Fortune | FORTUNE 10月14日 00:13
政府停摆下的航空业:对旅客和飞行安全的影响
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美国俄亥俄州立大学的航空专家Brian Strzempkowski和Melanie Dickman解释了政府停摆如何影响航空旅行、旅客以及航空安全。文章重点关注了停摆对空中交通管制员的影响,他们作为“必要人员”在无薪工作的情况下,面临着巨大的经济压力,导致部分人员请假,加剧了本已严重的管制员短缺问题,进而引发了机场延误。专家指出,尽管存在多层级的安全保障和应急预案,但管制员的短缺和请假行为仍可能侵蚀安全冗余。文章还回顾了空中交通管制员短缺的长期根源,以及政府为解决此问题和现代化航空交通系统正在采取的措施。

✈️ **政府停摆加剧空管员压力与短缺**:空中交通管制员作为“必要人员”,在政府停摆期间被迫无薪工作,这导致了严重的经济压力和心理负担。部分管制员因无法支付账单而请假,以往在停摆两周后出现的“病假潮”在此次停摆不到一周就开始显现,且比例高达10%,直接影响了机场的正常运行。

⚠️ **旅客出行受延误,安全体系面临挑战**:管制员的短缺和请假潮,叠加此前已存在的管制员不足问题,导致了包括亚特兰大、丹佛在内的大型机场和区域性机场的严重延误。尽管航空交通控制系统设计有冗余和应急预案,如疏导航班或取消航班,但管制员的持续缺勤无疑是对系统安全性的潜在侵蚀。

💡 **航空安全保障体系与应对机制**:联邦航空管理局(FAA)依赖空中交通管制系统指挥中心来监控全国空域,通过管理设施人员配置、天气、设备故障和突发状况来确保安全。当出现管制员短缺的极端情况时,指挥中心会发布警报,要求航班改降或延误,以避免空中拥堵,确保飞行安全。

📈 **管制员短缺的长期根源与解决方案**:空中交通管制员短缺是一个持续十多年的系统性问题,FAA在培养足够数量的接替退休人员方面滞后。目前,FAA正通过与大学合作提供专业培训,并计划通过技术升级和增加190亿美元的投资来现代化和增强航空交通系统的韧性,以期从根本上解决短缺问题。

The Conversation U.S. asked Brian Strzempkowski and Melanie Dickman, aviation experts at The Ohio State University, to explain how the shutdown is affecting air travel, what that means for passengers and air safety, as well as the air traffic controller shortage that has been plaguing U.S. airports for years.

How is the shutdown affecting air traffic controllers?

Air traffic controllers are deemed essential workers, meaning they are still required to work while not receiving compensation – which they would typically then receive in a lump sum after the shutdown ends. President Donald Trump created some uncertainty around this by suggesting workers may not get their back pay without explicit authorization from Congress, despite having signed a law in his first term that makes it a legal requirement.

Working without regular pay, combined with the possibility that they won’t get paid at all, is resulting in real financial stress for air traffic controllers, who perform one of the most stressful jobs there is.

As a result, there have been reports of air traffic controllers calling in sick in large numbers. This happened in previous shutdowns as well. During the 2018-2019 shutdown, for example, sickouts started to happen around the two-week mark, roughly when the first paycheck was missed. Controllers, airport security employees, and other essential workers were calling in sick often so they could work another part-time job to pay their bills.

In the current shutdown, this appears to be happening sooner, less than a week after it began. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said around 10% of the controller workforce is engaging in this practice and threatened to fire these “problem children.”

What does this mean for people about to take a flight?

Before the shutdown, there was already a critical shortage of air traffic controllers. Coupled with workers calling in sick in recent days, this has led to severe travel delays at many major airports, such as those in Atlanta and Denver, and regional ones, like those serving Burbank, California, and Daytona Beach, Florida.

A big question on travelers’ minds is whether this will affect air safety.

The air traffic control system is multi-layered and has redundancies built into it to ensure an incredibly safe environment. While controller shortages do begin to erode some of those redundancies, contingency plans are in place to help protect the system. For example, air traffic can be diverted away from affected locations or delayed, or the flight may even be be canceled before the plane leaves the gate.

As an example, Newark Liberty International Airport can accommodate approximately 80 aircraft departing or arriving per hour when the airport and airspace is fully operational. However, due to technical failures, staffing shortages and construction at the airport, capacity was limited to between 28 and 34 aircraft per hour in June 2025. Due to technology upgrades and procedural changes, that number was recently increased to between 68 and 72 aircraft per hour. By regulating the amount of traffic, the system can be protected to ensure the safety of every aircraft.

This was an example of high-level oversight in which the secretary of transportation was personally involved in seeking a solution to ensure air travel remained safe while trying to increase capacity.

How does the U.S. keep air travel safe?

On a more day-to-day level, the Federal Aviation Administration relies on the Air Traffic Control System Command Center, located about 40 miles away from Washington, D.C. This facility oversees the entire national airspace system and essentially “controls” the controllers. Air traffic professionals monitor staffing at air traffic facilities, weather conditions, equipment failures and unexpected disruptions to the system.

When an incident arises, such as Burbank Airport recently reporting that no controllers were available, the command center issues an alert stating that any aircraft inbound to Burbank must divert to an alternate airport, and any aircraft that has not yet taken off will be held on the ground.

Staffing shortages at other air traffic control facilities may require alternate plans, such as transitioning workloads from one facility with fewer controllers, to another that is appropriately staffed. There is a wide range of tools that the Air Traffic Control System Command Center can utilize to protect the system, but it all stems from the idea of managing the capacity. Flight delays and cancellations, while disruptive to individual travelers, are actually good from a system perspective, because they prevent congestion in the airspace.

Why was there an air traffic controller shortage in the first place?

There has been a systemic problem with hiring of air traffic controllers for more than a decade.

Over the years, the FAA has fallen behind on training enough controllers to replace those who retire each year. In May 2025, we wrote about the FAA’s plan to utilize colleges across the country to provide the professional training for this career field. While it will take a little time for the students to matriculate through college and into the workforce, this plan will be a significant contributor to solving the controller shortage problem.

Meanwhile, the FAA Academy, which trains U.S. air traffic controllers, only has limited funding from the previous federal budget for current students. The shutdown means no new students can begin training. Depending on the length of the shutdown, the funding may run out as additional employees are furloughed. The ripple effects of a shutdown can remain for many months after the government reopens.

What’s the government doing to end the shortage?

In July, Congress authorized over US$12 billion in funding to help modernize the air traffic control system.

Secretary Duffy is currently leading an effort to identify a contractor to implement the technology upgrades needed to modernize the system and make it more robust. Duffy has said an additional $19 billion investment will be needed to complete the task.

Brian Strzempkowski, Assistant Director, Center for Aviation Studies, The Ohio State University and Melanie Dickman, Lecturer in Aviation Studies, The Ohio State University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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政府停摆 航空业 空中交通管制员 航班延误 航空安全 Government Shutdown Air Travel Air Traffic Control Flight Delays Air Safety
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