Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg 10月09日 11:38
事实的演变与科学的自我修正
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

本文探讨了如何将事实视为不断发展的草稿而非固定不变的纪念碑。当定义和真理是暂时的、可接近时,我们应如何行动?文章深入讨论了科学工具的进步如何重塑我们对世界的认知,以及是改进现有真理还是不断取代它们。此外,还分析了哪些公共叙事能使科学的自我修正变得清晰可信,以及科学如何才能做到自我修正而非自我赞扬。最后,作者思考了如何奖励重复性研究、修正错误以及工具开发,并探讨了通才与专才的平衡,以及测量如何扩展我们提问的范围。

💡 将事实视为“草稿”而非“纪念碑”意味着认识到知识的动态性和可修正性。这种视角鼓励我们以开放的心态对待信息,理解当前的认识可能是暂时的,并为未来的更新和改进留有空间。这与僵化地将事实视为永恒不变的真理形成对比,后者可能阻碍进步和学习。

🔬 科学工具的进步是重塑我们对世界认知的关键驱动力。更先进的测量、计算和观察工具能够揭示以前无法发现的现象,验证或挑战现有理论,从而不断更新我们对现实的理解。这种迭代过程是科学进步的核心。

⚖️ 促进科学的自我修正而非自我赞扬,需要建立一种鼓励诚实评估、承认局限性和积极纠正错误的文化。这包括对重复性研究的重视,对错误修正的奖励,以及发展能够促进透明度和问责制的公共叙事和制度。

❓ 测量不仅是量化,它还能扩展我们能够提出和回答的问题的范围。新的测量技术能够捕捉到以前无法感知的变量或现象,从而催生新的研究领域和更深入的理解。进步可以被看作是朝着目标前进,也可以是被视为探索有趣“脚踏石”的过程。

Read the full transcript here. • What does it mean to treat facts as drafts rather than monuments? If truth is something we approach, how do we act while it’s still provisional? When definitions shift, what really changes? How do better instruments quietly rewrite the world we think we know? Are we mostly refining truths or replacing them? When do scientific metaphors clarify and when do they mislead? What public stories make self-correction legible and trusted? What features make science self-correct rather than self-congratulatory? How should we reward replication, repair, and tool-building? Do we need more generalists - or better bridges between tribes? How does measurement expand the very questions we can ask? Is progress a goal-seeking march or a search for interesting stepping stones? Should we teach computing as a liberal art to widen its aims? Will AI turn software into a home-cooked meal for everyone? How do we design tools that increase wonder, not just efficiency? • Samuel Arbesman is Scientist in Residence at Lux Capital. He is also an xLab senior fellow at Case Western Reserve University’s Weatherhead School of Management and a research fellow at the Long Now Foundation. His writing has appeared in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and The Atlantic, and he was previously a contributing writer for Wired. He is the author of the new book The Magic of Code, and his previous books are Overcomplicated: Technology at the Limits of Comprehension and The Half-Life of Facts: Why Everything We Know Has an Expiration Date. He holds a PhD in computational biology from Cornell University and lives in Cleveland with his family. • Links: • Sam's Recent Titles: The Half-Life of Facts (https://www.amazon.com/Half-life-Facts-Everything-Know-Expiration/dp/B009EDCRN2/ref=sr_1_1?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.NICYfBRltGVfu7npos0SdgZ1Au5Pq_F2eHPNY5UM5wd0IyblL0pgSbyvWL-mKeWmtsyr-Fsw6gNTY4p3-dnzYrpFM6cFNsrRCZRDFlHdyI8gdKZI6PzMiyLrc21KnMx-dxG5ReIkfFtdrNeREC9zG4c9AT5kp6Pa-rEW3Fds1GkmH7szKny58_YrP80nVpb3Wcscfe9TB19kiotmqApJZkOApwwRmZHlKX42XfQaglA.l_pX8NicBV0A-mrRMD_DL6DbxBcqUb50umQrM1mvbqc;dib_tag=se;hvadid=695267647093;hvdev=c;hvexpln=67;hvlocphy=9060354;hvnetw=g;hvocijid=15428950593330253777--;hvqmt=e;hvrand=15428950593330253777;hvtargid=kwd-315234470870;hydadcr=22537_13531293;keywords=half+life+of+facts;mcid=de4a744ec9ec38d5870e891340e6ad26;qid=1752281545;sr=8-1) and The Magic of Code (https://www.amazon.com/Magic-Code-Language-Connects-World_and/dp/1541704487) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • Uri Bram (https://uribram.com/) — Factotum • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

事实的演变 科学的自我修正 知识论 科学方法 测量 The Evolution of Facts Scientific Self-Correction Epistemology Scientific Method Measurement
相关文章