少点错误 09月25日
AI风险与人类未来
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在2023年,数百位AI专家签署公开信警告人工智能可能带来人类灭绝的风险。然而,全球在应对这一挑战时却毫无准备。本文探讨了两位AI专家Eliezer Yudkowsky和Nate Soares的研究成果,他们分析了超人工智能的可能行为和目标,并指出这些智能体可能会发展出与人类冲突的目标。如果发生冲突,超人工智能将轻易击败人类。文章详细解释了超人工智能如何威胁人类生存,并提出了人类可能生存的唯一途径。

🔍 超人工智能的目标冲突:Eliezer Yudkowsky和Nate Soares的研究表明,足够智能的AI会发展出与人类目标冲突的目标,这些目标可能导致与人类的冲突。

🤖 超人工智能的威胁:如果发生冲突,超人工智能将轻易击败人类,因为它们的智能水平远超人类,能够迅速制定和执行复杂的策略。

🔬 人类生存的唯一途径:文章提出,人类唯一的生存途径是确保超人工智能的目标与人类目标保持一致,这需要全球范围内的合作和谨慎的AI发展策略。

📚 研究成果:两位专家通过理论和实证研究,详细解释了超人工智能可能带来的威胁,并提出了可能的灭绝场景,为人类提供了警示和应对策略。

🌍 全球合作的重要性:文章强调,面对AI带来的挑战,全球必须合作,制定合理的AI发展策略,以避免潜在的灭绝风险。

Published on September 25, 2025 12:53 AM GMT

Not run by me, just someone on Intercom suggested I create a LW event for this public attendance event: https://politics-prose.com/nate-soares?srsltid=AfmBOop6YSCC28w-bAWjxCbfMq6rBibdGhPtZL5OL5zTg3UIfbHD7mLv 

In 2023, hundreds of AI luminaries signed an open letter warning that artificial intelligence poses a serious risk of human extinction. Since then, the AI race has only intensified. Companies and countries are rushing to build machines that will be smarter than any person. And the world is devastatingly unprepared for what would come next.

For decades, two signatories of that letter--Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares--have studied how smarter-than-human intelligences will think, behave, and pursue their objectives. Their research says that sufficiently smart AIs will develop goals of their own that put them in conflict with us--and that if it comes to conflict, an artificial superintelligence would crush us. The contest wouldn't even be close.

How could a machine superintelligence wipe out our entire species? Why would it want to? Would it want anything at all? In this urgent book, Yudkowsky and Soares walk through the theory and the evidence, present one possible extinction scenario, and explain what it would take for humanity to survive.

The world is racing to build something truly new under the sun. And if anyone builds it, everyone dies.

Nate Soares is the President of MIRI. He has been working in the field for over a decade, after previous experience at Microsoft and Google. Soares is the author of a large body of technical and semi-technical writing on AI alignment, has been interviewed in Vanity Fair and the Financial Times, and has spoken on conference panels alongside many of the AI field's leaders.

Soares will be in conversation with Jon Wolfsthal, the Director of Global Risk at FAS. Jon B. Wolfsthal is also a senior adjunct fellow at the Center for a New American Security and member of the Science and Security Board of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. He was appointed to the US Department of State’s International Security Advisory Board in 2022. He served previously as senior advisor to Global Zero in Washington, DC. Before 2017, Mr. Wolfsthal served as Special Assistant to President of the United States Barack Obama for National Security Affairs and is a former senior director at the National Security Council for arms control and nonproliferation. He also served from 2009-2012 as Special Advisor to Vice President Joseph R. Biden for nuclear security and nonproliferation and as a director for nonproliferation on the National Security Council.

This event is free with first come, first served seating.

To request accommodations for this event or to inquire about accessibility please email i><u>events@politics-prose.com</u ideally one week in advance of the event date. We will make an effort to accommodate all requests up until the time of the event.  

Date:Fri, 9/26/2025

Time:7:00pm

Place:

Politics and Prose at The Wharf (610 Water St SW)
610 Water St SW
Washington DC, DC 20024



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AI风险 超人工智能 人类未来 Eliezer Yudkowsky Nate Soares
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