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丹麦遭遇疑似混合攻击:无人机侵扰空军基地与机场
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近期,丹麦遭遇了一系列疑似由专业行为者发起的“混合攻击”。不明无人机在部署有F-16和F-35战斗机的斯克吕斯楚普空军基地附近以及全国多个机场上空出现,导致部分机场临时关闭。虽然丹麦官方未指明具体肇事方,但将此次事件定性为使用多种无人机进行的有组织攻击,旨在制造恐慌和分裂。此次事件发生在俄罗斯近期多次侵犯北约领空的背景下,引发了北约对如何有效防御新型空中威胁,特别是无人机和混合攻击的担忧与讨论。

✈️ 丹麦空军基地及民用机场遭遇无人机侵扰:近期,丹麦斯克吕斯楚普空军基地,该基地驻扎有F-16和F-35战斗机,以及包括奥尔堡、比隆在内的多个机场,均报告了不明无人机的出现。奥尔堡机场因此关闭了三个小时,比隆机场关闭一小时,显示了此次事件对关键基础设施的实际影响。

🛡️ 事件被定性为“混合攻击”,旨在制造恐慌:丹麦国防大臣将此次事件描述为“专业行为者”发起的“混合攻击”,利用多种无人机进行。司法大臣则指出,攻击的动机是为了“制造恐惧”和“制造分裂”。尽管未直接归咎于俄罗斯,但事件发生在俄罗斯近期多次侵犯北约领空的背景下,加剧了地区紧张局势。

🌍 北约面临新型防御挑战:此次事件凸显了北约在应对无人机威胁和“灰色地带”侵略方面的挑战。俄罗斯在乌克兰战争中的无人机使用,以及近期在波兰、爱沙尼亚和丹麦发生的领空侵犯事件,都促使北约成员国重新评估并加强其空中防御能力,特别是针对低成本、高效率的无人机攻击。

⚖️ 各国加强空中防御措施:面对日益增长的无人机威胁,一些北约国家已开始采取更强硬的立场。立陶宛授权军队击落非法侵入其领空的无人机,波兰表示将击落威胁性航空器,而北约秘书长也表示联盟成员国可以打击侵入北约领空的俄罗斯军机。然而,在展示力量的同时避免不必要的升级,是北约面临的一个关键难题。

F-35 fighter jet pictured at the Skrydstrup base of the Royal Danish Air Force in Denmark in September 2023, the same base where Denmark reported drones.

Amid what it described as a "hybrid attack," NATO ally Denmark said drones were spotted near an airbase housing F-16 and F-35 fighter jets. Drones also disrupted airports across the country.

Danish officials reported drone sightings near multiple airports Wednesday night and early Thursday morning, with the military saying it saw drones at "several military installations."

Among those bases was the Skrydstrup airbase, which houses Denmark's fourth-generation F-16s and fifth-generation F-35 stealth fighters, the latter being among the most advanced combat airpower available in the NATO arsenal.

Drones led to the shutdown of Denmark's Aalborg Airport, used for both commercial and military flights, for three hours. Billund Airport was down for an hour. Drones were also seen near the Esbjerg and Sonderborg airports. The incident came days after drones interrupted operations at Copenhagen airport.

A Danish F-16 aircraft at Skrydstrup Air Base.

Denmark blamed no specific actor, but it did characterize it as a deliberate kind of attack. Defense Minister Troels Lund Poulsen said that "everything points to this being the work of a professional actor" and said "this is what I would define as a hybrid attack using different types of drones." He said there was no immediate evidence that Russia was responsible. Police are investigating further.

Peter Hummelgaard, Denmark's justice minister, said the motivation behind the recent attacks is "to create fear" and create division, saying no options are being ruled out for who is responsible.

NATO's already on edge

The drone incidents in Denmark come at a time when NATO is already on edge due to recent Russian incursions, both with drones and fighter aircraft. Officials and experts suspect Russia is engaging in a shadow war, testing alliance defenses and responses.

Russian drones violated NATO ally Poland's airspace earlier this month and were shot down by NATO jets, temporarily stopping an airport's operations. Russia said the drones were not there intentionally, saying they veered off course, but Poland's defense minister categorically rejected the claim and instead described it as a deliberate targeting of its sovereign airspace.

And then last week, Estonia reported that three Russian MiG-31 interceptor aircraft violated its airspace, staying for 12 minutes. Moscow said it never entered Estonian airspace.

MiG-31

And then Denmark's Copenhagen airport closed on Monday due to drones. Denmark's prime minister, Mette Frederiksen, said she could not rule out Russia being responsible for that, calling it "the most serious attack on Danish critical infrastructure to date."

She said motives could be "to disrupt and create unrest, to cause concern, to see how far you can go and test the limits." Russia called it a "staged provocation" and denied any involvement.

Defenses and responses

Recent events have sparked new concerns across NATO about how to defend airspaces from new and old threats, a concern already weighing heavily on the alliance from watching how Russia is fighting in Ukraine.

That war, in which Russia has launched huge drone and missile barrages into Ukraine, has shown NATO that it needs significantly more ground-based air defenses, something that has not been prioritized since the end of the Cold War.

The conflict, among other incidents, has also shown a need for strong, appropriate defenses against the threat of drones, which can be obtained cheaply and employed for reconnaissance and strike purposes against high-value targets. The low price point makes using expensive air-to-air missiles problematic, and some inexpensive electronic warfare solutions can't be effectively employed in civilian areas, a challenge with certain kinetic options as well.

Michael Hyldgaard, Denmark's chief of defence, said the drones seen on Wednesday and Thursday were not shot down to keep the population safe. Poulsen also said that the military is able to shoot down the drones, but added there isn't a direct military threat against Denmark that requires doing so.

Recent events have, however, sparked new discussions about shooting down perceived threats within NATO airspace.

Lithuania's parliament passed a law that authorized its armed forces to shoot down any drones that unlawfully enter its airspace, regardless of whether they directly pose a threat. Poland's prime minister said that his country would shoot down a threatening aerial object that violates its airspace. And NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said alliance members could target any Russian combat aircraft that enter NATO airspace.

Others, like Sweden, have also issued warnings. A key challenge for NATO, though, is showing strength without risking possibly unnecessary escalation. Hybrid attacks, or gray zone aggression, only complicate things further.

Many countries say they are constantly fighting Russian hybrid threats, like cyber attacks, assassination attempts, interference in democracy, and signal jamming — real threats that are not traditionally met with a hard power response.

Amid debates on how to properly respond to these challenges, the frequency of incidents has been on the rise. Hummelgaard, while not pointing at Russia for the recent incident, said the hybrid threats Denmark is seeing are "here to stay," saying there have been "deeply worrying incidents across Europe."

Read the original article on Business Insider

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丹麦 无人机 混合攻击 北约 空军基地 机场 空中防御 Denmark Drones Hybrid Attack NATO Airbase Airports Air Defense
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