Fortune | FORTUNE 10月09日 22:46
加沙停火协议接近达成,人质与囚犯交换在望
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一份由美国政府推动的更广泛和平计划正逐步推进,尽管围绕哈马斯解除武装和加沙未来治理等细节仍存不确定性。然而,双方似乎比数月前更接近结束冲突。这场始于去年10月7日哈马斯袭击的战争已导致数万巴勒斯坦人死亡,加沙大部分地区化为废墟,并引发了地区冲突和全球抗议。尽管协议有望签署,但以军仍在继续袭击。在加沙南部,人们在庆祝的同时也伴随着悲痛,许多人担心返回的家园已无法居住。而在特拉维夫,人质家属则激动地庆祝,期待亲人早日归来。协议内容包括哈马斯释放所有人质,以及以军从加沙大部分地区撤离,同时还将恢复多个边境口岸,允许大量人道主义援助进入。该计划还设想了巴勒斯坦权力机构在改革后的参与,以及国际社会主导的重建工作。

🫙 停火协议曙光初现:尽管围绕哈马斯解除武装和加沙未来治理等细节尚存疑问,但一份由美国政府推动的和平计划正逐步推进,有望结束已持续多时的冲突。该计划旨在实现人质与囚犯的交换,并促使以军从加沙大部分地区撤离。

humanitarian aid is crucial. The agreement includes reopening border crossings like Rafah, allowing for a substantial increase in aid trucks, which is vital for alleviating the dire humanitarian situation in Gaza. This aspect aims to address the widespread destruction and famine reported in the territory.

🕊️ 和平计划的未来愿景:该计划不仅关注眼前的 ceasefire,还勾勒了加沙的长期发展蓝图。其中包括巴勒斯坦权力机构在改革后的潜在参与,以及由美国主导的、获得国际社会资助的大规模重建工作。此外,计划还设想了由阿拉伯和穆斯林国家军队组成的一支国际部队负责加沙内部的安全。

⚖️ 复杂局势下的各方立场:协议的推进伴随着各方复杂的情绪。人质家属在特拉维夫庆祝,表达了对亲人即将获释的喜悦。然而,加沙居民在庆祝的同时也深感悲痛,担忧家园的损毁和未来生活的不确定性。以色列内部,部分强硬派官员对释放大量囚犯表示担忧,同时强调需要确保加沙的非军事化。哈马斯则呼吁确保协议的无折扣执行。

Uncertainty remains about aspects of the broader peace plan advanced by the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump — such as whether and how Hamas will disarm and who will govern Gaza. But the sides appear closer than they have been in months to ending a war that has killed tens of thousands of Palestinians, reduced much of Gaza to rubble, brought famine to parts of the territory, and left dozens of hostages, living and dead, in Gaza.

The war, which began with Hamas’ deadly attack on Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, has also triggered other conflicts in the region, sparked worldwide protests and led to allegations of genocide that Israel denies.

Even with the agreement expected to be signed later in the day, Israeli strikes continued, with explosions seen Thursday in northern Gaza. There were no immediate reports of damage or casualties.

An Israeli military official who spoke on the condition of anonymity in line with military guidelines said that Israel was continuing to hit targets that posed a threat to its troops as they reposition.

In the southern Gaza city of Khan Younis, celebrations were relatively muted and often colored by grief.

“I am happy and unhappy. We have lost a lot of people and lost loved ones, friends and family. We lost our homes,” said Mohammad Al-Farra. “Despite our happiness, we cannot help but think of what is to come. … The areas we are going back to, or intending to return to, are uninhabitable.”

In Tel Aviv, families of the remaining hostages popped champagne and cried tears of joy after Trump announced a deal late Wednesday.

In Jerusalem on Thursday, Sharon Canot celebrated with some others.

“We are so excited this morning, we cried all morning,” she said. “It’s been two years that we are in horror.”

Under the terms, Hamas intends to release all living hostages in a matter of days, while the Israeli military will begin a withdrawal from the majority of Gaza, people familiar with the matter told The Associated Press on condition of anonymity to discuss details of an agreement that has not fully been made public. Some 20 of the 48 hostages still in captivity are believed to be alive.

In a short video posted by U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Trump was seen speaking by phone to a group of elated hostage families.

“The hostages will come back,” said Trump, who is expected in the region in the coming days. “They are all coming back on Monday.”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu plans to convene his Security Cabinet late Thursday to approve the ceasefire, and the entire parliament will then meet to approve the release of Palestinian prisoners.

Far-right Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, who has opposed previous ceasefire deals, said he had “mixed emotions.”

While he welcomed the return of the hostages, he said he had “immense fear about the consequences of emptying the jails and releasing the next generation of terrorist leaders” and called for Israel to continue trying to eradicate Hamas and ensure Gaza is demilitarized once the hostages are released.

Hamas, meanwhile, called on Trump and the mediators to ensure that Israel implements “without disavowal or delay” the troop withdrawal, the entry of aid into Gaza and the exchange of prisoners.

How the deal will unfold

The deal being submitted to Israel’s parliament and then expected to be signed in Egypt will include a list of prisoners to be released and maps for the first phase of an Israeli withdrawal to new positions in Gaza, according to two Egyptian officials briefed on the talks, a Hamas official and another official.

Israel will publish the list of the prisoners — and victims of their attacks have 24 hours to lodge objections.

The withdrawal could start as soon as Thursday evening, said the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to be publicly named speaking about the negotiations.

As Trump indicated, the hostage and prisoner releases are expected to begin Monday, the officials from Egypt and Hamas said, though the other official said they could occur as early as Sunday night.

Five border crossings would reopen, including the Rafah crossing between Gaza and Egypt, allowing 400 trucks in the initial days and increasing to 600 trucks after that, the Egyptian and Hamas officials said.

The Trump peace plan calls for Israel to maintain an open-ended military presence inside Gaza, along its border with Israel. An international force, comprised largely of troops from Arab and Muslim countries, would be responsible for security inside Gaza. The U.S. would lead a massive internationally funded reconstruction effort.

The plan also envisions an eventual role for the Palestinian Authority — something Netanyahu has long opposed. But it requires the authority, which administers parts of the West Bank, to undergo a sweeping reform program that could take years.

The Trump plan is even more vague about a future Palestinian state, which Netanyahu firmly rejects.

Some 1,200 people were killed in the Hamas-led assault that triggered the war, and 251 were taken hostage.

In Israel’s ensuing offensive, more than 67,000 Palestinians have been killed in Gaza and nearly 170,000 wounded during the war, according to Gaza’s Health Ministry, which doesn’t differentiate between civilians and combatants but says around half of the deaths were women and children. The ministry is part of the Hamas-run government, and the United Nations and many independent experts consider its figures to be the most reliable estimate of wartime casualties.

Relief at a deal

Even with many details yet to be agreed, many expressed relief at the progress.

Beginning Wednesday night and continuing into Thursday, joyful relatives of hostages and their supporters spilled into Tel Aviv’s central square, which has become the main gathering point in the effort to free the captives. Many sang and danced as they waved Israeli and American flags.

Einav Zangauker, the mother of Israeli captive Matan Zangauker, told reporters that she wants to tell her son she loves him.

“If I have one dream, it is seeing Matan sleep in his own bed,” she said.

From the central Gaza city of Deir al-Balah, Alaa Abd Rabbo called the announcement “a godsend.”

“This is the day we have been waiting for,” said Abd Rabbo, who was originally from northern Gaza but was forced to move multiple times during the war. “We want to go home.”

This would be the third ceasefire since the start of the war. The previous two also saw hostages and prisoners exchanged. Israel ended the most recent ceasefire, which started in January, with a surprise bombardment in March.

Ayman Saber, a Palestinian from Khan Younis, said he plans to return to his home city and try to rebuild his house, which was destroyed last year by an Israeli strike.

“I will rebuild the house, we will rebuild Gaza,” he said.

___

Lidman reported from Tel Aviv, Israel, and Shurafa from Deir al-Balah, Gaza Strip. Associated Press writers Eric Tucker and Aamer Madhani in Washington, Sarah El Deeb in Beirut, David Rising in Bangkok, Sam Mednick in Tel Aviv, Israel, and Giovanna Dell’Orto in Jerusalem contributed to this report.

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加沙停火 人质交换 和平计划 Gaza Ceasefire Hostage Release Peace Plan US Diplomacy
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