Latest Business News on Fox Business 09月20日 02:28
社保基金面临挑战,或考虑调整退休年龄
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美国社会保障基金预计将在2034年面临资金枯竭的风险,届时将自动削减福利。为应对这一危机,特朗普政府正在评估包括提高退休年龄在内的多种方案。社保局官员Frank Bisignano表示,所有选项都在考虑之中,并强调了跨部门合作及国会参与解决问题的必要性。同时,研究显示美国民众的退休信心正在下降,对未来财务状况的担忧加剧,特别是担心在退休后耗尽积蓄。除了提高退休年龄,提高社保缴费上限也被提及为可能的解决方案。

📈 **社保基金面临严峻的财务挑战**:数据显示,美国社会保障基金的两大信托基金预计将在2034年第一季度面临资金枯竭。这主要是由于退休人员与在职工人比例的下降,从1950年的16.5:1下降到2013年的约2.8:1。一旦信托基金耗尽,除非国会改革,否则社保项目将面临自动福利削减,可能导致平均24%的福利损失。

⚖️ **多项改革措施被纳入考量范围**:为应对社保基金的长期资金缺口,政府正在评估包括提高法定退休年龄在内的多种潜在解决方案。社保局官员Frank Bisignano证实,所有选项都在考虑之列。此外,提高社保缴费上限(即提高最高缴费额的收入门槛)也被提及为另一项可能的措施,旨在增加基金收入。

😟 **民众退休信心动摇,担忧加剧**:近期研究表明,美国民众对退休财务状况的信心正在收紧。仅有28%的美国人对能够财务支持其人生目标感到确定,较2020年下降了13个百分点。尤其是“X世代”和更年轻的群体,对市场波动和社保未来的担忧显著增加,高达70%的受访者表示比担心死亡更担心在退休后耗尽积蓄。

🤝 **解决之道需多方合作**:社保局局长Bisignano强调,解决社保基金的长期资金问题需要社保信托基金的四位成员(社保局局长、财政部长、劳工部长、卫生与公众服务部长)、白宫以及国会之间的紧密合作。他指出,这项工作将需要时间,但目前仍有充足的时间来制定和实施有效的改革方案。

With hopes of avoiding Social Security insolvency, the Trump administration is reportedly evaluating all available options, including raising the retirement age.

"I think everything’s being considered, will be considered," Social Security Administration Commissioner Frank Bisignano said on "Mornings with Maria" Thursday. He was responding to host Maria Bartiromo asking whether he "would consider raising the retirement age."

"Remember, most people told you and me Social Security wasn't going to be around," he said. "And so the generations that are coming in will probably have a different set of rules than we had," he added, responding to Bartiromo’s question about whether he is considering the fact that younger generations may face different retirement expectations.

Social Security's two main trust funds are projected to reach insolvency on a combined basis in the first quarter of 2034, in part because the ratio of workers to retirees has declined over time from 16.5 workers per retiree in 1950, to 3.3 in 1985, and about 2.8 in 2013, according to Social Security Administration data.

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Once the trust funds are tapped out, the program would face an automatic benefit cut by law to match incoming payroll tax receipts unless Congress reforms the program. Insolvency would leave beneficiaries facing an estimated 24% benefit cut on average, according to an analysis by the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

Social Security's trustees estimated that Congress would need to raise payroll taxes by 3.65 percentage points — an increase from 12.4% to 16.05% — on a permanent basis to close the program's 75-year funding shortfall.

When asked by Bartiromo if raising the retirement age would "save a lot of money" and help policymakers, Bisignano responded that "there's a whole host of items out there that can be beneficial to get to the answer."

"It needs, really, to be the trustees, which are the four of us — myself, the Treasury secretary, the labor secretary, the HHS secretary — the White House, which is completely committed to protect and preserve Social Security, and then Congress," he explained. "And that's where the real work will happen. And that'll take a while, but we have plenty of time."

A recent retirement study from Allianz Life found that retirement confidence is tightening, as only 28% of Americans feel certain in their ability to financially support their life goals, down 13 points since 2020.

Concerns about market volatility and the future of Social Security have also surged among Gen X, and, more significantly, 70% of respondents said they worry more about running out of money in retirement than they do about dying.

Besides raising the retirement age, Bisignano said there’s also talk about lifting the contribution cap.

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"That number will continue to increase also, of where the max is, and that's another thing that people put in the equation to think about," Bisignano said. "Eight years is a long time away. We're less than 200 days into this administration, and we need Congress to partner with us.

"The plan was [to] get this to be a great service provider for the American public, and then, with Ways and Means and with [the] Senate, come together with a plan."

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FOX Business’ Eric Revell contributed to this report.

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Social Security Retirement Age Financial Challenges Policy Retirement Confidence 社保基金 退休年龄 财务挑战 政策 退休信心
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