cs.AI updates on arXiv.org 10月02日
不确定性感知深度学习模型在糖尿病视网膜病变诊断中的应用
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本文研究了一种不确定性感知的深度学习模型,用于糖尿病视网膜病变的诊断,并探讨了模型在预测覆盖率和可靠性之间的权衡。通过采用变分贝叶斯模型,实现了对不确定预测的拒绝,提高了模型在临床诊断中的可靠性。

arXiv:2510.00029v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a major cause of visual impairment, and effective treatment options depend heavily on timely and accurate diagnosis. Deep learning models have demonstrated great success identifying DR from retinal images. However, relying only on predictions made by models, without any indication of model confidence, creates uncertainty and poses significant risk in clinical settings. This paper investigates an alternative in uncertainty-aware deep learning models, including a rejection mechanism to reject low-confidence predictions, contextualized by deferred decision-making in clinical practice. The results show there is a trade-off between prediction coverage and coverage reliability. The Variational Bayesian model adopted a more conservative strategy when predicting DR, subsequently rejecting the uncertain predictions. The model is evaluated by means of important performance metrics such as Accuracy on accepted predictions, the proportion of accepted cases (coverage), the rejection-ratio, and Expected Calibration Error (ECE). The findings also demonstrate a clear trade-off between accuracy and caution, establishing that the use of uncertainty estimation and selective rejection improves the model's reliability in safety-critical diagnostic use cases.

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深度学习 糖尿病视网膜病变 不确定性感知 模型可靠性 诊断
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