在Hidden Forces第387期中，Demetri Kofinas与政治分析师、作家及“Beyond the Polls”主持人Henry Olsen讨论了2024年总统大选的形势。Olsen分析了各候选人在关键摇摆州和选区的表现，比较了与2020年相比的提前投票频率，并分享了其关注的预测指标。他认为此次大选可能比2000年小布什与戈尔的大选更接近，当时最终由537票的微弱优势及佛罗里达最高法院暂停进一步计票决定胜负。由于美国社会与二十年前已大不相同，任何类似情景的走向仍难以预测。节目还讨论了特朗普胜选的经济影响、J.D. Vance在共和党内的潜在转型作用，以及民主党失利对其党派重组的影响等。

🔍 Henry Olsen分析各候选人在关键摇摆州和选区的表现，指出这些地区将决定2024年总统大选的胜负。

🗳️ Olsen比较了2024年与2020年相比的提前投票频率，并强调提前投票的重要性及其对选举结果的影响。

📊 他认为2024年大选可能比2000年小布什与戈尔的大选更为接近，当时最终由537票的微弱优势及佛罗里达最高法院的裁决决定胜负。

⏳ 由于美国社会与二十年前已大不相同，任何类似2000年情景的走向在2024年仍难以预测。

💰 节目讨论了特朗普胜选可能带来的经济影响，以及不同候选人当选对国家经济政策的潜在差异。

🗡️ J.D. Vance被视为共和党内的潜在转型人物，其政治立场和影响力可能对共和党的未来走向产生重要作用。

🔁 民主党若在选举中失利，可能对其党派的重组和未来政治策略产生深远影响。

In Episode 387 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with political analyst, author, and host of “Beyond the Polls,” Henry Olsen about the state of the 2024 presidential race and what to expect from what could be the most contested election in American history.

Henry tells us how each candidate is performing in the key swing states and districts that will determine this election, the frequency of early voting and how it compares to 2020, and shares his views on other predictive metrics that he is paying close attention to.

Henry believes that this election could be even closer than the one in 2000 between George W. Bush and Al Gore, an election that was ultimately determined by a narrow margin of 537 votes, along with a ruling by the Florida Supreme court to suspend any further recounts. The country is in a very different place today than it was two decades ago, and how any remotely similar scenario would play out this time is truly anyone’s guess.

Olsen and Kofinas also discuss the economic repercussions of a Trump victory, the role of J.D. Vance as a potentially transformational figure in Republican politics, the effect that a loss on the part of the Democrats would have on their party’s realignment, and much more.

You can subscribe to our premium content and access our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe.

If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe.

If you enjoyed listening to today’s episode of Hidden Forces, you can help support the show by doing the following:

Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed

Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify

Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Subscribe and Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io

Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod

Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas

Episode Recorded on 10/31/2024