cs.AI updates on arXiv.org 10月07日 12:14
平衡疫情与经济:多目标强化学习框架设计
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本文提出一种基于多目标强化学习与随机微分方程模拟的疫情干预策略框架,以平衡疫情控制与经济稳定。该框架在COVID-19、脊髓灰质炎和流感等疫情中均有效,并应用于麻疹疫情,为公共卫生危机的缓解提供证据支持的决策支持。

arXiv:2510.03340v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic underscored a critical need for intervention strategies that balance disease containment with socioeconomic stability. We approach this challenge by designing a framework for modeling and evaluating disease-spread prevention strategies. Our framework leverages multi-objective reinforcement learning (MORL) - a formulation necessitated by competing objectives - combined with a new stochastic differential equation (SDE) pandemic simulator, calibrated and validated against global COVID-19 data. Our simulator reproduces national-scale pandemic dynamics with orders of magnitude higher fidelity than other models commonly used in reinforcement learning (RL) approaches to pandemic intervention. Training a Pareto-Conditioned Network (PCN) agent on this simulator, we illustrate the direct policy trade-offs between epidemiological control and economic stability for COVID-19. Furthermore, we demonstrate the framework's generality by extending it to pathogens with different epidemiological profiles, such as polio and influenza, and show how these profiles lead the agent to discover fundamentally different intervention policies. To ground our work in contemporary policymaking challenges, we apply the model to measles outbreaks, quantifying how a modest 5% drop in vaccination coverage necessitates significantly more stringent and costly interventions to curb disease spread. This work provides a robust and adaptable framework to support transparent, evidence-based policymaking for mitigating public health crises.

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多目标强化学习 疫情干预 经济稳定 公共卫生危机 麻疹疫情
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