Hidden Forces feed 09月25日
价值投资展望
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在Hidden Forces第402期中,Demetri Kofinas与Holowesko Partners创始合伙人兼首席执行官Mark Holowesko探讨价值投资。Holowesko关注政府债务、全球流动性、美元走势,认为2022年是价值投资的长期转折点。他还分析了美、英、日及中国投资机会,并讨论了黄金和能源行业前景。

📈 价值投资宏观框架:Holowesko强调基于基本面和长期视角的价值投资,关注企业内在价值和市场情绪平衡,认为当前市场波动为优质资产提供了买入机会。

🌍 全球流动性趋势:他分析当前全球流动性环境,指出低利率和量化宽松政策虽刺激短期增长,但长期可能加剧资产泡沫和通胀压力,需警惕流动性退潮风险。

💼 地缘政治影响:Holowesko认为中美竞争加剧影响全球资本配置,美国企业在科技和金融领域的优势仍显著,但欧洲和亚洲市场存在结构性机会,尤其在高股息和防御性板块。

🇬🇧 投资机会区域分布:他推荐英国和日本市场,理由是两国央行逐步收紧货币政策,企业盈利稳定且估值合理,尤其看好金融、医疗和科技行业中的价值洼地。

🇨🇳 中国市场风险评估:Holowesko指出中国投资需谨慎评估监管政策不确定性、汇率波动及环境风险,尽管消费和新能源领域潜力巨大,但外资需关注合规和退出机制。

In Episode 402 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Mark Holowesko, the founding Partner and Chief Executive Officer of Holowesko Partners—a Bahamian-based, value-oriented investment firm that allocates capital across a wide range of industries, geographies, and market capitalizations.

This episode is part of a series in which Demetri interviews value investors, motivated by his concerns about how the global economy’s direction and the ongoing geostrategic competition between the U.S. and China will impact asset markets in the coming years.

In the first hour, Holowesko and Kofinas discuss:

  1. Mark’s macro framework and approach to value investing

  2. His concerns about government debt and its implications for interest rates and inflation

  3. Trends in global liquidity

  4. The future direction of the U.S. dollar

  5. Why Holowesko believes that 2022 marked a long-term turning point for value investing—with enormous implications for investors

In the second hour, Mark and Demetri explore some of the most promising investment opportunities outside the United States—particularly in the UK and Japan—as well as how to assess similar opportunities in China, whether the country is investible, and the risks investors face when deploying capital in Chinese companies and the broader Chinese market. They also delve deeper into Mark’s investment process, his views on the role of gold in one’s portfolio, opportunities in the U.S. energy sector, and much more.

Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe.

If you’d like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe.

If you enjoyed today’s episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by:

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io. Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas

Episode Recorded on 02/11/2025

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相关标签

价值投资 全球流动性 地缘政治 英国投资 日本投资 中国市场风险
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