Fortune | FORTUNE 09月30日 03:27
黄仁勋看好OpenAI前景,英伟达巨额投资引市场关注
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英伟达CEO黄仁勋预测OpenAI将成为下一个万亿美元公司,并表示通用计算时代已结束,未来是加速计算和AI的时代。他详细阐述了AI的“三大定律”——预训练、后训练和推理,并强调推理的持续性需求将推动AI技术和英伟达的增长。近期,英伟达宣布向OpenAI投资1000亿美元,以支持其数据中心建设,此举被视为英伟达“循环融资”策略的一部分,旨在与关键客户深度绑定。尽管部分市场分析师对AI领域的过度投资和潜在泡沫表示担忧,黄仁勋仍坚信AI的增长基于基础科学和性能提升,并将其视为一场新的工业革命。

🚀 黄仁勋对OpenAI的未来发展充满信心,预测其将成为下一个万亿美元级别的巨头公司。他认为,通用计算时代已经结束,加速计算和人工智能将是未来的主导力量,并以此重塑各行各业的运作模式。

💡 AI的“三大定律”——预训练、后训练和推理,正在指数级增长对计算能力的需求。黄仁勋特别强调了推理(inference)的重要性,指出它支撑着从聊天机器人到推荐算法等日常应用,其持续不断的计算需求将为英伟达带来长期增长动力,区别于以往技术的周期性波动。

💰 英伟达宣布向OpenAI投资1000亿美元,以支持其大规模数据中心建设。这体现了英伟达的“循环融资”策略,即通过投资或借贷给客户,促使客户在英伟达产品上投入巨资,从而实现双方的互利共赢和长期合作。

⚠️ 尽管黄仁勋对AI的未来持乐观态度,但市场上存在对AI领域过度投资和潜在泡沫的担忧。高盛、摩根士丹利等机构以及Meta的扎克伯格等人都曾发出类似警告,认为当前AI基础设施的建设存在“泡沫化”迹象,并担心估值过高。

📈 黄仁勋坚信,英伟达和OpenAI的增长是基于AI本身的“定律”和“性能每瓦特”等基本面驱动的,而非短期炒作。他将当前AI的发展比作一场“工业革命”,认为其基础坚实,能够支撑持续的增长和创新。

“OpenAI is very likely going to be the world’s next multitrillion-dollar hyperscale company,” Huang said.

That bold prediction comes at a moment when even AI’s loudest evangelists are warning of overvaluation and overbuilding. Altman himself has cautioned that too much money is flooding into unproven AI ventures, while Zuckerberg has compared today’s infrastructure frenzy to past bubbles. Yet Huang insists the skeptics are missing the deeper forces reshaping the economy. In his telling, the story comes down to basic physics, not hype.

“General-purpose computing is over,” Huang said, describing what he sees as a generational shift in how all industries will run. “The future is accelerated computing and AI.” 

He outlined what he calls the “three scaling laws” of AI — pre-training, post-training, and inference — each of which exponentially increases demand for compute. While training workloads have already been well-documented, Huang stressed that inference — the real-time reasoning that underpins everything from chatbots to recommendation algorithms — is only just beginning. 

“The longer you think, the better the answer you get — and thinking requires more compute,” he explained.

That framing matters because inference is where AI collides with day-to-day usage. Training runs happen in bursts, but inference happens constantly: every chatbot prompt, every AI video render, every background algorithmic tweak consumes processing power. If Huang is right, that relentless demand means AI won’t follow the boom-and-bust cycles of earlier technologies but will instead drive a compounding need, one that will also boost Nvidia.

$100 billion bet on OpenAI

Huang’s comments came just days after Nvidia announced its most audacious deal yet: a $100 billion investment in OpenAI to help fund the company’s massive data center buildout. It’s the largest example of what analysts call Nvidia’s “circular financing” strategy, in which it invests in, or lends to, customers who in turn spend billions on Nvidia’s GPUs. 

To Huang, it’s a smart way to align incentives with a once-in-a-generation partner scaling faster than any company in history. “If that’s the case, the opportunity to invest before they get there is one of the smartest investments we can imagine,” he said.

But to markets, the sheer size of the commitment was jarring. 

Deutsche Bank had previously warned that 2025 could be remembered as “the summer AI turned ugly,” pointing to the risk that circular revenue-recognition games could inflate demand. 

Deutsche Bank analysts said Nvidia’s way of helping fund its own customers reminds them of past bubbles, when companies juiced sales by essentially paying buyers to buy their products.
They warned that even if these deals are only a small slice of revenue right now, Nvidia is so big that any slip-up could shake the whole stock market.

As they put it, the stock is “priced for perfection,” which means there’s not much room for mistakes if AI growth cools off.

That tension helps explain why Altman, despite running Nvidia’s most important customer, has been publicly warning of “a frenzy of cash chasing anything labeled AI.”

And Zuckerberg, while still pouring billions into Meta’s own AI ambitions, has likewise admitted the infrastructure buildout carries “bubble-like” characteristics reminiscent of railroads and the dot-com era. Even Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has taken note, pointing to the “unusually large amounts of economic activity” flowing into AI — a rare signal that the froth is on the Fed’s radar.

Huang remains unmoved. To him, these warnings miss the forest for the trees. He insists that Nvidia and OpenAI’s growth is propelled by scaling laws and performance per watt — fundamentals that make his company the only rational choice for hyperscalers. 

“This is the industrial revolution,” he told Gurley and Gerstner, a common refrain from Huang on the subject of AI.

Huang also seemed to flip his stance on President Donald Trump’s recent $100,000 H-1B visa fee. He called the policy “a great start” for cracking down on visa abuse and illegal immigration, but cautioned that the steep price tag “probably sets the bar a little too high.”

For Huang, himself an immigrant, Trump’s fee may be a useful first step, but only if it’s paired with broader reforms that keep America attractive to top talent.

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Jensen Huang Nvidia OpenAI AI Accelerated Computing Artificial Intelligence Investment Data Centers GPU Huang Renxun 英伟达 人工智能 加速计算 投资 数据中心
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