Fortune | FORTUNE 10月13日 23:52
房屋交易遇冷,买家退缩成常态
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当前房地产市场已转变为买方市场,导致房屋交易合同取消率显著上升。根据Redfin数据,8月份美国约有5.6万份购房协议被取消,占已签约房屋的15.1%,创下2017年以来同期新高。买家因房屋检查、维修问题、融资困难及个人财务变化等原因,要求卖家承担维修费用或大幅降价。然而,许多卖家仍固守疫情期间的高价预期,不愿妥协。低价房产虽需求旺盛,但更易出现检查问题。高企的保险费和抵押贷款利率进一步加剧了购房成本,导致整体房屋销售额预计将创下1995年以来的最低点。

🏡 **市场转向买方主导,交易取消率创纪录**:当前房地产市场供过于求,买家掌握更多谈判主动权。8月份美国约有5.6万份购房合同被取消,占签约房屋的15.1%,这是自2017年以来8月份的最高比例,显示出市场正在经历显著的调整期,买家退却成为普遍现象。

🔧 **房屋检查与维修成交易失败首要原因**:数据显示,高达70.4%的合同取消归因于房屋检查或维修问题。买家倾向于要求卖家承担房屋的修复成本,或大幅度降低售价以弥补潜在的维修支出,而卖家在这些要求上的不妥协是导致交易破裂的关键因素。

💰 **卖家预期与现实脱节,成本压力加剧**:许多卖家仍未能适应市场变化,固守疫情期间的高价预期,不愿接受低于其购买成本或期望售价的价格。同时,不断上涨的保险费用和居高不下的抵押贷款利率,使得购房总成本显著增加,尤其是在自然灾害频发地区,这进一步挤压了买家的购买力。

📉 **整体销售额下滑,经济前景担忧加剧**:受多种因素影响,房屋销售正朝着1995年以来的最低点迈进。近70%的美国人认为经济前景不乐观,73%的人认为目前不是购房的好时机,这种普遍的经济焦虑情绪正在从买家蔓延至卖家,对整体房地产市场的活跃度造成负面影响。

It’s a buyer’s market, and that means house hunters are walking away from contracts more frequently, according to data from Redfin. Sellers outnumber buyers in the housing market by about 500,000, the real-estate firm said, as it found that buyers are wielding more negotiating leverage and asking sellers to cover the cost of any repairs that need to be done and demanding price cuts.

At the same time, many sellers are not accommodating the concerns of would-be buyers, who have become pickier and are seeking more concessions.

About 56,000 U.S. purchase agreements were canceled in August, representing 15.1% of homes that went under contract. That’s the highest share for August deals falling through in records dating back to 2017. It’s also up from 14.3% in August 2024 and well above the post-pandemic housing frenzy’s rate of 11.4% in August 2021.

“Home purchases are falling through more frequently because buyers and sellers oftentimes aren’t on the same page and aren’t willing to compromise,” Redfin said in its report.

In a survey of Redfin’s real estate agents, 70.4% said home inspection or repair issues were the cause of canceled contracts—by far the top reason.

That was followed by 27.8% who said buyer financing fell through, 21% who said buyers were unable to sell their current homes, 14.9% who cited changes in a buyer’s financial situation, and 12.9% who said a buyer had found another house they preferred.

Redfin

In addition, many of the cities with the highest cancelation rates were in Florida and Texas, which have seen a surge in housing supply after a pandemic-era exodus to those states triggered a building boom.

Meanwhile, sellers still think their homes will command high asking prices like they did during the housing bonanza in 2020 and 2021, or they paid so much for their properties and aren’t not willing to budge on the price.

A new reality for sellers

“Some are having a hard time adjusting to the reality that it’s no longer a seller’s market because it seems like just yesterday that homes were getting dozens of offers and fetching tens of thousands of dollars over the asking price,” Redfin said.

The report also pointed out that lower-priced homes are in greater demand because overall homeownership costs have jumped in recent years, and those homes are more likely to have issues come up during inspections.

Insurance premiums have surged in states like Florida and California that have seen more natural disasters, contributing to the increase in ownership costs.

Meanwhile, mortgage rates remain high despite coming down since the Federal Reserve lowered benchmark borrowing costs.

In fact, pending home sales actually fell in September, the first time in nearly three months, even as the weekly average mortgage rate dropped for nine consecutive weeks.

Amid the weak demand, home sales are headed for their worst year since 1995 as economic concerns spread from buyers to sellers. A Fannie Mae survey earlier this month showed nearly 70% of Americans believe the economy is headed in the wrong direction, and 73% think it’s a bad time to buy a house. 

Given all the anxiety, sometimes sellers who are willing to accommodate buyers’ demands still can’t overcome their cold feet.

“I worked with one seller who received 78 repair requests from a buyer following the inspection, and that was after the seller had already agreed to lower their $375,000 asking price by $25,000 because the house needed some improvements,” said Dawn Liedtke, a Redfin real estate agent in Tampa. “The buyer came back and said they would handle the cost of the repairs, but only if the seller was willing to lower the price by another $100,000. The deal didn’t work out.”

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房地产市场 房屋交易 买方市场 合同取消 房屋检查 维修成本 抵押贷款利率 经济前景 Redfin
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