Fortune | FORTUNE 10月11日 17:29
体育博彩中的“串关”投注:高风险高回报的吸引力
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体育博彩中的“串关”(parlay)投注因其低投入、高回报的特性吸引了众多玩家,即使是少量投注也有可能获得巨额奖金。这种投注方式要求连续多个赛果都命中才能赢钱,虽然概率较低,但其诱人的赔率使其迅速流行。研究表明,串关投注是体育博彩公司盈利的重要来源,其复杂性和低中奖率使得投注者更容易亏损。尽管一些平台已开始采取措施,如设置投注限额和提供“暂停”选项,但串关投注的便捷性和普及性,尤其是在年轻一代中,仍在推动体育博彩行业的增长。

💰 **串关投注的巨大吸引力**:串关投注以其“小额投入,巨额回报”的特性吸引玩家,即使是15美元的投注也有可能赢得超过14万美元。这种“小数字,大回报”的模式,使其听起来像一个令人兴奋的可能性,从而抓住人们的心理。

📈 **体育博彩公司的主要收入来源**:串关投注已成为体育博彩公司重要的“造雨者”。数据显示,在一些主要市场,串关投注占体育博彩总收入的比例很高,并且投注者在串关投注上的亏损率高于单一投注,这使得体育博彩公司能够从中获利。

🧩 **串关投注的复杂化与风险增加**:随着时间的推移,串关投注的组合方式变得越来越复杂,这进一步降低了获胜的概率。曾经最流行的串关投注是两到五项组合,而现在更加复杂的组合更为常见,这使得中奖变得更加困难。研究表明,串关投注的统计概率极低,是体育博彩公司稳赚不赔的方式之一。

📱 **科技推动的普及与潜在风险**:2018年最高法院的裁决解除了对体育博彩的禁令,加上移动应用的发展,使得体育博彩触及更多人群,特别是年轻一代(Gen Z)。便捷的在线投注方式,加上社交功能和朋友间的竞赛,进一步刺激了用户参与。然而,便捷性也带来了更高的风险,尤其是与酒精消费和情绪化决策相结合时,可能导致冲动的投注行为和财务损失。

A small risk seldom leads to a big reward, but it’s certainly not impossible. Last week, a sports betting customer won more than $142,000 from a three-leg parlay, wagering three NFL tight ends would score the first touchdowns of their respective games, DraftKings posted on X. The initial wager was just $15.

The exponentially larger hit from a meager wager is the temptation of a parlay. It’s a type of betting that, instead of requiring a singular win to cash out on a bet, relies on a string of winning scenarios that—while unlikely to all happen—allows winnings to snowball from a two-digit wager to a six-figure payout. The seemingly low-risk, high-reward form of gambling has taken the sports betting world by storm.

“The real appeal of them is the kind of insane payout rate,” Joshua Grubbs, an associate professor at the University of New Mexico who studies gambling addiction, told Fortune. “You see small number, big payoff, which is appealing to people because it sounds like an amazing possibility.”

Though the winning bettors may seem like the big winners, it’s the sportsbooks that have cashed in on the growing fever surrounding sports betting. In 2024, the hobby generated $13.71 billion, a 25.4% increase from 2023, according to state regulatory data compiled by the American Gaming Association. 

Parlays are often the rainmakers for sportsbooks, with more than 70% of NFL and NBA bets on FanDuel coming from parlays in 2023, according to FanDuel parent company Flutter Entertainment.Parlays made up 56% of sports betting revenue in Illinois, New Jersey, and Colorado in 2021, The Wall Street Journal reported earlier this year. According to Rutgers University’s Center for Gambling Studies, New Jersey bettors lost $1.41 per dollar won in parlays in 2020. That’s compared to a $1.05 to $1 loss ratio for whole moneyline bets.

Moreover, parlay bets are getting more complicated as time goes on, decreasing the chances of winning. In 2020, the most popular parlays had five legs, Rutgers reported. The year before, two-leg parlays were the most popular.

“The notion of a parlay in general is so statistically unlikely to happen that it is one of the surest fire ways for the sportsbooks to just make the money off that,” Grubbs said.

The rise of parlays

The sports betting industry rocketed to success after a 2018 Supreme Court decision effectively struck down a ban on sports gambling, paving the way for 38 states to legalize the practice. Its popularity has even permeated the sports industry itself: This week the NCAA took a step forward in allowing athletes and department staff members to wager on professional sports following a Division I Administrative Committee approval of the shift.

With a swath of apps taking betting from the casino to one’s pocket, the industry has captured the interest of Gen Z, who saw a 7% year-over-year increase in online sports betting activity as of 2025’s second quarter, TransUnion found in a report released last month. The accessibility of online sportsbooks has capitalized on Gen Z’s love of gambling, with enthusiasts defending the practice as a form of investment.

For parlay betting in particular, there’s a dearth of research on why exactly it makes sportsbook customers tick, Shane Kraus, an associate professor of psychology at University of Nevada, Las Vegas, told Fortune. He said the betting type’s personalizable features (users can select the different legs of their parlays) as well as the ability to create bets after a game has started, make them especially appealing. Beyond offering incentives to refer platforms to others, emerging apps have also created ways to bet alongside friends, setting up leaderboards and teams of other users.

Then, of course, there’s the research suggesting alcohol consumption, often associated with sports spectating, is associated with larger wagers and more rapid loss of money.

“You’re excited, you’re upset, you’re drinking, and you’re watching a football game, and then you start doing parlays or live bets—I don’t think you’re probably going to make the best decisions,” Kraus said.

But Kraus, who studies gambling disorders, attributes the growing popularity of parlays less to the users, and more to the sportsbooks. Though sportsbooks’ advertising spending has remained flat at around $666 million in 2024, according to Neilson Ad Intel, Kraus said messaging from sportsbooks is everywhere, including during games and matches, when commentators walk viewers through over-under odds and parlays.

“It is creating a culture where it’s just all about money,” he said

Cracking down on sports betting platforms

Kraus said he fears there’s not enough being done of the apps to assuage users from placing more bets, or at least slowing them down. Gambling addiction, which impacts a little over 1% of the population, has led some to gamble away unemployment checks and even lose their homes.

Sports betting platforms, for their part, have made moves to put safeguards in place. FanDuel has set up a review system on its platform to look at a user’s hours on the site or language used with customer service teams that could trigger a review, the outcome of which could exclude a player from the platform through a “time-out” or imposing a deposit limit, a spokesperson told Fortune. About 90% of same-game parlays on the platform have a wager of $30 or less and 60% are for $5 or less.

“Our customers understand that these are fun, entertaining bets with a lower likelihood of winning,” the spokesperson said in a statement.

But University of New Mexico professor Grubbs noted that as long as making a wager is as easy as pressing a few buttons on a phone, “there is going to be a lot of potential for things to go sideways.”

“I don’t think these sportsbooks are out there saying, ‘Oh, we need to get people addicted to gambling.’ I don’t think that that’s what they’re trying to do,” Grubbs said. “I think they’re trying to make their product as accessible and appealing as possible, to get as many people involved as possible. 

“And what’s the net effect of that? Well, the net effect of that is sports betting has exponentially increased since 2018,” he concluded.

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体育博彩 串关投注 parlay 高风险高回报 赌博 Sports Betting Parlay Betting High-Risk High-Reward Gambling Gen Z
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