少点错误 10月07日 11:58
欧洲进步会议:反思欧洲的雄心与政策
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本文记录了在布鲁塞尔举行的欧洲进步会议的观察与思考。作者对比了欧洲与美国的进步讨论水平,指出欧洲在雄心和对未来技术的设想上似乎更为保守,更侧重于政策和制度改革,而非产业发展。会议的选址和议题选择,如对“民主”的反复提及,以及对欧盟机构运作效率的担忧,都反映了欧洲当前面临的挑战。作者也借用布鲁塞尔的Art Nouveau建筑风格,比喻了欧洲的辉煌历史和当前发展面临的停滞与衰退的风险,强调了持续关注和行动的重要性。

💡 **欧洲进步讨论的焦点与现实差距**:作者通过与美国进步会议的对比,指出欧洲在讨论进步议题时,似乎更侧重于政策和制度层面,例如讨论欧盟能源计划中的可再生能源定义,而非美国进步派热衷的“戴森球”等宏大技术愿景。这种“务实”的态度,虽然有其合理性,但也可能反映出欧洲在整体雄心水平上的不足,以及对现有资本市场和法律框架的依赖,阻碍了更具前瞻性的创新讨论。

🏛️ **政策与制度是欧洲进步的关键瓶颈**:会议选择在布鲁塞尔举行,并聚焦于欧盟机构,体现了对政策和制度在推动欧洲进步方面作用的重视。作者认为,欧洲并非缺乏人才或创意,而是缺少一个能够有效连接资本与项目的机制。例如,一个统一的、易于创建和管理的欧盟企业法律实体(EU-Inc)将极具价值,但作者也强调,更容易获得的资本将能缓解许多现有法律障碍带来的不便,从而自然提升整体雄心。

🗣️ **“民主”议题的突出与欧洲官僚体系的困境**:作者注意到会议中频繁提及“民主”一词,认为这可能与欧洲机构的低效和功能失调有关。虽然增长不必然与民主对立,但当前欧洲的制度设计,如委员会成员的遴选机制,可能导致领导层能力的不足。作者以布鲁塞尔的Schuman环岛重建工程为例,说明了欧盟机构在实际执行层面面临的长期困境,即使是看似简单的项目也可能旷日持久。

🖼️ **Art Nouveau建筑的象征意义与对进步的警示**:布鲁塞尔随处可见的Art Nouveau建筑,是欧洲辉煌的“美好年代”的遗产,象征着曾经的繁荣与进步。然而,这些建筑中许多的陈旧与破败,如剥落的油漆和涂鸦,也警示着进步若被忽视和放任,终将停滞甚至走向衰败。这与比利时在工业化方面的先驱地位形成对比,也呼应了欧洲在当前发展中可能面临的挑战,需要积极应对而非被动等待。

🌐 **欧洲公共领域缺失与信息流通的障碍**:文章提出,欧洲缺乏一个共同的公共讨论空间,使得政策辩论主要局限于各国国内,而无法形成欧洲层面的共同意见。24种语言和27种不同的媒体环境,给建立一个统一的欧洲公共广场带来了巨大挑战。作者认为,建立一个促进讨论和连接博客与政策的渠道,将有助于解决问题,但其实现的难度不言而喻。

Published on October 7, 2025 3:50 AM GMT

Facade detail from Maison les Hiboux, Brussels. By Andrea Jašková.

Last year, after the first Progress Conference was held in Berkeley, I wrote a blog post suggesting that we need a similar conference in Europe, perhaps even more than it is needed in America. Then, a couple of months ago, I got a message from Bahadir Sirin of GPRG letting me know that such a conference is actually going to happen.

How cool is it when people have the same idea and make it happen, without you having to lift a finger! Huge thanks to Bahadir and everyone involved!

The conference took place in Brussels on September 26th, and what follows are a few brief notes from the event.

I didn’t attend the original Berkeley conference, so I can’t compare directly, but here’s what Kevin Kohler, who went to both, has to say:

Despite being a conference aimed at reviving European ambition, the level of ambition was lower than in the US. In SF houseparties people predict what year we’ll have a Dyson Sphere, in Europe we discuss which energy forms should count as renewable in the EU’s energy degrowth plan.

Now, that might be a little unfair. This isn’t really about the US versus the EU, but rather about Silicon Valley versus the rest of the world. I don’t see people in Washington, D.C., discussing Dyson spheres either.

That being said, there’s some truth to it. Europe does feel less ambitious. On this topic, I think that Rasheed Griffith from the Carribean Progress Studies Institute has a point: Fix the capital markets, and most stuff is downstream from there. If discussing Dyson spheres at houseparties would make you look cool and lure investors to finance your startup, the chat about Dyson spheres is what you’ll get.

To give a different example, EU-Inc, a unified legal entity for European business, easy to create and run and spanning all 27 countries would be absolutely helpful. But with easy access to capital, even Europe’s notoriously annoying corporate law(s) would get much less frustrating. If nothing else, you could hire someone to stand in queues for you.

There are enough people capable of executing ambitious projects in Europe. There’s also a lot of money to invest. What’s missing is the way to connect the two. With better ways to finance ambitious projects, the overall level of ambition would naturally rise, without much additional effort.

The conference was a lot about policy, much less about the industry. Which, it seems, was partly a deliberate choice. The conference was held in Brussels, to be close to EU institutions. Also the focus was on EU, as a political entity, rather than on Europe as a continent, which made it less interesting for the people from UK, where Progress movement has already put down roots.

But if one truly believes that the main obstacles to progress in Europe are political, that what’s missing isn’t human capital or clever ideas, but rather institutional infrastructure needed to make things happen, then it’s hard to argue with the choice. We could have talked the European industry to death, but as long as every promising startup packs up and leaves for the US, it wouldn’t help one bit.

It surprised me was how often the word “democracy” was brought up. Growth can occur in democracy as well as in autocracy, so speaking about democracy, Acemoglu’s paper aside, feels somewhat orthogonal to the topic.

An uncharitable explanation might be that everything-bagel mentality finds its way even into the progress crowd. (Translation for Europeans: It’s Eintopf mentality. If we can talk about democracy on top of progress, why not add it to the pot? The more ingredients, the better the stew.)

A more charitable explanation is that people see the current dysfunction in European institutions as a function of lacking democracy. As an example, take Luis Garicano’s recent article, arguing that the process of selection of the Commission guarantees that we will always end up with weak and incapable leaders. I’ve made a take on a similar topic, from a bit different angle, here.

Speaking of EU dysfunction, I went to a café on Sunday and picked up a two-year-old, dust-covered local magazine from the shelf. It was complaining about the ongoing troubles with rebuilding Schuman roundabout, the junction right in front of the Berlaymont building, the seat of the European Commission.

Then, I opened my laptop and read a Politico article from just last week. It was complaining, you’ve guessed it, about ongoing troubles rebuilding the Schuman roundabout.

By the way, I’ve learned from the local magazine that Berlaymont building was built on the site of the bulldozed-down Convent of the Ladies of Berlaymont, a religious institution devoted to the education of young ladies. Not relevant in any way, but funny nonetheless.

There wasn’t much discussion of my personal hobbyhorse, the absence of a common European public square, or, for that matter, anything resembling a shared European public opinion. In Europe, issues and policies are debated within individual countries, while almost no public discourse goes on at the European level. And what we can’t discuss, we can’t fix.

Building some kind of common place for discussion and a functional blog-to-policy pipeline would help a lot. But of course, we are speaking of 24 different languages and 27 different media landscapes, so it’s not exactly easy.

As already said, the conference was organized in Brussels to get it close to the EU institutions but the choice of venue was also symbolic in its way.

Walking around Brussels, you can’t help but notice the sheer number of Art Nouveau buildings everywhere. (When it comes to Art Nouveau, I rank Brussels as No. 1, just ahead of Budapest and Vienna. Fight me, good citizens of the city of Vienna!)

The author, disguised as a Scotsman, exploring Art Nouveau Brussels. The freemason pattern on the kilt was chosen for added conspiracy.

All that architecture is the legacy of the Belle Époque, a time when progress reigned supreme in Europe. Dyson spheres? Give me a break! In 1910, we had an actual project to build a staircase inside the Matterhorn, all the way to the top.

As for the background, it’s not a widely known fact that Belgium was the second country to industrialize — from 1830’s on, right after Britain, and before Germany, France, and Switzerland jumped on the bandwagon.

Which meant that by 1890, when Art Nouveau came into vogue, the city was booming and the nouveau riche were building their homes in that style.

Detail from the Horta House. By Rafaelji, CC BY-SA 3.0.

And by the way, the city of Brussels is doing a good job of keeping the Art Nouveau spirit alive. Just compare the Horta House above to the interior of the local trams!

Yes, it’s deliberate.

It’s also worth comparing Brussels with Paris. Paris had much stricter regulations on facade design, giving the city its unified, Haussmannian look. Yes, it has an impressive, imperial feel to it, but if you ask me, I like the libertarian hodgepodge of Brussels better.

And finally, the worn-down state of many of these Art Nouveau buildings, the thick layer of dust, the peeling paint, the graffiti, is a reminder that progress, if left unattended and ignored, will slow down and eventually turn into decay.



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欧洲进步会议 布鲁塞尔 欧盟 政策 雄心 制度 Art Nouveau European Progress Conference Brussels European Union Policy Ambition Institutions Art Nouveau
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