Fortune | FORTUNE 09月16日
参议院批准特朗普经济顾问进入美联储理事会
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美国参议院以48票对47票的结果,基本按党派路线批准了总统特朗普的一位重要经济顾问加入美联储理事会。此次任命引发了对美联储独立性的担忧,因为该顾问此前表示将保留其白宫职位,尽管会休无薪假。参议院民主党人批评此举将使美联储沦为总统的传声筒。该顾问将填补一个未届期满的职位,并表示若被任命长期职位将辞去白宫职务。与此同时,特朗普试图罢免另一位美联储理事的努力遭遇法律阻碍。此任命正值美国经济面临通胀居高不下和招聘放缓的双重挑战之际,美联储预计将在此次会议后降低利率。

✅ 参议院批准特朗普经济顾问Stephen Miran进入美联储理事会,投票结果为48-47,基本遵循党派路线。此举将增加白宫对美联储的影响力,尤其是在美联储预计将降息前夕。

⚠️ 此任命引发了对美联储独立性的担忧。民主党人批评Miran打算保留白宫职位(即使是无薪休假),认为这与独立性相悖,并称他将成为“特朗普的传声筒”。Miran表示,若被任命为长期职位,他将辞去白宫职务。

⚖️ Miran的任命是在特朗普试图罢免另一位美联储理事Lisa Cook遭遇法律挑战的背景下发生的。Cook成功阻止了罢免,联邦法院和上诉法院均驳回了政府的罢免理由。

📈 美联储正面临复杂经济形势:通胀仍高于目标,但增速放缓;就业增长明显减弱,失业率上升。经济学家预测美联储将在近期会议后降息,但特朗普要求幅度更大。

The Senate has approved one of President Donald Trump’s top economic advisers for a seat on the Federal Reserve’s governing board, giving the White House greater influence over the central bank just two days before it is expected to vote in favor of reducing its key interest rate.

The vote to confirm Stephen Miran was largely along party lines, 48-47. He was approved by the Senate Banking Committee last week with all Republicans voting in favor and all Democrats opposed.

Miran’s nomination has sparked concerns about the Fed’s longtime independence from day-to-day politics after he said during a committee hearing earlier this month that he would keep his job as chair of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, though would take unpaid leave. Senate Democrats have said such an approach is incompatible with an independent Fed.

Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer said ahead of the vote that Miran “has no independence” and would be “nothing more than Donald Trump’s mouthpiece at the Fed.”

The vote was along party lines, with Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski the only Republican to vote against Miran.

Miran is completing an unexpired term that ends in January, after Adriana Kugler unexpectedly stepped down from the board Aug. 1. He said if he is appointed to a longer term he would resign from his White House job. Previous presidents have appointed advisers to the Fed, including former chair Ben Bernanke, who served in president George W. Bush’s administration. But Bernanke and others left their White House jobs when joining the board.

Miran said during his Sept. 4 hearing that, if confirmed, “I will act independently, as the Federal Reserve always does, based on my own personal analysis of economic data.”

Last year, Miran criticized what he called the “revolving door” of officials between the White House and the Fed, in a paper he co-wrote with Daniel Katz for the conservative Manhattan Institute. Katz is now chief of staff at the Treasury Department.

Miran’s approval arrives as Trump’s efforts to shape the Fed have been dealt a setback elsewhere. He has sought to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook, who was appointed by former President Joe Biden to a term that ends in 2038. Cook sued to block the firing and won a first round in federal court, after a judge ruled the Trump administration did not have proper cause to remove her.

The administration appealed the ruling, but an appeals court rejected that request late Monday.

Members of the Fed’s board vote on all its interest rate decisions, and also oversee the nation’s financial system.

The jockeying around the Fed is occurring as the economy is entering an uncertain and difficult period. Inflation remains stubbornly above the central bank’s 2% target, though it hasn’t risen as much as many economists feared when Trump first imposed sweeping tariffs on nearly all imports. The Fed typically would raise borrowing costs, or at least keep them elevated, to combat worsening inflation.

At the same time, hiring has weakened considerably and the unemployment rate rose last month to a still-low 4.3%. The central bank often takes the opposite approach when unemployment rises, cutting rates to spur more borrowing, spending and growth.

Economists forecast the Fed will reduce its key rate after its two-day meeting ends Wednesday, to about 4.1% from 4.3%. Trump has demanded much deeper cuts.

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美联储 Stephen Miran 美国参议院 货币政策 经济顾问 Federal Reserve Stephen Miran US Senate Monetary Policy Economic Advisor
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