Fortune | FORTUNE 10月03日
AI投资转向债务融资,关注企业信贷质量
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人工智能(AI)领域的投资热潮正逐渐改变资金来源,高盛指出,企业正越来越多地通过债务融资来支持AI基础设施的建设,这与过去主要依赖自有现金的情况有所不同。尽管大型科技公司目前现金流充裕且杠杆率较低,但这种融资方式的转变可能会对企业信贷质量产生边际负面影响。近期,部分企业因过度举债而陷入困境,凸显了信贷市场潜在的风险。与此同时,AI相关股票如英伟达、Palantir和亚马逊表现强劲,推动标普500指数创下历史新高。

🤖 **AI投资资金来源转变:** 过去三年,人工智能相关的资本支出主要由科技公司自有现金支持,但现在企业正越来越多地转向债务融资来满足AI建设的资金需求。2025年至今,AI相关发行人已贡献1410亿美元的企业信贷发行额,超过了2024年全年的总额。

📉 **信贷质量面临挑战:** 尽管大型科技公司目前财务状况良好,拥有高现金流和低杠杆,但AI投资日益依赖债务融资的趋势,对企业信贷质量构成了边际上的负面影响,需要持续关注。近期一些企业因债务问题破产的案例,也为信贷市场敲响了警钟。

🚀 **AI股票引领市场:** 尽管存在信贷风险的担忧,人工智能相关股票,包括英伟达、Palantir和亚马逊,表现强劲,并成为推动标普500指数创下历史新高的关键因素。投资者对AI的持续关注和投入是市场的重要驱动力。

    Goldman Sachs warned AI spending is increasingly debt-financed, slightly weakening corporate credit quality. The S&P 500 set a new all-time high driven in part by AI spending from Big Tech. Nvidia, Palantir, and Amazon rose yesterday.

The S&P 500 rose to a new all-time high yesterday, up slightly to hit 6.715. AI stocks led the way, again, with Palantir going up 1.1%, Nvidia rising 0.91% and Amazon climbing by 0.81%.

In the absence of macro jobs data due to the U.S. government shutdown, traders are piling into AI stocks, ING told clients this morning. “Financial market volatility is falling across the board, partly driven by the US government shutdown and the delay to key data releases such as the September jobs data. Instead, investors remain transfixed by the AI-driven rally in megacap tech shares, which shows no signs of slowing.” S&P futures were up 0.12% this morning, premarket.

Stocks are benefiting from the massive amount of capital expenditure (capex) coming from companies that are investing heavily in AI. “For now, AI is being driven by a handful of US Big Tech players spending almost $350 billion on Cap-Ex this year with now the cavalry coming as more enterprises and governments from around the world get into the AI spending game. The Middle East is a perfect example as now Saudi and UAE are diving into the deep end of the pool with Nvidia and US hyperscalers set to build out massive AI driven data centers to fuel the use cases for the coming years,” Wedbush’s Dan Ives told clients in a note this morning.

But where is all that money coming from, exactly?

Goldman Sachs notes that, increasingly, it is coming from debt. Over the last three years, most capex came from the cash sitting on tech companies’ balance sheets. But now those companies are increasingly borrowing money to fund AI build-out. 

“These AI-related issuers have accounted for $141 billion in corporate credit issuance in 2025 to-date, eclipsing full-year 2024 gross supply of $127 billion,” Lotfi Karoui and his colleagues wrote in a note seen by Fortune.

The shift will marginally reduce the quality of corporate credit, Karoui wrote. “The read-through for credit markets is, on the margin, negative, in our view. While not yet a cause for alarm, given both the high cashflow generation and low leverage among large tech companies, the shifting funding mix of capex beyond cash is worth monitoring.”

The note is interesting because there has been a lot of talk on Wall Street recently about the quality of corporate debt. Two auto-industry companies, First Brands and Tricolor, recently collapsed into bankruptcy because they issued too much debt to lenders who thought they were safe. Jim Chanos and PIMCO President Christian Stracke have both recently bemoaned cracks in the private credit market. 

Here’s a snapshot of the markets ahead of the opening bell in New York this morning:

    S&P 500 futures were up 0.12% this morning. The index closed up marginally in its last session at a new high of 6.715. STOXX Europe 600 was up 0.32% in early trading. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was up 0.54% in early trading. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 1.85%. China’s CSI 300 was up 0.45%. The South Korea KOSPI was up 2.7%. India’s Nifty 50 was up 0.11% before the end of the session. Bitcoin rose to $120.1K.

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AI投资 债务融资 企业信贷质量 人工智能 科技股 Nvidia Palantir Amazon S&P 500 Goldman Sachs AI spending corporate credit quality debt financing Artificial Intelligence tech stocks
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