cs.AI updates on arXiv.org 09月26日
融合CNN与MLP的时序数据分析新方法
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本文提出一种结合卷积神经网络(CNN)和多层感知器(MLP)的时序数据分析方法,以应对非平稳时间序列数据中的趋势变化、季节性和残差等问题。通过实验验证,该方法在多变量时间序列预测方面表现出优越性。

arXiv:2509.20783v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-world time-series data often exhibit non-stationarity, including changing trends, irregular seasonality, and residuals. In terms of changing trends, recently proposed multi-layer perceptron (MLP)-based models have shown excellent performance owing to their computational efficiency and ability to capture long-term dependency. However, the linear nature of MLP architectures poses limitations when applied to channels with diverse distributions, resulting in local variations such as seasonal patterns and residual components being ignored. However, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) can effectively incorporate these variations. To resolve the limitations of MLP, we propose combining them with CNNs. The overall trend is modeled using an MLP to consider long-term dependencies. The CNN uses diverse kernels to model fine-grained local patterns in conjunction with MLP trend predictions. To focus on modeling local variation, we propose IConv, a novel convolutional architecture that processes the temporal dependency channel independently and considers the inter-channel relationship through distinct layers. Independent channel processing enables the modeling of diverse local temporal dependencies and the adoption of a large kernel size. Distinct inter-channel considerations reduce computational cost. The proposed model is evaluated through extensive experiments on time-series datasets. The results reveal the superiority of the proposed method for multivariate time-series forecasting.

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相关标签

时序数据 多层感知器 卷积神经网络 多变量预测 非平稳性
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