taiyangnews 10月08日 23:05
太阳能成为全球最便宜能源
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英国萨里大学先进技术研究所(ATI)的一项新研究表明,太阳能已成为全球最便宜的电力来源,在阳光充足的国家每千瓦时(kWh)成本低至0.02英镑(约合0.027美元),低于煤炭、天然气和风力发电。随着锂离子电池成本的持续下降,太阳能与储能系统相结合的成本效益已可与天然气发电厂媲美,成为可调度的电力来源,能够平衡电网需求。研究指出,经济优势已促使人们从“为何使用可再生能源”转向“如何快速部署它们”。中国在光伏制造和规模化生产方面发挥了关键作用,推动了硬件和组件成本的大幅下降。此外,美国《通胀削减法案》、欧盟的绿色协议和REPowerEU计划以及印度的相关激励政策,都为投资者提供了长期保障。太阳能不仅有助于降低各国对波动性化石燃料市场的依赖,还能创造本地就业机会。该研究还强调了太阳能通过分散式应用,如在撒哈拉以南非洲和南亚,在改善离网人口的能源获取和提升社会公平方面的作用。可再生能源拍卖和长期购电协议等竞争性采购机制,以及广泛部署带来的“学习效应”,共同促进了太阳能成本的下降。即使在英国这样的高纬度国家,太阳能也已成为大规模能源生产的最经济选择。

☀️ **太阳能已成为全球最经济的能源选择**:英国萨里大学的研究表明,在阳光充足的国家,太阳能的发电成本已低至每千瓦时0.02英镑(约合0.027美元),超越了煤炭、天然气和风力发电,成为最具成本效益的电力来源。

🔋 **储能技术进步推动太阳能普及**:随着锂离子电池成本的显著下降(自2010年以来下降了89%),太阳能与储能系统相结合的方案,其经济性已与天然气发电厂相当,这使得太阳能能够作为一种可调度的电力来源,有效满足电网的动态需求。

📈 **规模化生产与政策支持加速太阳能发展**:中国在光伏制造领域的规模化生产极大地降低了硬件和组件成本,而美国《通胀削减法案》、欧盟绿色协议和REPowerEU计划、以及印度的激励政策等,则为投资者提供了稳定的政策环境,共同推动了太阳能的快速部署和全球脱碳进程。

🌍 **太阳能助力能源公平与能源安全**:太阳能的广泛应用不仅有助于各国减少对波动性大的化石燃料市场的依赖,还能通过分散式部署,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲和南亚等地区,显著改善离网人口的能源获取状况,提升社会公平性,并创造本地就业机会。

💡 **技术挑战与未来发展方向**:尽管太阳能成本效益显著,但大规模部署仍面临挑战,包括如何有效整合储能系统以应对太阳能发电的波动性,以及升级现有电网以适应分布式、双向的电力流动。未来,研究下一代太阳能技术(如串联和可回收电池)以及发展智能电网、人工智能预测和区域间互联,将是确保太阳能持续发展和实现净零排放目标的关键。

A new study from the Advanced Technology Institute (ATI) at the University of Surrey in the UK finds that solar energy is now the world’s cheapest source of power. It costs as little as £0.02 ($0.027)/kWh in the sunniest countries, making it cheaper than electricity generated from coal, gas, or wind, according to its findings.  

With the cost of lithium-ion batteries also declining – having fallen 89% since 2010 – solar and storage systems are now as cost-effective as gas power plants, enabling them as a dispatchable source of power to balance grid demand.  

“This economic advantage has shifted the narrative from “why renewables?” to “how fast can we deploy them?” claims the study that provides various other references to prove the claim, including Lazard. In its 18th annual report on levelized cost of energy+, Lazard said that the average LCOE of utility-scale solar PV ranges from $38/MWh to $78/MWh. This is lower than that of gas combined cycle, coal power, and gas peaking (see Lazard Analysis: Utility-Scale Solar, Wind Still Cheapest Power Options). 

Recently, an Ember report claimed that solar-led renewables overtook coal in the global power generation for the 1st time in H1 2025 (see Ember: Global Renewables Overtook Coal In H1 2025).

According to the ATI study, falling costs, supportive policies, and technological innovation make solar energy the most cost-effective and scalable solution for global decarbonization as of 2025. China has been instrumental, as it led PV manufacturing to economies of scale, achieving substantial reductions in hardware and component costs.

Apart from China, favorable policy environments elsewhere, primarily the US’s Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the European Union’s (EU) Green Deal and REPowerEU, and India’s Production Linked Incentive (PLI), provide long-term security to the investors. Countries see solar as reducing their exposure to volatile fossil-fuel markets while generating local jobs that help the cause of solar. 

The study also highlights the impact of solar energy in improving energy access and social equity for off-grid populations through its decentralized application, such as in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia.

Competitive procurement mechanisms such as renewable energy auctions and long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) are another contributor to the decline in solar costs. Learning-by-doing effects, thanks to its widespread deployment, have also lowered soft costs related to installation, operation, and maintenance, point out the writers.  

“Even here in the UK, a country that sits 50° N of the equator, solar is the cheapest option for large scale energy generation,” said Distinguished Professor, Interim Director - Institute for Sustainability (IfS), Director - Advanced Technology Institute (ATI), and Head of NanoElectronics Centre, Professor S. Ravi P. Silva. “Simply put, this technology is no longer a moonshot prospect, but a foundational part of the resilient low carbon energy future that we all want to bring to reality.”  

Having said that, the University of Surrey study underscores the critical challenges that it says must be addressed to ensure solar energy can help achieve global net-zero emissions targets. 

One of the biggest challenges relates to the integration of energy storage to support a massive amount of solar energy generation. Storage then should scale up rapidly to keep pace with the accelerating deployment of solar PV. Electricity grids that were designed to accommodate fossil-fuel-based generation, too, need to be spruced up to manage distributed, bi-directional flows of solar PV, especially from rooftop PV systems. 

The study emphasizes continued research into next-generation solar technologies like tandem and recyclable panels that can make solar power cleaner and more efficient. It calls for increased investments with both government and industry working together.

“Connecting the growing levels of solar power to electricity networks is now one of the biggest challenges. Smart grids, artificial intelligence forecasting and stronger links between regions will be vital to keep power systems stable as renewable energy use rises,” explains Research Fellow Dr. Ehsan Rezaee. 

The University of Surrey says the study has been accepted for publication in the Energy & Environmental Materials journal. 

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太阳能 可再生能源 能源成本 储能 脱碳 Solar Energy Renewable Energy Energy Costs Energy Storage Decarbonization
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