Fortune | FORTUNE 09月30日
英国财政大臣警告全球经济风险加剧
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英国财政大臣瑞秋·里夫斯在工党年会上警告称,乌克兰和中东战争以及美国总统特朗普的关税政策加剧了英国自去年工党执政以来的经济前景。里夫斯表示,全球经济面临不确定性,英国也不例外。通货膨胀率居高不下,经济增长缓慢,给公共服务和降低生活成本带来挑战。尽管工党在选举中承诺不提高工薪阶层的税收,但已提高雇主的税负。里夫斯强调将“坚决不增加工薪阶层的关键税收”,但未完全排除任何涨幅。她乐观地表示,政府在对国防、交通、能源和教育的投资正在改善民生,并承诺为长期失业的年轻人提供工作机会。工党内部对右翼强硬派改革党的支持和对首相基尔·斯塔默的信心不足,成为当前的主要问题。

😔英国财政大臣瑞秋·里夫斯警告称,乌克兰和中东战争以及美国总统特朗普的关税政策加剧了英国自去年工党执政以来的经济前景。全球经济面临不确定性,英国也不例外,通货膨胀率居高不下,经济增长缓慢,给公共服务和降低生活成本带来挑战。

👷尽管工党在选举中承诺不提高工薪阶层的税收,但已提高雇主的税负。里夫斯强调将‘坚决不增加工薪阶层的关键税收’,但未完全排除任何涨幅,暗示秋季预算可能提高税收以应对经济压力。

🏢里夫斯乐观地表示,政府在对国防、交通、能源和教育的投资正在改善民生,并承诺为长期失业的年轻人提供工作机会,例如为失业18个月以上的年轻人提供保证工作。

Britain’s Treasury chief warned Monday that “harsh global headwinds” from wars in Ukraine and the Middle East and U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs have worsened the U.K.’s economic outlook since the governing Labour Party won power last year.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves told Labour’s annual conference that her economic plans must be “fit for an uncertain world,” a hint she will raise taxes in her autumn budget on Nov. 26.

“In the last year the world has changed, and we are not immune to that change,” she told the BBC before the speech. “Whether it is wars in Europe and the Middle East, whether it is increased barriers to trade because of tariffs coming from the United States, whether it is the global cost of borrowing, we’re not immune to any of those things.”

Since ending 14 years of Conservative rule in July 2024, Labour has struggled to deliver the economic growth it promised. Inflation remains stubbornly high and the economic outlook subdued, frustrating efforts to repair tattered public services and ease the cost of living.

Labour pledged during the election not to raise taxes on working people, but has since hiked levies on employers.

Reeves told the BBC she was “determined not to increase those key taxes that working people pay,” stopping short of ruling out any hikes at all.

In her speech, interrupted by repeated standing ovations from hundreds of Labour members — and by a lone pro-Palestinian protester — Reeves leavened her sober assessment of the country’s finances with a touch of optimism. She outlined the government’s investments in defense, transport, energy and education, claiming they were making a difference to millions of people.

She pledged to end long-term youth unemployment, saying everyone under 25 who has been unemployed for 18 months will be offered guaranteed paid work. One in eight 16–24-year-olds in Britain — about 1 million people — is currently not in education, work, or training.

Reeves also said the government was working on an “ambitious agreement on youth mobility” with the 27-nation European Union. British citizens lost the right to move and work freely in the EU when the country left the bloc in 2020.

Thousands of Labour members are in Liverpool, northwest England, for the party conference -– a mix of policy forum and pep rally that this year is lacking in pizazz.

The hard right is a key concern

Labour lags behind Nigel Farage ’s hard-right Reform UK party in opinion polls, and some party members are losing faith in Prime Minister Keir Starmer, even though there may be four years until the next election.

Many are rallying around Andy Burnham, the ambitious Labour mayor of Manchester, who said Sunday that the party is in “peril” and needs to change direction.

Reeves took aim at those in Labour, such as Burnham, who argue the government should borrow more to spend more on public services. She cited former Conservative Prime Minister Liz Truss’ disastrous 2022 plan for unfunded tax cuts, which sent the value of the pound plunging and the cost of government borrowing soaring.

“When spending gets out of control, when market confidence is lost … it is felt immediately in the growing cost of essentials, and rising interest rates,” Reeves said.

The threat posed by Reform is top issue among Labour delegates at the four-day conference, which ends Wednesday. Farage’s party has only five lawmakers in the 650 seat House of Commons, and Labour has more than 400. Nonetheless, Starmer said Reform is now Labour’s chief opponent, not the main opposition Conservatives.

Starmer has described the fight between Labour and Reform as “a battle for the soul of this country.” On Sunday he accused Farage of sowing division with plans by Reform to deport immigrants who are in the U.K. legally. Starmer said such a policy would be “racist” and “immoral.”

The U.K. government has toughened its own language about immigration, though. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood told the conference the government must question some of “the assumptions and legal constraints” around migration.

She said she plans to raise the bar immigrants must meet to gain permanent residency. Under the proposals, people will have to have a “high standard” of English, no criminal record and give back to their communities to get the right to settle in the U.K.

“Unless we have control of our borders, and until we can decide who comes in and who must leave, we will never be the open, tolerant and generous country that I know we all believe in,” she said.

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英国经济 工党 瑞秋·里夫斯 通货膨胀 全球风险 税收政策 青年失业
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