Fortune | FORTUNE 10月14日 02:42
政府关门持续,医保补贴成焦点
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美国政府关门已持续13天,数千联邦雇员面临解雇,但众议长表示对细节不知情。此次大规模裁员被视为利用关门削减政府规模。副总统警告未来将有“痛苦”的削减。政府关门已导致常规运作停滞,文化机构关闭,机场受影响,加剧经济不确定性。众议院休会,参议院工作受阻。此次僵局的核心是医保政策,特别是数百万依赖政府援助购买医保的民众的《平价医保法案》补贴即将到期。民主党要求延长补贴,共和党则认为可稍后处理。若补贴未能续期,民众保费将大幅上涨,政府雇员也将面临无薪困境。历史上的医保政策争议曾导致政府关门。

🇺🇸 政府关门已持续13天,对联邦雇员和政府运作造成广泛影响。尽管有数千名联邦工作人员面临解雇,众议长表示对具体细节并不知情,这被视为一种削减政府规模的策略。副总统也警告称未来将有“痛苦”的削减,员工工会已提起诉讼,显示出政府内部的分歧和紧张局势。

🏥 此次政府关门的核心争议点在于《平价医保法案》(ACA)的补贴问题。数百万依赖政府援助购买医保的民众,其补贴将于年底到期。民主党坚持要求延长这些补贴,而共和党则认为该问题可以稍后解决。若补贴失效,预计民众的月度保费将翻倍,给依赖ACA的个人带来巨大的经济压力。

🏛️ 僵局导致了政府运作的全面停滞,包括史密森尼学会等标志性文化机构的关闭,以及机场的航班延误,这些都加剧了本已不稳定的经济形势。众议院已休会,参议院尽管即将复工,但由于双方在医保问题上的分歧,短期内难以达成共识,为政府重新开放蒙上阴影。

💰 尽管政府关门,但国会已确保军人薪资照常发放,部分得益于国防部动用了80亿美元的研发资金。然而,其他部门如教育部则受到重创,影响了特殊教育和课后项目。这种选择性支付引发了关于政府资源分配和优先事项的讨论,也凸显了关门对不同领域影响的不均衡性。

Standing alone at the Capitol on the 13th day of the shutdown, the speaker said he was unaware of the details of the thousands of federal workers being fired by the Trump administration. It’s a highly unusual mass layoff widely seen as way to seize on the shutdown to reduce the scope of government. Vice President JD Vance has warned of “painful” cuts ahead, even as employee unions sue.

“We’re barreling toward one of the longest shutdowns in American history,” Johnson of Louisiana said.

With no endgame in sight, the shutdown is expected to roll on for the unforeseeable future. The closure has halted routine government operations, shuttered Smithsonian museums and other landmark cultural institutions and left airports scrambling with flight disruptions, all injecting more uncertainty into an already precarious economy.

The House is out of legislative session, with Johnson refusing to recall lawmakers back to Washington, while the Senate, closed Monday for the federal holiday, will return to work Tuesday. But senators are stuck in a cul-de-sac of failed votes as Democrats refuse to relent on their health care demands.

Johnson thanked President Donald Trump for ensuring military personnel are paid this week, which removed one main pressure point that may have pushed the parties to the negotiating table.

At its core, the shutdown is a debate over health care policy — and particularly the Affordable Care Act subsidies that are expiring for millions of Americans who rely on government aid to purchase their own health insurance policies on the Obamacare exchanges. Democrats demand the subsidies be extended, Republicans argue the issue can be dealt with later.

With Congress and the White House stalemated, some are eyeing the end of the month as the next potential deadline to reopen government.

That’s when open enrollment begins, Nov. 1, for the health program at issue, and Americans will face the prospect of skyrocketing insurance premiums. The Kaiser Family Foundation has estimated that monthly costs would double if Congress fails to renew the subsidy payments that expire Dec. 31.

It’s also when government workers on monthly pay schedules, including thousands of House aides, will go without paychecks.

The health care debate has dogged Congress ever since the Affordable Care Act became law under then-President Barak Obama in 2010.

The country went through a 16-day government shutdown during the Obama presidency when Republicans tried to repeal the Affordable Care Act 2013.

Trump tried to “repeal and replace” the law, commonly known as Obamacare, during his first term, in 2017, with a Republican majority in the House and Senate. That effort failed when then-Sen. John McCain memorably voted a thumbs down on the plan.

With 24 million now enrolled in Obamacare, a record, Johnson said Monday that Republicans are unlikely to go that route again, noting he still has “PTSD” from that botched moment.

“Can we completely repeal and replace Obamacare? Many of us are skeptical about that now because the roots are so deep,” Johnson said.

The Republican speaker insists his party has been willing to discuss the health care issue with Democrats this fall, before the subsidies expire at the end of the year. But first, he said, Democrats have to agree to reopen the government.

The longest shutdown, during Trump’s first term over his demands for funds to build the U.S.-Mexico border wall, ended in 2019 after 35 days.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration is exercising vast leeway both to fire workers — drawing complaints from fellow Republicans and lawsuits from employee unions — and to determine who is paid.

That means not only military troops but other Trump administration priorities don’t necessarily have to go without pay, thanks to the various other funding sources as well as the billions made available in what’s commonly called Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act that’s now law.

The Pentagon said over the weekend it was able to tap $8 billion in unused research and development funds to pay the military personnel. They had risked missed paychecks on Wednesday. But the Education Department is among those being hard hit, disrupting special education, after-school programs and others.

“The Administration also could decide to use mandatory funding provided in the 2025 reconciliation act or other sources of mandatory funding to continue activities financed by those direct appropriations at various agencies,” according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

The CBO had cited the Department of Defense, the Department of the Treasury, the Department of Homeland Security, and the Office of Management and Budget as among those that received specific funds under the law.

“Some of the funds in DoD’s direct appropriation under the 2025 reconciliation act could be used to pay active-duty personnel during a shutdown, thus reducing the number of excepted workers who would receive delayed compensation,” CBO wrote in a letter responding to questions raised by Sen. Joni Ernst, R-Iowa.

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美国政府关门 医保补贴 平价医保法案 国会僵局 联邦雇员 Government Shutdown Healthcare Subsidies Affordable Care Act Congressional Stalemate Federal Employees
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