taiyangnews 10月03日
欧盟太阳能行业就业增长放缓,预计明年出现收缩
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2024年,欧盟太阳能行业的就业岗位同比增长5%,达到创纪录的86.5万个。然而,SolarPower Europe(SPE)警告称,由于光伏市场增长放缓和制造挑战,预计2025年该行业就业人数将首次出现十年来的下降,减少约5%,降至82.5万个。SPE在其年度报告中指出,德国是欧盟最大的太阳能就业市场,其次是西班牙和意大利。尽管预计整体就业将收缩,但SPE认为这将是暂时的,并预测运营和维护(O&M)以及退役和回收领域的就业将有所增长,而欧盟本土太阳能制造的就业前景则面临挑战。

📈 欧盟太阳能行业就业在2024年实现显著增长,年同比增长5%,总就业岗位达到86.5万个,创历史新高。这一增长得益于光伏装机容量的超预期表现,连续第四年创下安装记录,实际装机容量达到65.1 GW。德国以12.8万个太阳能就业岗位位居欧盟之首,西班牙和意大利紧随其后,显示出区域性的发展差异。

📉 尽管2024年就业增长强劲,但SPE预测2025年欧盟太阳能行业就业将面临首次收缩,预计下降5%,降至约82.5万个。这种收缩的主要原因包括光伏市场增长放缓、住宅屋顶太阳能市场疲软、系统灵活性不足以及欧盟本土太阳能制造面临的持续挑战。SPE预计这种放缓是暂时的,并强调了市场结构性转变的趋势。

🔄 尽管整体就业预计收缩,但太阳能行业的内部结构正在发生变化。部署(Deployment)仍然是欧盟太阳能就业的主要驱动力,占2024年总就业的86%。然而,预计到2029年,这一比例将逐渐下降至80%。与此同时,运营和维护(O&M)的就业比例预计将从8%上升到12%,退役和回收领域的就业比例也将翻倍,从1.6%增长到2.9%。

🏭 欧盟本土太阳能制造的就业前景令人担忧。尽管制造岗位在2024年占有一定比例(40,902个),但报告指出,制造就业预计将保持在总就业的5%左右,远低于此前预测的9%。报告撰写者认为,“这种转变突显了欧盟本土太阳能制造前景的黯淡。”这表明欧盟在太阳能制造领域的竞争力面临严峻挑战。

Jobs in the European Union’s (EU) solar sector rose by 5% year-on-year (YoY) in 2024, reaching a record 865,000 positions. However, SolarPower Europe (SPE) warns that slower PV market growth and manufacturing challenges could reduce the workforce by an equal percentage in 2025, for the 1st time in a decade, to about 825,000. 

In its annual EU Solar Jobs Report 2025, SPE says that solar employment in the European solar sector mirrors broader market trends. Actual installed capacity exceeded expectations to settle at 65.1 GW in 2024, making it the 4th consecutive year of record-setting installations. This led to a 5% increase in full-time equivalent jobs in the sector, exceeding SPE’s 4.2% forecast.  

Germany was the largest solar employer in the EU with 128,000 solar jobs. Spain and Italy were in the 2nd and 3rd positions, followed by Poland, France, Romania, and Hungary to form the top 7 nations on the SPE list. The report states that Italy, with its steady market growth and greater focus on utility-scale solar, is likely to overtake Spain by 2029. 

SPE projects jobs to contract by 5% in 2025, reflecting the expected slowdown in the pace of installations this year. The association guides for a 1.5% annual decline in EU solar installations, totaling 64.2 GW by the end of the year (see SolarPower Europe: European Union To Install 64.2 GW PV In 2025). 

SPE sees the expected slowdown as resulting from a weakening residential rooftop solar segment, even as the impacts of the energy crisis ease, the lack of system flexibility, and continued challenges for EU-based solar manufacturing. However, it expects the slowdown to be temporary. The rooftop solar segment workforce has been shrinking for the last 3 years, from 73% in 2022 to 59% in 2024, and further to 56% by 2029. 

In 2024, solar manufacturing accounted for 40,902 jobs, while operations and maintenance (O&M) jobs were higher at 66,393. Decommissioning and recycling accounted for 13,925 jobs.

However, deployment continues to be the backbone of EU solar jobs, accounting for an 86% share last year, and is expected to gradually drop to 80% by 2029 as market growth levels off, according to SPE. Over the same period, O&M jobs are expected to rise from 8% to 12%, while decommissioning and recycling would double from 1.6% to 2.9%. 

Manufacturing jobs will remain stable at around 5% even though it was projected to reach 9% of total employment. Report writers claim, “This shift underscores the weakening prospects for EU-based solar manufacturing.” 

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欧盟太阳能就业 SolarPower Europe 光伏市场 可再生能源 就业增长 EU solar jobs PV market renewable energy employment growth
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