taiyangnews 09月26日 21:40
美国太阳能产业制造与政策挑战探讨
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在RE+ 2025展会期间,由TaiyangNews与EUPD Research联合举办的“美国制造”2025专题讨论会汇聚了美国太阳能行业的领军人物,共同探讨了美国太阳能制造业的现状、市场动态及政策发展。与会者讨论了在当前充满挑战的政策环境下,如何挽救美国太阳能制造业的复兴。尽管进口产品仍占重要地位,但美国太阳能制造业正在扩张,部分组件的国内生产比例已达70%-80%,但仍被视为中国主导。专家指出,需要加强对美国本土制造业的投资。关于《防止强迫维吾尔劳动法》(UFLPA)的执行,由于美国海关和边境保护局(CBP)在该问题上的广泛自由裁量权且人手不足,仍存在不确定性,这给太阳能进口带来了风险。预计到2030年,美国太阳能装机增长将持平或略有下降,主要受高利率、长交货时间和供应瓶颈影响。此外,对进口多晶硅的232条款调查结果对美国太阳能行业至关重要。专家认为,不应将美国太阳能行业的所有挑战都归咎于某届政府,供应链挑战早已存在。而保护性措施,如提高国内含量要求,将有利于本土制造商并提供竞争优势。行业协会呼吁制造商和开发商合作应对市场动态,并强调公平竞争环境对支持新兴技术的重要性,以免被低成本、大规模产品挤压。

🇺🇸 **美国太阳能制造业的扩张与挑战并存:** 尽管仍面临中国主导的印象和进口产品的压力,美国本土太阳能制造业正在扩张,部分组件的国内生产比例已显著提高。然而,行业呼吁加强对本土制造的投资,以应对当前的政策环境和市场需求。

⚖️ **政策不确定性与合规风险:** 《防止强迫维吾尔劳动法》(UFLPA)的执行存在不确定性,美国海关和边境保护局(CBP)的执法力度和效率直接影响太阳能产品的进口,可能导致潜在的扣留、审计和延误,给供应链带来风险。

📈 **市场增长放缓与关键依赖:** 预计到2030年,美国太阳能装机增长将面临平缓甚至略有下降的趋势,主要原因包括高利率、长交货周期和供应瓶颈。其中,对进口多晶硅的232条款调查结果被视为影响行业前景的最大挑战之一。

🤝 **公平竞争环境与新兴技术支持:** 行业专家强调,为支持新兴太阳能技术的发展,必须确保一个公平的竞争环境。否则,这些技术可能被低成本、大规模生产的产品所挤压,影响行业的长期创新和可持续发展。

🔗 **行业协作应对复杂局面:** 太阳能行业协会呼吁制造商和开发商共同合作,以应对复杂的市场动态和监管挑战,即使在政策出现短期缓和的情况下,也需要长期的协同策略来维护和发展美国太阳能产业。

At the Solar – Made in the USA 2025 panel at RE+ 2025, which TaiyangNews co-organized with EUPD Research, leading voices from the US solar industry discussed the current state of US solar manufacturing, market dynamics, and policy developments. 

In conversation with the moderators – TaiyangNews Managing Director Michael Schmela and Clean Energy Associates Senior Policy Analyst Christian Roselund – the panelists deliberated on possibilities for saving the US solar manufacturing renaissance in today’s adversary policy environment.  

American Clean Power Association (ACP) VP Supply Chain and Manufacturing MJ Shiao shared that, although imports remain significant in the scheme of things, US solar manufacturing is expanding, with some components now 70% to 80% domestically produced. Yet, it’s still seen as China-dominated. He argued that perception is outdated. The industry, he explained, calls for stronger investment in US manufacturing. 

Regarding the enforcement of the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA), there still remains uncertainty, as the US Customs and Border Protection (CBP), with its broad discretion on the subject, is currently understaffed, thus creating risks for solar imports. 

Wood Mackenzie’s Solar Module Supply Chain Analyst, Elissa Pierce, projects flat or slightly declining solar installation growth in the US market through 2030, citing high interest rates, long lead times, and supply bottlenecks, despite adequate module availability. She stressed that a lot depends on the outcome of the Section 232 investigation into imported polysilicon, having previously called it the biggest challenge for the US solar industry (see Wood Mackenzie Calls Section 232 US Solar’s Biggest Challenge). 

Smirnow Law Principal John Smirnow believes it would be unfair to pin all the challenges in the US solar industry solely on the Trump administration. Supply chain challenges, for instance, were already there. On the other hand, protectionist measures to boost domestic content requirements will work in favor of local manufacturers and can also provide them a competitive edge. 

Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) SVP Supply Chain & Trade, Stacy J. Ettinger, called on the industry to plan for potential detentions, audits, and delays. While talking about the support that the association is offering its members in this complex regulatory environment and legal challenges, she called for both the manufacturing and development sides to work together to deal with the market dynamics, even beyond the 2-year reprieve. 

The panelists also unanimously stressed the importance of a fair competitive environment to support emerging technologies, which could otherwise be crowded out by low-cost, large-scale products.

A conference summary of the entire event is available here.

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美国太阳能 太阳能制造 政策分析 RE+ 2025 供应链 US Solar Solar Manufacturing Policy Analysis RE+ 2025 Supply Chain
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