cs.AI updates on arXiv.org 09月17日
MEGAN:多专家门控网络提升医疗AI不确定性量化
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本文提出MEGAN,一种基于Evidential Deep Learning的多专家门控网络,通过聚合不同专家的预测和不确定性估计,有效提升医疗AI模型的不确定性量化,并在溃疡性结肠炎疾病严重度估计中显著提升模型性能。

arXiv:2509.12772v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential in medical AI. Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) offers a computationally efficient way to quantify model uncertainty alongside predictions, unlike traditional methods such as Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout and Deep Ensembles (DE). However, all these methods often rely on a single expert's annotations as ground truth for model training, overlooking the inter-rater variability in healthcare. To address this issue, we propose MEGAN, a Multi-Expert Gating Network that aggregates uncertainty estimates and predictions from multiple AI experts via EDL models trained with diverse ground truths and modeling strategies. MEGAN's gating network optimally combines predictions and uncertainties from each EDL model, enhancing overall prediction confidence and calibration. We extensively benchmark MEGAN on endoscopy videos for Ulcerative colitis (UC) disease severity estimation, assessed by visual labeling of Mayo Endoscopic Subscore (MES), where inter-rater variability is prevalent. In large-scale prospective UC clinical trial, MEGAN achieved a 3.5% improvement in F1-score and a 30.5% reduction in Expected Calibration Error (ECE) compared to existing methods. Furthermore, MEGAN facilitated uncertainty-guided sample stratification, reducing the annotation burden and potentially increasing efficiency and consistency in UC trials.

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医疗AI 不确定性量化 多专家门控网络 Evidential Deep Learning 溃疡性结肠炎
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