Fortune | FORTUNE 09月30日
财富管理与私人资产增长的协同效应
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美国总统近期一项关于另类资产和401(k)退休金计划的行政命令,再次引发了对私人市场(包括私募股权、信贷、房地产和基础设施)快速增长的关注。理解这一增长及其对全球金融的影响,需要考察私人资产的增长如何与其他关键投资趋势,尤其是财富管理行业的扩张相互作用。全球财富市场管理资产(AUM)已达159万亿美元,而私人资产管理规模预计将从2024年的18.7万亿美元增至2029年的24.1万亿美元。尽管驱动因素不同,这两种趋势已显著重叠,财富管理行业正支持私人资产扩张,反之亦然。财富经理看好私人信贷,因其能实现固定收益投资组合的多元化,并可能提供高于传统固定收益的溢价,且浮动利率结构有助于对冲通胀和利率上升风险。然而,财富经理和GP(普通合伙人)仍需更多工具和透明度来实现最大程度的协同,尤其是在流动性和风险方面。

📈 **私人资产的蓬勃发展与财富管理行业的扩张相互促进**:美国总统关于另类资产的行政命令凸显了私人市场(私募股权、信贷、房地产、基础设施)的快速增长。与此同时,全球财富管理行业的管理资产规模已达159万亿美元,并预计将继续增长。这两种趋势并非孤立发展,而是相互交织,财富管理行业正积极拥抱私人资产,以满足客户多元化和个性化的投资需求,而私人资产的增长也为财富管理提供了新的增长点和投资机会。

💰 **私人信贷吸引财富经理的多元化与收益潜力**:财富管理行业对私人信贷的兴趣日益浓厚,主要在于其能够实现固定收益投资组合的有效多元化,并提供潜在的收益溢价。私人信贷与传统股债的相关性较低,其浮动利率结构在通胀和利率上升的环境下,还能为对冲策略提供支持。此外,私人信贷的高度定制化特性,允许财富经理根据客户的具体投资目标和借贷条款(如利率和摊销计划)来构建高度个性化的投资组合。

🔍 **透明度与数据挑战制约私人资产增长,技术是关键**:尽管私人资产增长潜力巨大,但其固有的不透明性,特别是数据准确性、可信度和流动性信息的缺乏,仍是财富经理和GP面临的主要挑战。与上市公司不同,私人公司和基金的披露要求较低,导致投资者难以全面了解其财务结构和运营表现。然而,近年来,先进技术和模型的应用正逐步提高私人市场数据的可及性和质量,这有助于提升投资者的信心,但独立、客观的风险评估和标准化定价仍然是加速私人信贷增长的关键突破点。

🌐 **财富管理与GP重塑全球资金流动格局**:财富经理和GP正在共同推动一场变革,通过扩大可投资资产的范围并解锁大规模个性化投资的新机遇,为全球金融体系注入了新的创新活力。这种协同作用不仅体现在投资策略的融合上,也体现在对基础设施和工具的需求上,以期实现更高效、透明的合作,最终加速私人资产在全球范围内的配置和增长,重塑全球财富分配和投资的未来格局。

President Trump’s recent executive order on alternative assets and 401(k)-style retirement plans has drawn fresh attention to the rapid growth of private markets, including private equity, credit, real estate and infrastructure.

We cannot fully understand this growth, or its impact on global finance, without considering how the shift to private assets has intersected with other key investment trends — most notably, the expansion of the wealth-management industry.

For perspective: Global assets under management (AUM) in the wealth market reached $159 trillion in 2024, after growing by 20% over the prior five years, according to the Natixis Wealth Industry Survey.

As for private assets specifically, PitchBook has projected that AUM held by general partners (GPs) will increase from $18.7 trillion in 2024 to $24.1 trillion by the end of 2029.

These two trends have been driven by different factors, but they have also overlapped with each other in meaningful ways.

Indeed, wealth management has begun to support the expansion of private assets, and vice versa, although wealth managers and GPs still need additional tools and transparency to maximize their alignment.

In a recent MSCI Wealth survey, for example, 82% of wealth managers globally said they expected to make larger allocations to private assets over the next three years.

Wealth managers have been attracted to private credit, in particular, because it can allow them to diversify portfolios within fixed income while offering a potential premium over traditional fixed income. (Private credit has historically shown a low correlation with stocks and bonds.)

The floating-rate structure of private-credit funds can also support hedging strategies, especially during a period of rising inflation or rising interest rates.

More broadly, wealth managers must deliver highly personalized portfolios for their clients, and private credit allows for significant customization around investment goals and borrowing terms, including interest rates and amortization schedules.

To that end, new private investment vehicles can help wealth managers provide their clients with greater accessibility and liquidity.

Yet wealth managers also recognize that this private-credit revolution will not happen without a higher level of transparency from GPs on liquidity and risk.

In the 2025 MSCI General Partner Survey, 57% of small GPs reported struggling with data accuracy and credibility problems, while 94% of all GPs said that portfolio-management solutions were at least somewhat important to their operations.

Since private companies and funds do not face the same disclosure requirements as listed firms, investors tend to have less information about their financial structure, business activities, and operational performance. These gaps have long hindered the growth of private assets in investor portfolios.

However, over the past decade, both the accessibility and the quality of private-market data have steadily increased, thanks to advanced technology and models, and investors now have more clarity around private assets than they did in years past.

Yet challenges persist, because private markets remain inherently opaque.

Above all, wealth managers and other investors need objective risk evaluations of private credit along the lines of what they have for public equities.

Such independent risk assessments would help promote greater confidence in the asset class, especially given its illiquid nature.

They would also help promote accurate valuations of private credit so that shares of the underlying funds could trade credibly.

Reliable, standardized pricing would be a critical breakthrough that could accelerate the growth of private credit across regions.

For now, despite a slowdown in private-market fundraising last year, so-called dry powder for private credit — capital that has been committed but not yet allocated — “held relatively steady,” according to MSCI research.

Put it all together, and the larger story is that wealth managers and GPs are rewriting the rules for how money moves around the world.

By expanding the universe of investable assets while unlocking new opportunities for personalization at scale, they are fueling a surge of innovation that has reverberated throughout the global financial system.

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

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相关标签

私人资产 财富管理 私募信贷 投资趋势 金融市场 Private Assets Wealth Management Private Credit Investment Trends Financial Markets
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