Fortune | FORTUNE 09月04日
Kraft Heinz拆分,Buffett投资失误
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2015年由沃伦·巴菲特和巴西私募股权公司3G Capital创建的包装食品巨头Kraft Heinz正式宣布分拆。此次拆分将公司分为两家上市公司,一家专注于经典Heinz产品如酱料、涂抹酱和调味品,另一家则包含奥斯卡迈耶、卡夫麦片和乐事等北美食品。拆分旨在简化资本配置并聚焦营销策略,但分析师质疑此举能否改变消费者对加工食品的需求下降趋势。巴菲特对此次拆分表示失望,承认对卡夫的收购过高。

💰 沃伦·巴菲特对卡夫的收购失误:自2015年合并以来,Kraft Heinz股价下跌超过570亿美元,巴菲特承认为卡夫支付过高价格。

🚫 消费者对加工食品的需求下降:十年来,Kraft Heinz业绩不佳,消费者转向更健康的食品选择,对传统包装食品品牌的需求减少。

🤔 分拆能否解决问题:分析师质疑拆分能否提升品牌价值,因为消费者可能不会因为品牌独立而改变对加工食品的偏好。

🗓️ 拆分计划:公司计划到2026年底完成拆分,分为专注于经典Heinz产品的Global Taste Elevation Co.和包含奥斯卡迈耶等品牌的North American Grocery Co。

🎯 营销策略聚焦:拆分旨在让每家公司都能更专注地分配资源和营销支持,但效果仍不确定。

Kraft Heinz, the packaged-food giant created in 2015 by Warren Buffett and Brazilian private equity firm 3G Capital, is officially breaking up. The Tuesday announcement ends one of Buffett’s highest-profile bets—and one of his most painful—as the merger that once promised efficiency and dominance instead wiped out roughly $57 billion, or 60%, in market value.

Shares slid 7% after the announcement, and Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway still owns a 27.5% stake, was blunt about his feelings.

“It certainly didn’t turn out to be a brilliant idea to put them together, but I don’t think taking them apart will fix it,” he told CNBC, adding he was “disappointed” by the decision.

A split in two

The company announced that it will divide into two publicly traded businesses by late 2026:

    Global Taste Elevation Co. will be focused on classic Heinz items, such as sauces, spreads, and condiments, Heinz ketchup, Kraft Mac & Cheese, and Philadelphia cream cheese among them.
    North American Grocery Co. will be home to iconic staples like Oscar Mayer, Kraft Singles, Maxwell House, and Lunchables. Current CEO Carlos Abrams-Rivera will lead this unit, while the board searches for a new leader for Global Taste Elevation.

Executive chair Miguel Patricio launched the move as a way to simplify capital allocation and sharpen strategic focus on a marketing level.

“We can allocate the right level of attention and resources to unlock the potential of each brand,” he told the Wall Street Journal.

The separation comes after a decade of underperformance. Since Kraft and Heinz merged in 2015, the stock has lost more than $57 billion in market capitalization, been battered by $15 billion in write-downs, and weathered waves of consumer rejection as shoppers turn away from processed staples.  

Buffett has been candid about the misstep. In 2019, he admitted Berkshire had “overpaid for Kraft.” Since then, the Oracle of Omaha has written down billions on the stake, while 3G Capital quietly headed for the exit, leaving Berkshire as the mostly exposed, and bruised, shareholder.

Will a split help?

The separation poses a tougher problem for investors: If consumers are fleeing “old” grocery brands that haven’t adapted to the health and wellness standards of today, why should separate brands fare better in the same silos?

“More marketing support isn’t some form of magic elixir,” analyst and Yahoo Finance executive editor Brian Sozzi wrote on LinkedIn about the deal. 

TD Cowen’s Robert Moskow argued to the Journal that food conglomerates often overestimate the benefits of size. “Food companies have found that their breadth of influence in the grocery store does not necessarily yield the advantages they expected,” he said. 

In other words, breaking Kraft Heinz into two units may clear up some bureaucratic inefficiencies, but it doesn’t change the fact that there’s simply less customer demand for hot dogs or processed foods like Lunchables. For Buffett, the split is a symbolic closing chapter on a rare investing miscalculation. As the Oracle of Omaha prepares to hand over the reins to Greg Abel at year’s end, Kraft Heinz will stand as a cautionary tale: Even the most iconic brands can’t outrun shifting consumer tastes.

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Kraft Heinz 沃伦·巴菲特 3G Capital 包装食品 分拆 消费者趋势
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