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社保基金面临挑战,正评估提高退休年龄等选项
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美国社会保障基金预计将于2034年耗尽,正积极评估多种改革方案以避免破产。其中一项被广泛讨论的选项是提高法定退休年龄。社会保障局局长表示,包括提高退休年龄和调整缴费上限在内的所有可能性都在考虑之中。此举旨在应对日益下降的工龄人口与退休人口比例,确保基金的可持续性。同时,研究显示,美国民众对退休后的财务状况信心下降,对未来资金短缺的担忧加剧,凸显了社保改革的紧迫性。

💰 **社保基金面临支付危机**:据预测,美国的社会保障基金在2034年第一季度将面临破产,届时将无法支付全部应付福利。这主要是由于退休人口的增加和劳动人口的相对减少,导致领取者与缴纳者的比例失衡。

⬆️ **提高退休年龄为主要考量**:为了应对基金的长期可持续性问题,特朗普政府正在评估包括提高法定退休年龄在内的多种方案。社会保障局局长Frank Bisignano表示,所有选项都会被考虑,以期找到解决问题的办法。

⚖️ **多重改革路径并存**:除了提高退休年龄,专家们还在讨论其他潜在的改革措施,例如提高社会保障缴费的上限(contribution cap)。这些措施旨在通过增加收入或减少支出,来弥合基金的长期资金缺口。

😟 **民众退休信心动摇**:一项最新的研究表明,美国民众对退休后的财务状况信心正在收紧,仅有28%的美国人对能够财务支持其生活目标感到确定。与2020年相比,这一比例下降了13个百分点,显示出对未来经济不确定性的普遍担忧。

With hopes of avoiding Social Security insolvency, the Trump administration is reportedly evaluating all available options, including raising the retirement age.

"I think everything’s being considered, will be considered," Social Security Administration Commissioner Frank Bisignano said on "Mornings with Maria" Thursday. He was responding to host Maria Bartiromo asking whether he "would consider raising the retirement age."

"Remember, most people told you and me Social Security wasn't going to be around," he said. "And so the generations that are coming in will probably have a different set of rules than we had," he added, responding to Bartiromo’s question about whether he is considering the fact that younger generations may face different retirement expectations.

Social Security's two main trust funds are projected to reach insolvency on a combined basis in the first quarter of 2034, in part because the ratio of workers to retirees has declined over time from 16.5 workers per retiree in 1950, to 3.3 in 1985, and about 2.8 in 2013, according to Social Security Administration data.

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Once the trust funds are tapped out, the program would face an automatic benefit cut by law to match incoming payroll tax receipts unless Congress reforms the program. Insolvency would leave beneficiaries facing an estimated 24% benefit cut on average, according to an analysis by the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

Social Security's trustees estimated that Congress would need to raise payroll taxes by 3.65 percentage points — an increase from 12.4% to 16.05% — on a permanent basis to close the program's 75-year funding shortfall.

When asked by Bartiromo if raising the retirement age would "save a lot of money" and help policymakers, Bisignano responded that "there's a whole host of items out there that can be beneficial to get to the answer."

"It needs, really, to be the trustees, which are the four of us — myself, the Treasury secretary, the labor secretary, the HHS secretary — the White House, which is completely committed to protect and preserve Social Security, and then Congress," he explained. "And that's where the real work will happen. And that'll take a while, but we have plenty of time."

A recent retirement study from Allianz Life found that retirement confidence is tightening, as only 28% of Americans feel certain in their ability to financially support their life goals, down 13 points since 2020.

Concerns about market volatility and the future of Social Security have also surged among Gen X, and, more significantly, 70% of respondents said they worry more about running out of money in retirement than they do about dying.

Besides raising the retirement age, Bisignano said there’s also talk about lifting the contribution cap.

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"That number will continue to increase also, of where the max is, and that's another thing that people put in the equation to think about," Bisignano said. "Eight years is a long time away. We're less than 200 days into this administration, and we need Congress to partner with us.

"The plan was [to] get this to be a great service provider for the American public, and then, with Ways and Means and with [the] Senate, come together with a plan."

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FOX Business’ Eric Revell contributed to this report.

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社会保障 退休年龄 基金可持续性 社保改革 Social Security Retirement Age Fiscal Sustainability Social Security Reform
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