Fortune | FORTUNE 10月09日 23:03
年轻一代信贷分数下滑引担忧
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近期报告显示,与以往不同,年轻一代(Gen Z)的平均FICO信用分数出现显著下滑,跌至676分,远低于全国平均水平。专家指出,这不仅是年轻消费者面临的挑战,也预示着更广泛信贷市场的健康问题。年轻一代在通胀和高利率环境下,难以通过储蓄、投资或房产增值积累财富,加之学生贷款回归和“末日消费”现象,使其财务状况愈发脆弱。这种结构性问题与高通胀、数字信贷和社交媒体消费压力同时存在,可能导致其陷入债务循环,错失发展机会,影响长期财务前景。尽管如此,专家也呼吁年轻一代从错误中学习,培养财务韧性。

📈 **信贷分数下滑的现状与影响**:与以往年轻消费者信贷分数快速增长的趋势不同,Gen Z今年经历了自2020年以来最显著的年同比下降,平均FICO分数跌至676分,比全国平均水平低39分。这种下滑被视为“危险信号”,不仅对年轻一代的财务健康构成威胁,也可能影响更广泛的信贷市场。较低的信用分数会增加获得信用卡或贷款的难度,提高借贷成本,甚至影响汽车保险和租房申请,可能使年轻一代陷入债务和错失发展机会的循环。

📉 **结构性挑战与多重压力**:Gen Z的财务脆弱性被认为是结构性的,而非周期性的。他们是第一代同时面临高通胀、数字信贷普及以及社交媒体消费压力的一代。与前几代人相比,他们积累储蓄、投资股市或从房产增值中获益的时间较短,且面临学生贷款回归和“末日消费”等问题,使其财务基础比年长者更为不稳固。专家认为,年轻一代的借贷更多是为了维持基本生活稳定,而非奢侈消费,这反映了他们在奖励稳定但充满波动的金融体系中建立财务身份的困境。

🏡 **长期财务风险与社会性问题**:信贷分数的下降可能带来长期的“滚雪球”效应,尤其是在消费和还款习惯未改变的情况下。Gen Z平均承担的个人债务远高于千禧一代和X世代,且房租高企使得储蓄首付款变得异常困难,进一步推高了购房的门槛。这种一代人无法建立财务稳定性的状况,不仅是个人问题,也可能导致经济活力下降和家庭形成率减弱,成为一个社会性议题。

💡 **应对策略与乐观展望**:尽管面临诸多挑战,专家仍对Gen Z的财务前景持乐观态度。关键在于将其财务健康视为身体健康一样对待:允许自己犯早期错误,但要快速从中学习。培养“财务韧性”并非追求完美,而是持续的迭代和改进。通过调整消费和还款习惯,年轻一代仍有可能改善其财务状况,并为未来的财务增长奠定基础。

Typically, younger consumers see the fastest year-over-year gains in credit scores as they build their financial histories. But this year, the opposite happened: Gen Z just experienced the steepest annual drop of any age group since 2020, with their average FICO credit score slipping three points to 676. That’s 39 points lower than the national average of 715, according to a new FICO report.

The decline is a “red flag,” said Erin Stillwell, head of payments at Globant—not only for young consumers, but for the health of the broader credit market.

“Today’s young adults borrow just to reach baseline stability, not luxury,” she told Fortune. “The decline reflects a generation building financial identity in a system that rewards stability but gives volatility.”

And that volatility is piling up. Gen Z is more likely to feel the sting of stubborn inflation and high interest rates. With less time to build savings, invest in the stock market, or benefit from home appreciation, they’re already on shakier financial ground than their older counterparts. Add in the return of student loan payments and the rise of “doomspending”—the impulse to spend as a way with financial anxiety—and it’s become a perfect storm.

“Compared to past generations, Gen Z’s financial fragility isn’t just cyclical—it’s structural,” added Stillwell. “Gen Z is the first cohort facing high inflation, digital credit, and social-media-driven consumption pressure simultaneously.”

The long-term financial ‘snowball’ that could trap Gen Z

While it’s not uncommon for credit scores to ebb and flow—especially amid major shifts like the return of student loan payments—the current downturn could have lasting consequences if spending and repayment habits don’t change.

“I really was so disheartened when the information came out that Gen Z, the generation that is coming up, [that is supposed] to essentially help our country move in the way that it’s supposed to move… saw this catastrophic drop,” credit expert Micah Smith told Fox Business. “Once the credit scores drop, it’s like this snowball effect. Because what it does is, it impacts everything you do moving forward.”

A lower credit score can make it harder to qualify for credit cards or loans, push up borrowing costs, or even affect car insurance or apartment applications. Over time, that can trap young adults in a cycle of debt and missed opportunities to grow their financial futures—from starting a business to buying a home.

Homeownership in particular, long considered a cornerstone of the American Dream, is already slipping further out of reach. Gen Zers now carry more than $94,000 in personal debt on average, a Newsweek poll showed—far more than millennials’ roughly $60,000 or Gen X’s $53,000. With rent prices still high across much of the country, saving for a down payment can feel nearly impossible.

“It’s not just an individual issue—it’s a societal one,” Stillwell said. “A generation unable to build financial stability translates into lower economic dynamism and weaker household formation.”

Still, she said there’s room for optimism—especially if Gen Z treats their financial health just how they treat their body’s wellbeing: “Forgive yourself for early mistakes, but learn from them fast.” 

“Financial resilience isn’t perfection; it’s iteration,” Stillwell said.

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Gen Z 信用分数 FICO 通货膨胀 高利率 学生贷款 财务韧性 Gen Z Credit Score FICO Inflation High Interest Rates Student Loans Financial Resilience
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