Fortune | FORTUNE 10月10日 22:28
区域电网成本飙升,多州考虑退出
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美国东海岸一个大型区域电网PJM正面临多州政府的压力,原因在于电网成本飙升至历史新高。能源消耗巨大的数据中心激增是主要推手,它们推高了电力需求并增加了普通消费者的电费。此外,州政府还批评电网运营商PJM Interconnection LLC在整合可再生能源方面进展缓慢,加剧了供不应求的局面。宾夕法尼亚州州长威胁要退出该电网,而新泽西和马里兰州也正在评估其选择。尽管退出电网可能面临高昂的成本和复杂的监管程序,但各州正积极寻求改革途径,以确保其居民获得可靠且负担得起的电力供应。

📈 **成本飙升与数据中心扩张**: 近期,由宾夕法尼亚、新泽西和马里兰等州联合建立的PJM区域电网面临电力成本飙升至历史新高的严峻挑战。这一现象的背后,一个关键因素是区域内能源消耗巨大的数据中心的快速扩张,它们极大地推高了电力需求,直接导致了普通消费者的电费上涨,引发了公众和政府的不满。

⏳ **可再生能源整合缓慢**: 除了数据中心带来的需求压力,多州政府还对PJM的运作效率表示担忧。宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗等政界人士批评PJM Interconnection LLC在将成本低廉的可再生能源接入电网方面进展过于缓慢。这种整合的延迟,在需求激增的同时,进一步加剧了区域内的电力供应紧张局面,使得电网在保障能源供应方面面临双重压力。

⚖️ **多州寻求退出或改革**: 面对高企的电费和供应紧张,包括宾夕法尼亚、新泽西和马里兰在内的多个州正在认真考虑退出PJM电网网络的可能性。例如,新泽西州立法机构已指示州公用事业委员会评估退出PJM的选项,马里兰州议员也在探索相关方案。然而,退出一个服务于五分之一美国人口的区域电网并非易事,可能涉及高昂的成本、联邦监管批准以及与现有合同的复杂协调,因此,各州也在探索更可行的改革途径,如参与PJM的决策过程或调整其在容量市场中的角色。

💡 **改革方向与未来展望**: 尽管退出PJM可能是一个“核选项”,但各州更倾向于推动PJM进行内部改革。新泽西州议员表示,希望通过合作而非独立运作来解决问题。一种可能的改革方向是为各州在联邦电力法案下争取更正式的发言权,使其能够参与PJM的运营决策。此外,有州提议公开PJM成员的投票记录,以增加透明度,确保公用事业公司真正代表选民的最佳利益。目前,PJM方面则回应称,其工作已为消费者节省了数十亿美元,并正努力应对日益增长的电力需求。

When utilities from Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Maryland established what is today the largest US grid, they aimed to provide power at the lowest possible price. But nearly 70 years later, the cost of securing power has surged to record highs, prompting Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro to threaten to leave the now-13-state network. 

A key issue is the proliferation of energy-hungry data centers in the region, which are driving up demand and raising utility bills for ordinary consumers. Shapiro and other politicians also complain that grid operator PJM Interconnection LLC has been too slow to integrate inexpensive renewable energy sources onto the grid, contributing to a supply crunch even as demand skyrockets. 

That’s turned PJM into a test case for artificial intelligence’s voracious energy needs, as well as a political battleground. In New Jersey, lawmakers ordered the state utility commission to evaluate whether it should leave PJM, while Maryland lawmakers are similarly considering their options.

“Governor Shapiro has been clear that all 13 states need to be given meaningful input in key decision-making at PJM,” said his spokesperson Rosie Lapowsky. “PJM’s governance structure continues to favor special interests over the people – putting the region out of step with how other grid operators across the country operate – and raising concern about their ability to ensure reliable and affordable utility for our region.”

Breaking from a grid that serves one-fifth of Americans, though, would be costly and difficult.

While Pennsylvania and others depend on the grid for almost all of their electricity, states aren’t actually members of PJM. Reducing their reliance on the grid, then, would involve compelling utilities to leave PJM, or securing electricity from alternative sources. 

Costly Divorce

Theoretically, states could enact legislation ordering utilities to exit PJM and then join or form a new grid network. “We have been exploring legislation along these lines,” said Maryland lawmaker Lorig Charkoudian.

But leaving PJM would require federal regulatory approval and oversight, and  the departing utilities would have to repay the grid operator for the power they had committed to purchasing in coming years, as well as cover their share of transmission and other maintenance costs. 

Membership in a regional grid is voluntary, and utilities have threatened to leave PJM before. Yet only one utility has ever followed through. In 2008, Duquesne Light won approval to withdraw from PJM and join a neighboring grid, but the utility ultimately halted the process because it would have added $100 million a year in costs through 2011, Reuters reported at the time. 

Not Enough Supply

A simpler way for states to cut their ties to PJM would be to buy power supplies directly from generators. New Jersey, for instance, is looking to contract out more than 80% of its supply, said Assemblyman Robert Karabinchak. New legislation also authorizes the Board of Public Utilities to negotiate bilateral agreements with other states for the first time, he said. 

But a key reason that PJM’s costs have surged is that there simply isn’t enough supply to meet growing demand. Conditions on the grid are expected to grow increasingly tighter, with peak demand jumping by 32 gigawatts from last 2024 to 2030, according to the grid operator. 

In many cases, utilities would have to build new power plants. In Pennsylvania, that’s not so easy. The state doesn’t allow utilities to pass the costs of building new generation onto ratepayers, so they don’t have a financial incentive to construct more plants. And although lawmakers have introduced legislation to change that, commissioning and building would take years. 

Partial Split

Another option: States could compel utilities to withdraw from PJM’s capacity market, only. The capacity market consists of annual auctions that determine how much money utilities — and ultimately homes and businesses — will pay power plants to be ready to supply electricity. They’re meant to ensure PJM has enough future capacity for rising demand. 

They’re also the source of much of the criticism about spiking costs. In 2024 and 2025, the price of power from the auctions reached record levels, totaling $30.8 billion over both years. More than half of that amount came from data-center demand, according to a report by Monitoring Analytics, the independent watchdog for PJM. 

For Pennsylvania, New Jersey and other states, the 2024 auction was a tipping point because of its “unbelievable negative impact” on ratepayers, said Karabinchak. 

“We understand states’ concerns about tightening electricity supply and rising demand,” PJM spokesman Jeff Shields said in an emailed statement. But he added that the grid operator has “saved consumers billions of dollars” for Pennsylvania and other states by incentivizing the construction of new power plants. 

If utilities pulled out of the capacity auctions, they could procure supplies through bilateral contracts. Dominion Energy Inc. did this in 2021. Concerned that PJM’s capacity market rules didn’t align with its own investment priorities, Dominion decided to opt out of the market for five years, but ending up returning early so it could cash in on strong demand growth from data centers.

Pennsylvania has big data center ambitions of its own, and forcing utilities to withdraw from the capacity auction could make it difficult for them to meet demand from that sector. 

Formal role

Despite Shapiro’s threats, leaving PJM would be a nuclear option that most states aren’t prepared to take.

“I’m not looking to leave them; I want them to change,” said New Jersey’s Karabinchak. “It is better to work together than to work independently.” 

One way to do that is to give states a formal voice under section 205 of the Federal Power Act, which would allow them to initiate proceedings with regulators and weigh in on how PJM operates. That would require PJM or one of its members to ask the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to grant states that right. 

Ultimately, the entities with the most power to change PJM are its members, including utilities, which vote on the grid operator’s policies and procedures. Those votes, though, are confidential, leaving states in the dark about whether the utilities are acting in their best interests or not. So some states have asked for those votes to be made public. 

“States are frustrated – they feel that there’s nothing they can do to protect their households and ratepayers from these rising costs,” said Jessi Eidbo, senior advisor at Sierra Club. “The status quo was not tenable.”

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PJM 电力成本 数据中心 可再生能源 区域电网 能源政策 Pennsylvania New Jersey Maryland PJM Interconnection LLC Grid costs Data centers Renewable energy Regional grid Energy policy
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