Latest Business News on Fox Business 09月20日 05:34
社保基金面临破产风险,改革方案引发广泛讨论
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美国社会保障基金预计将在2034年面临破产,这一警告引发了关于其未来改革的广泛讨论。社保局官员表示,计划的未来取决于国会的改革措施,所有政策选项都将接受审议。尽管有讨论可能提高退休年龄,但政府方面已明确表示,目前并未考虑此项措施。政府强调将通过削减浪费、欺诈和滥用等方式来确保基金的长期偿付能力。基金的 insolvency 将导致福利金平均削减约24%,除非国会采取行动。可能的改革包括提高工资税率或解除缴费上限。与此同时,公众对退休保障的信心正在动摇,尤其关注市场波动和社保基金的未来。

🚨 **社保基金面临严峻的偿付能力危机:** 美国社会保障基金的两大信托基金预计将在2034年第一季度达到破产状态。这主要是由于劳动者与退休人员的比例下降,导致基金收入不足以支撑日益增长的支出。一旦信托基金耗尽,法律将自动削减福利金,除非国会及时进行改革。

🏛️ **改革方案讨论多元化,但具体措施尚不明朗:** 社保局官员表示,所有政策选项都在考虑范围内,包括提高退休年龄。然而,白宫已明确表态,目前不考虑提高退休年龄,并将继续致力于削减浪费、欺诈和滥用,以维护基金的长期健康。其他讨论的选项还包括提高工资税率或解除缴费上限。

📉 **公众对退休保障的信心动摇:** 近期研究显示,美国民众的退休信心正在下降,许多人担心在退休后耗尽资金,甚至超过对死亡的担忧。市场波动和对社会保障未来不确定性的担忧加剧了这种焦虑,特别是对X世代而言。

🤝 **国会合作是关键:** 社保局官员强调,确保社会保障的未来需要社保局、财政部、劳工部、卫生与公众服务部以及白宫的共同努力,但最终的改革方案将由国会来制定和实施。这需要时间,但目前仍有充足的时间来制定和通过必要的改革。

Facing warnings that Social Security could become insolvent by 2034, administration officials say the program’s future depends on reforms from Congress, with all policy options expected to be debated.

"I think everything’s being considered, will be considered," Social Security Administration Commissioner Frank Bisignano said on "Mornings with Maria" Thursday. He was responding to host Maria Bartiromo asking whether he "would consider raising the retirement age."

Following the segment, Bisignano issued a statement to Fox News Digital clarifying the administration’s stance.

"Let me be clear: President Trump and I will always protect Social Security. That's why we have made many vital reforms, such as cutting waste, fraud, and abuse from the program, to ensure the solvency of Social Security for future generations of Americans. Raising the retirement age is not under consideration at this time by the Administration."

"Remember, most people told you and me Social Security wasn't going to be around," he said. "And so the generations that are coming in will probably have a different set of rules than we had," he added, responding to Bartiromo’s question about whether he is considering the fact that younger generations may face different retirement expectations.

Social Security's two main trust funds are projected to reach insolvency on a combined basis in the first quarter of 2034, in part because the ratio of workers to retirees has declined over time from 16.5 workers per retiree in 1950, to 3.3 in 1985, and about 2.8 in 2013, according to Social Security Administration data.

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Once the trust funds are tapped out, the program would face an automatic benefit cut by law to match incoming payroll tax receipts unless Congress reforms the program. Insolvency would leave beneficiaries facing an estimated 24% benefit cut on average, according to an analysis by the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

Social Security's trustees estimated that Congress would need to raise payroll taxes by 3.65 percentage points — an increase from 12.4% to 16.05% — on a permanent basis to close the program's 75-year funding shortfall.

When asked by Bartiromo if raising the retirement age would "save a lot of money" and help policymakers, Bisignano responded that "there's a whole host of items out there that can be beneficial to get to the answer."

"It needs, really, to be the trustees, which are the four of us — myself, the Treasury secretary, the labor secretary, the HHS secretary — the White House, which is completely committed to protect and preserve Social Security, and then Congress," he explained. "And that's where the real work will happen. And that'll take a while, but we have plenty of time."

A recent retirement study from Allianz Life found that retirement confidence is tightening, as only 28% of Americans feel certain in their ability to financially support their life goals, down 13 points since 2020.

Concerns about market volatility and the future of Social Security have also surged among Gen X, and, more significantly, 70% of respondents said they worry more about running out of money in retirement than they do about dying.

Besides raising the retirement age, Bisignano said there’s also talk about lifting the contribution cap.

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"That number will continue to increase also, of where the max is, and that's another thing that people put in the equation to think about," Bisignano said. "Eight years is a long time away. We're less than 200 days into this administration, and we need Congress to partner with us."

An SSA spokesperson further stressed the administration’s commitment, telling Fox News Digital:

"The Trust Fund trustees, Congress, and other stakeholders all play a role in ensuring that Social Security benefits will continue for generations to come. As a trustee, Commissioner Bisignano is committed to ensuring the long-term financial health of the trust funds, in line with President Trump's pledge to protect and preserve Social Security. The latest analysis of the trust fund fails to take into account the efficiencies being spearheaded by Commissioner Bisignano and the expected economic growth due to President Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill."

"The plan was [to] get this to be a great service provider for the American public, and then, with Ways and Means and with [the] Senate, come together with a plan," Bisignano told Bartiromo. 

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FOX Business’ Eric Revell contributed to this report.

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Social Security 社保 美国 退休 改革 Insolvency Trust Funds Retirement Age Payroll Tax Retirement Confidence
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