All Content from Business Insider 10月02日 19:43
九月私募峰会聚焦市场担忧与多元策略
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九月,纽约、康涅狄格、伦敦等地举办多场私募基金峰会。与会者透露,投资者担忧市场回调,但暂未撤离美股。他们寻求能在市场下行中表现的管理人,尤其是擅长做空股票的基金经理。同时,国际股票策略受关注,因市场持续上涨但贸易关税风险犹存。Bridgewater Associates新推出的非美固定收益基金因全球分化策略吸引目光,该基金交易债券和货币,受益于利率上升、实际收益率和期限溢价及市场波动。多策略基金虽因成本高昂且新投资者难入而受争议,但其市场中性回报仍被需求,由此衍生的新基金备受青睐。年轻基金经理若拒绝单独管理账户(SMA),则融资困难。

🌍 国际股票策略受关注:尽管美股持续上涨,但受贸易关税风险影响,投资者寻求多元化,对交易国际股票的基金经理兴趣浓厚。

💼 Bridgewater新基金获青睐:其针对非美投资者的固定收益基金利用全球分化策略,交易债券和货币,受益于利率上升、实际收益率和期限溢价及市场波动,表现亮眼。

📉 市场下行需求凸显:投资者担忧市场回调,倾向于寻找能在下行中表现的管理人,尤其是擅长做空股票的基金经理。

🔄 多策略基金衍生品受需求:虽多策略基金成本高昂且新投资者难入,但其市场中性回报仍被需求,由此衍生的新基金备受青睐。

🚫 SMA限制影响年轻基金经理:拒绝接受单独管理账户(SMA)的年轻基金经理在融资时面临更大挑战,凸显SMA在机构投资中的重要性。

Kepler held its sixth conference at Wembley Stadium

September brings cooler weather, weekends filled with football, and plenty of hedge fund conferences.

Last month, managers and allocators in the $4.7 trillion industry had many opportunities to compare notes and share gossip.

Events hosted by Goldman Sachs and industry consultant Kepler at Citi Field and Wembley Stadium, respectively, brought hedge fund managers and those who invest in them to sports venues. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley and Citi held more low-key affairs in venues based in Greenwich and Manhattan.

Business Insider spoke with attendees of these industry events last month to get a sense of the on-the-ground sentiment. They spoke on the condition of anonymity because the conferences were closed to the press. Here's what they said.

Kepler conference attendees networked with a view of the Wembley Stadium field.

Allocators are worried about a shaky market

One manager who attended Morgan Stanley's three-day event at the Greenwich Hyatt Regency in the middle of the month said allocators are concerned about a market pullback — but aren't yet ready to ditch US stocks.

There's a fear the party's ending, "but no one wants to make the first move," this person said. Over the conference, they met with dozens of allocators, including many institutional investors such as pensions and endowments.

"People are uncomfortably comfortable," they said. This sentiment has been lingering for months now as US equities continue to tick up despite worries about President Donald Trump's tariff policies slowing global trade. A survey released at the end of July found that nearly half of the dozens of institutional investors questioned believed markets were too complacent about tariffs.

What this means in practice is a search for managers that can perform in market downturns. Those with proven track records shorting stocks are in demand, two fund founders who attended the September conferences said.

One person who attended Goldman Sachs' event at Citi Field, the home of Major League Baseball's New York Mets in Queens, said managers trading international stocks were of interest to big American allocators.

"There's a continued interest to get away from the States, even though the market keeps chugging along," this person said, of their takeaways from meeting with dozens of potential LPs.

A recent report from law firm Seward & Kissel found that more funds were including Trump's trade deals and tariffs as potential risk factors in their regulatory filings.

The "highly uncertain global macro and regulatory environment" is having "a significant impact on the disclosures" funds are sharing with investors, the report reads.

A new fund from Bridgewater caught some eyes

At Kepler's Wembley Stadium event, there were plenty of big-name managers speaking and meeting with allocators. Leda Braga, the founder of Systematica and a former BlueCrest executive, gave a fireside chat to start the event, and other quants, such as AQR and Paris-based Capital Fund Management, met with institutional investors.

A new offering from $98 billion Bridgewater Associates — a fixed-income fund for non-US investors meant to take advantage of "global divergences," according to the fund's fact sheet — is hoping to meet the uncertain moment for antsy allocators.

The fact sheet for the Absolute Return Fixed Income strategy said it trades bonds and currencies, and is attractive now because "higher interest rates on both the long and short end of the curve, positive real yields and term premiums, and market volatility have all returned."

One Europe-based allocator who met with Bridgewater in a group setting with other institutions at the Kepler event told BI that it's the type of product firms roll out when stock markets seem at their peak.

Systematica's Leda Braga spoke on a Chatham House rules basis at Kepler's Wembley event.

The factsheet said the strategy is up 6.8% since it started trading in March of this year through August. The manager simulated performance for the past two decades and states that the fund — which wants to have 65% of its assets in interest rates trades, 20% in credit bets, and the rest in currency plays — would have returned 9.4% in 2008 and 21.7% in 2022.

"AFRI is a fully liquid, fully alpha strategy targeting a net excess return of 5%+ a year at 10% volatility that is designed to have no structural exposure or correlation to markets or other managers over time," the factsheet reads.

Multistrategy exhaustion, but still a demand for multistrategy-like returns

Multistrategy firms like Millennium, Citadel, and Point72 have come to dominate industry talk in recent years thanks to their unprecedented size and the unrelenting talent war that has allowed portfolio managers to sell their services to the highest bidder.

The increasing cost of these platforms — and the fact that the most coveted firms are closed to new investors — has soured the sector in the eyes of some allocators. The recent closure of Eisler Capital, due to high costs and low returns, may be an inflection point.

There is, however, still a demand for the market-neutral returns they provide.

It's why new launches that spin out of these firms — from portfolio managers who have traded in the multistrategy style for years — have become some of the most sought-after funds, two different managers said.

"Allocators seem to crave low-net strategies," said one manager who attended an emerging manager conference in New York put on by Citi. This individual, who met with different potential backers at the conference along with roughly a dozen other stockpicking funds, said interest was higher in investors with a multistrategy background than those with a more growth equity mindset, such as spin-offs from Tiger Cubs.

Allocators investing in these spin-outs often require managers to accept capital via a separately managed account, which allows allocators more transparency into the returns and strategy.

Younger managers refusing to take SMAs found their dance cards empty at these conferences, two people who attended the Citi and Morgan Stanley conferences said.

"You can't raise money from institutions anymore without saying yes to SMAs," one fund manager said.

Read the original article on Business Insider

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私募基金 市场担忧 国际股票 Bridgewater 多策略基金 单独管理账户 Hedge Funds Market Concerns International Stocks Bridgewater Associates Multistrategy Funds Separately Managed Accounts
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