家不断加强限制措施并努力堵塞漏洞,俄罗斯通过复杂的中间商和空壳公司网络,以及与受制裁国家的合作,仍在设法获取所需零件。这是一场持续的猫鼠游戏,西方国家正通过收紧执法、加强合规指导和威胁法律追究等方式,试图切断这一供应链,但完全阻止其流入仍面临巨大挑战。

🇺🇦 乌克兰在俄制武器中持续发现外国零部件:冲突已进入深入阶段,乌克兰在被击落的俄罗斯导弹和无人机中,仍能找到数以千计的外国制造零件,包括微型计算机、传感器和连接器等。这些零部件来自包括美国、英国、德国、中国、日本、韩国等多个国家,其中一些是乌克兰的盟友。

🇷🇺 俄罗斯规避制裁的复杂网络:面对西方国家实施的严厉制裁和出口管制,俄罗斯已建立起强大的规避网络,利用前线公司、中间商以及与伊朗、朝鲜等受制裁国家的合作,在全球市场上采购被禁物品。这种“空壳游戏”使得追踪货物流向变得异常困难。

⚖️ 西方国家应对措施与挑战并存:西方国家正采取多种措施,如加强对企业的合规指导、边境检查、针对性回应乌克兰的发现,并威胁对违规者进行起诉。然而,全球贸易的复杂性、第三方国家的转运以及假冒伪劣产品的出现,使得完全切断技术流动成为一项艰巨任务。尽管如此,这些措施显著增加了俄罗斯的战争成本。

🔄 持续的“猫鼠游戏”与成本增加:西方国家不断更新制裁和执法协议以堵塞漏洞,但俄罗斯也在不断寻找新的规避途径。虽然完全阻止制裁技术的流动几乎不可能,但西方国家采取的措施有效地提高了俄罗斯获取这些零部件的成本,对其经济和军事能力构成压力。

Ukraine continues to find foreign parts in Russian weapons.

Over three and a half years into the war, Ukraine is still finding thousands of foreign-made parts in the Russian missiles and drones raining down on its cities.

The findings highlight how Moscow continues to evade sanctions and export controls that were meant to choke off its weapons industry.

"In the same way that we've had three and a half years to try to increase the restrictions, the other side has had three and a half years to figure out ways around them," Nathanael Kurcab, a former FBI intelligence agent and an international trade and national security expert, told Business Insider.

The components found in downed Russian drones and cruise and ballistic missiles range from microcomputers and sensors to switching connectors and converters. Ukraine says they're coming from the US, UK, Germany, Switzerland, the Netherlands, South Korea, Japan, China, and Taiwan. Some of these nations are among Kyiv's closest partners.

Last week, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said over 100,000 foreign-made parts were found among the 550 Russian drones and missiles used in a large-scale bombardment, underscoring the scale of the problem.

Every Russian missile and one-way attack drone contains "parts that are still being supplied to Russia from Western countries and various countries close to Russia," Zelenskyy said last week. This far into the war, he said, "it is simply strange to hear anyone claim they don't know how to stop the flow of critical components." Cutting off the tap isn't that easy though.

Russia frequently uses Iranian-designed Shahed drones to attack Ukraine.

A Western-made microchip built for benign purposes could wind up in a Russian drone in a number of ways, such as through civilian sales, shady middlemen, or countries ignoring export rules. What might have started as a "dual-use" part for everyday tech may quietly become a key component in a weapon of war.

Russia's still getting foreign parts

After Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, Western countries imposed sweeping sanctions and export controls on Russia in an attempt to isolate its economy and deny the country access to critical parts and technology that could be used for military purposes.

But Russia has found workarounds, such as using networks of front companies and shadowy intermediaries to move banned goods through the global market. Neither Russia's defense ministry nor its embassy in the US immediately responded to requests for comment.

Countries like Russia "have built strong circumvention networks that are able to hide where these goods are going, and they're able to continue to purchase them on the market," explained Kurcab, a lawyer who advises clients on issues related to the US Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control.

Iran, which has endured decades of sanctions, is particularly skilled at evading them, Kurcab said. Throughout the war, Moscow has worked closely with Iran, as well as North Korea, another heavily sanctioned pariah state with ample practice acquiring components it isn't permitted to possess.

As long as a country is willing to pay a higher price, there are people who can move goods through the global network, shifting them around in a shell game. "No one knows where they're going," Kurcab said.

In some cases, parts might already be on the market before sanctions or export controls are imposed. A party complying with US sanctions might have already sold a product to an intermediary before they took effect. From there, it's very difficult to track the end destination.

The aftermath of a Russian drone strike earlier this month.

A 2022 joint investigation by Reuters, iStories, and the Royal United Services Institute found Russia was building Orlan surveillance drones — used to direct artillery fire — with components it should not have had access to under export restrictions. A firm owned by a dual US-Russian citizen had illegally sold circuit boards made by a California manufacturer that said it was "very concerned" to learn its products ended up in Russia. That was just one case in many.

A spokesperson for Germany's Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs told Business Insider that "Russian procurement networks use multiple intermediaries, shell companies, and complex logistic chains to disguise their activities."

Western countries are taking steps to further isolate Russia, including guiding businesses on how to comply with restrictions, inspecting goods at the border, responding when Ukraine reports finding specific components, attempting to close loopholes that Russia is exploiting, and threatening criminal prosecution for those who violate the rules. However, even with tougher enforcement, Moscow continues to seek out gaps it can exploit.

It's a cat-and-mouse game, a spokesperson in the Netherlands' foreign affairs ministry said. "As we take new measures, Russia will try new routes to circumvent them.

"Fully stopping the flow of sanctioned technology is impossible due to the scale and complexity of global trade in these components, the persistent problem of circumvention via third countries, and the increased production of counterfeit versions of sanctioned components," they explained.

"Nevertheless, the measures we take significantly raise the costs for Russia to continue its war of aggression."

A cat-and-mouse game

Ukraine's partners say they're constantly updating sanctions and enforcement protocols to close loopholes, working closely with Kyiv to block any goods found in Russian weapons.

A British government spokesperson said that the UK takes this "incredibly seriously" and bans the export of "every battlefield item Ukraine has brought to our attention." It said this response will continue to be the case.

There is a growing effort to clamp down on illegal sales, Western officials told Business Insider.

The West has struggled to prevent Russia from obtaining foreign parts for its missiles and drones.

Many European countries are further tightening enforcement to prevent sanctioned goods from reaching Russia. Germany said firms have "significantly increased their compliance efforts" to spot and reject suspicious orders, while the Czech Republic said it has introduced a new "catch-all" mechanism allowing authorities to block sensitive items that might be rerouted to Russia through third countries. The UK, which has sanctioned over $26 billion in trade with Russia, is targeting that loophole as well.

Switzerland said that its export and sanctions authorities are working with Ukraine and other nations "to prevent the procurement of electronic components, uncover existing procurement networks, and dismantle them." Officials said that components that have been linked to Swiss companies are often made abroad and are counterfeit, but investigations are underway to trace how genuine parts have reached Russia so those channels can be shut down.

As the Netherlands indicated, sanctions aren't completely ineffective. The UK's Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office estimated that as of February, international sanctions had deprived Russia of at least $450 billion in war funds, and the government estimates that Russia pays up to six times more for dual-use items compared to the global price, further straining an already taxed economy.

At the end of the day, though, sanctions and export controls only go so far, and their effectiveness is ultimately determined by the international community.

"The sanctions and export control tools are really only as strong as the rest of the world is willing to treat them," Kurcab said. "It is a soft power tool, and it has its limits."

Read the original article on Business Insider

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俄乌冲突 俄罗斯武器 外国零部件 西方制裁 出口管制 供应链 地缘政治 Ukraine War Russian Weapons Foreign Components Western Sanctions Export Controls Supply Chain Geopolitics
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