在Hidden Forces第386期中，Demetri Kofinas与俄克拉荷马大学中东研究中心主任Joshua Landis探讨了中东的两种可能未来：一是永久冲突、不安全和核扩散的阴影，二是建立在妥协和区域安全上的脆弱但充满希望的和平。Landis教授解释了他为何认为我们正面临选择，以及中东正处于一个转折点，预示着这个饱受冲突困扰地区的未来以及它在全球安全秩序（或混乱）中的地位。对话中讨论了以色列与伊朗的全面战争、黎巴嫩持续战争的影响、以色列对加沙的战争和占领、西岸定居点的扩张、巴勒斯坦独立运动的前景、以色列政治的右倾化、亚伯拉罕协议的地位，以及美国、以色列和沙特阿拉伯之间可能建立的新安全安排和伙伴关系，这可能导致该地区政治和经济现状的历史性重置。

🌍 中东的未来存在两种可能性：一是持续的冲突、不安全和核扩散的威胁，二是建立在妥协和区域安全基础上的脆弱和平。

🇮🇱🇮🇷 以色列与伊朗的全面战争是当前中东地区的主要冲突，其对地区稳定和全球安全秩序的影响重大。

🇱🇧 黎巴嫩持续的战争不仅对该国造成深远影响，也加剧了地区的紧张局势，对地区安全构成威胁。

🇵🇸 巴勒斯坦独立运动的前景受到西岸定居点扩张和以色列政治右倾化的严重影响，独立之路充满挑战。

🤝 亚伯拉罕协议的地位和未来对中东地区的和平进程至关重要，其能否持续和深化将影响地区安全合作的可能性。

In Episode 386 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with the Director of the Center for Middle East Studies at the University of Oklahoma, Joshua Landis about two possible futures for the Middle East: The first will be defined by perpetual conflict, insecurity, and the specter of nuclear proliferation. The second would be defined by a tenuous, albeit hopeful, peace built on compromise and regional security.

Professor Landis explains why he believes that this choice is now upon us and that we are at a turning point in the Middle East that provides us with a glimpse into what the future of this conflict-ridden region will look like and how it will fit into the larger global security order (or disorder) that is currently emerging.

Between the first and second hours of this conversation, Dr. Landis and Kofinas discuss the wider war between Israel and Iran, the implications of the ongoing war in Lebanon, the Israeli war and occupation of Gaza, the expansion of settlements in the West Bank, the future of the Palestinian movement for independent statehood, the rightward shift in Israeli politics, the status of the Abraham Accords, and the prospects for a new security arrangement and partnership between the United States, Israel, and Saudi Arabia that could result in a historic reset of the political and economic status quo in this still vital region of the world.

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Episode Recorded on 10/23/2024