Fortune | FORTUNE 10月15日
农业劳动力短缺呼吁合法移民
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文章指出,美国农业部门正面临严峻的劳动力短缺问题,主要原因是移民政策的限制。企业圆桌会议的移民委员会主席Beth Ford强调,农民迫切需要劳动力,合法移民是推动经济发展的关键。数据显示,美国农场工人中,只有少数是美国本土出生,大部分依赖外国出生但无工作许可的移民。劳动力短缺可能导致“黑天鹅事件”,严重威胁食品生产系统,甚至迫使农民被迫处理牧群。文章还提到,尽管南部边境非法越境人数大幅下降,但企业界普遍认为需要改革移民政策,以应对农业劳动力危机,确保国家食品供应安全。

🚜 **农业劳动力紧缺,依赖外国工人:** 美国农业部门面临严重的劳动力短缺,超过三分之二的农场工人并非美国本土出生。其中,大部分(约42%)没有合法工作许可,这使得农民在获取必要劳动力方面面临巨大挑战。

💡 **合法移民是经济驱动力:** 企业圆桌会议的移民委员会主席Beth Ford强调,增加合法移民不仅能解决农业劳动力短缺,还能作为经济发展的驱动力,惠及企业和整体经济。她呼吁政策改革以满足这一需求。

⚠️ **劳动力中断的“黑天鹅”风险:** 缺乏足够的劳动力可能引发“黑天鹅事件”,即不可预测但后果严重的事件,严重威胁食品生产系统。例如,奶牛若无法及时挤奶,可能导致感染,最终迫使农民放弃牧群,对食品供应造成冲击。

📈 **行业呼吁政策调整:** 尽管南部边境非法越境人数大幅下降,但企业界普遍认为需要对移民政策进行调整,以支持包括农业在内的关键行业。文章提到,近期劳工部已指出,加强执法可能对依赖大量无证移民的农业部门产生“显著的市场影响”,并危及国家食品供应。

Ford, who chairs the Business Roundtable’s immigration committee, told the MPW audience that farmers “absolutely need labor” and said “we need more legal immigration” as an economic driver for businesses and the broader U.S. economy. For some context, America’s agricultural sector is currently grappling with mounting pressures from trade disputes, farm bankruptcies, and an increasingly restrictive immigration environment.

“These are folks who oftentimes try to get American labor [but] are struggling to do so,” Ford said. “They absolutely need labor, and if they don’t have it, that’s yet another element—and it could be a black swan event for a farmer if they don’t have somebody who can help and be on [the] farm.”

The term “black swan event,” for those unfamiliar, refers to an unpredictable occurrence with severe consequences that appears obvious only in hindsight. In agriculture, such events can include natural disasters, disease outbreaks, or severe labor disruptions that threaten food production systems.

Ford’s comments underscore the precarious position facing American farmers who depend heavily on immigrant workers. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, as of 2022, only 32% of crop farmworkers were actually born in the U.S. The vast majority of farmworkers (~42%) are born outside the U.S. and have no work authorization. Only a small percentage of workers (~7%) are immigrants who obtained U.S. citizenship, while about 19% are authorized immigrants (permanent residents or green-card holders). In the dairy industry, which Ford’s company Land O’Lakes serves, the dependency on foreign-born labor is even more pronounced: The National Milk Producers Federation says immigrant workers account for 51% of all dairy labor.​

Ford previously told Fortune that an immigration crisis can take about eight hours to unfold, because if cows aren’t milked, they start to leak milk and could develop infections, to the point that farmers might be forced to cull their herds and send the cows to be killed at a meat-processing plant. But those, too, could also be short on workers.​

Ford accepted the role of immigration committee chair for the Business Roundtable in January, taking over from Apple CEO Tim Cook. The Business Roundtable, which represents more than 200 major corporate CEOs, supports increased skilled immigration, temporary work visas, and border security measures. Ford said “most CEOs will say we need some kind of change in our immigration policy” while acknowledging that border crossings at the southern border have declined by approximately 95%.

During the MPW discussion, Ford addressed recent policy proposals including a $100,000 fee for H-1B visas, saying her organization is “trying to get some clarity” on the specifics while working with administration officials on various visa-related initiatives. The agricultural sector has lost about 155,000 workers since March, and the Labor Department has said ICE’s efforts will create “significant labor market effects in the agricultural sector, which has long been pushed to depend on a workforce with a high proportion of illegal aliens,” and could put “the nation’s food supply at risk.”​

You can watch the full panel with Land O’Lakes CEO Beth Ford, in conversation with Fortune’s Emma Hinchcliffe, below.

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相关标签

农业劳动力 合法移民 劳动力短缺 食品安全 移民政策 Agricultural Labor Legal Immigration Labor Shortage Food Security Immigration Policy
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