Fortune | FORTUNE 19小时前
杰米·戴蒙:当前市场环境下,持有黄金可能变得合理
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尽管杰米·戴蒙一向不看好黄金投资,但鉴于黄金目前已创下历史新高,他承认在当前的市场环境下,将黄金纳入投资组合可能变得“半合理”。黄金作为对冲通胀和市场波动的资产,近期价格飙升,并可能继续上涨。戴蒙指出,尽管持有黄金有成本,但考虑到宏观经济的不确定性,少量配置黄金可能是一种明智的风险管理策略。然而,他也提到,黄金价格的上涨可能反映了投资者对经济的担忧,与其他资产一样,黄金也面临高昂的成本。

💰 黄金价格创新高,戴蒙承认短期配置的合理性:尽管摩根大通CEO杰米·戴蒙一向不看好黄金作为投资,但鉴于黄金价格已创下历史新高,他表示在当前的市场环境下,将少量黄金纳入投资组合可能变得“半合理”。这标志着他对黄金的态度出现微妙转变,不再完全否定其作为资产配置的价值。

📈 黄金作为避险资产的角色及其潜在上涨空间:黄金作为抵御通胀和市场波动的传统避险资产,近期表现强劲,价格飙升并创下历史纪录。戴蒙认为,在当前的市场环境下,黄金价格甚至可能进一步上涨至5000美元甚至10000美元。这反映了市场对宏观经济不确定性的担忧,以及黄金作为“安全港”资产的吸引力正在增强。

⚖️ 投资黄金的考量与风险:戴蒙坦承自己“不是黄金买家”,并指出持有黄金的成本约为4%。尽管如此,他认为在当前环境下,少量持有“半合理”。这表明即使在高点,投资者也需要权衡持有成本与潜在收益。同时,其他金融领袖如瑞·达利欧建议增加黄金配置,而另一些人如肯·格里芬则对黄金的异常上涨表示担忧,认为这可能反映了经济焦虑,其避险属性甚至可能取代了美元的地位。

Jamie Dimon isn’t a fan of gold as an investment, but with the asset at record prices, he said adding it to your portfolio might actually make sense right now.

Gold, sought after by investors as a hedge against inflation and volatility, hit a record high of $4,201 a troy ounce Wednesday and is up about 59% on the year. Speaking at the Fortune Most Powerful Women conference this week, the JPMorgan Chase CEO and chairman said the price could go up even more based on the current state of the market.

“It could easily go to $5,000 or $10,000 in environments like this,” he said.

Dimon added that because of the skyrocketing price of the asset, which hit its 47th record close of the year this week, it may make sense to hold the asset. 

Though Dimon said he’s “not a gold buyer,” noting “it costs 4% to own it,” he added that because of the current market, holding some gold may make sense. 

“This is one of the few times in my life, it’s semi-rational to have some in your portfolio,” he said.

Jamie Dimon (left), CEO and chairman of JPMorgan Chase in conversation with Alyson Shontell, Editor-in-Chief, Fortune.

Stuart Isett—Fortune

However, gold, which was hovering at about $2,000 just two years ago, is still expensive—though that trend “cuts across almost everything right now.”

Investors typically suggest allocating 5% or less of a portfolio to gold. Yet, recently some finance leaders such as Ray Dalio, the founder of hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, have recommended higher allocations to gold. Dalio said earlier this month investors should put 15% of their portfolio into gold, which he called “a very excellent diversifier.” 

Others in the financial world have sounded the alarm about the rise of gold, especially as its ascent could reflect investor anxiety over the economy. Citadel CEO Ken Griffin is among one of the top names sounding the alarm about gold’s unusual climb. 

“I now view gold as a safe harbor asset in a way that the dollar used to be viewed. That’s what’s really concerning to me,” he told Bloomberg earlier this month. 

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Jamie Dimon Gold Investment Portfolio Safe-haven asset Inflation hedge Market volatility JPMorgan Chase Economic uncertainty
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