All Content from Business Insider 09月12日
科技巨头AI投入或面临风险
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亿万富翁、“债券之王”比尔·格罗斯警告称,科技巨头在人工智能领域的巨额投入可能面临“错配投资”的风险。他指出,微软、亚马逊等公司正竞相在AI领域建立垄断地位,为此不惜重金投入数据中心、芯片和服务器等基础设施。然而,这种激进的投入策略也意味着部分公司可能无法脱颖而出,导致现有趋势和基于这些趋势的股价大幅回调。格罗斯强调,AI竞赛中的失败者可能会看到其股票价值受到显著影响。

💰 **AI投入的“错配投资”风险**:比尔·格罗斯认为,科技巨头在人工智能领域的巨额投入存在“错配投资”的风险。公司们为了争夺AI领域的垄断地位,不惜投入巨资,但这种策略可能导致部分公司在竞争中失败,从而造成资金的浪费。

🏢 **基础设施投入巨大且集中**:文章特别提到了AI数据中心以及亚马逊、Meta、微软、甲骨文等公司在这些基础设施上投入的“数千亿美元”。这表明AI产业的扩张高度依赖于硬件和算力支持,也预示着相关电力供应商也在积极准备。

📈 **AI热潮下的股价波动**:AI的巨大热度已经显著推升了科技股的价格,包括英伟达、微软、苹果等九家科技巨头的市值已翻倍,总市值超过22万亿美元。然而,格罗斯的警告暗示,如果AI竞赛的结果不尽如人意,这些基于AI预期的股价可能会出现大幅下跌。

Bill Gross

US tech titans are spending huge sums to win the AI race — and the ones that lose could see their stock prices take a hit, "Bond King" Bill Gross has warned.

The billionaire investor gave his thoughts to Business Insider after Oracle's market value surged by as much as 43%, or nearly $300 billion, on Wednesday, thanks to an AI-driven revenue projection.

"My biggest concern is what economists refer to as 'malinvestment,' Gross said in an email.

Gross — who cofounded the fixed-income titan PIMCO and grew its flagship Total Return Fund to $270 billion over nearly three decades — said the tech giants are racing to dominate various AI sectors and "seem willing to risk over-investment in hopes of future monopolies."

"Some will fail and current trends — and stock prices based on them — may experience significantly reduced growth," Gross said.

He singled out AI data centers and the "hundreds of billions" being spent on them by companies like Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle. Electricity providers are also "gearing up to supply them," he added.

AI companies are investing vast sums in microchips, servers, and other infrastructure they need to build and train increasingly advanced models and harness AI in other ways.

Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet are poised to invest more than $300 billion into AI this year.

The immense buzz around AI has lit a fire under tech stocks.

Shares of the nine most valuable tech companies — Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Broadcom, Tesla, and Oracle — have all more than doubled since the start of 2023, with Nvidia surging about 12-fold and Meta leaping around six-fold. The group's combined market value now exceeds $22 trillion.

Read the original article on Business Insider

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人工智能 AI投资 科技巨头 比尔·格罗斯 错配投资 AI Artificial Intelligence AI Investment Tech Giants Bill Gross Malinvestment
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