作者看到EY关于预购新书重要性的Twitter推文后，开始重新考虑预购行为。尽管预购书籍的费用不是问题，但作者面临支付困难，因制裁无法直接付款，而绕过制裁的方式又过于复杂。同时，作者不愿通过支付信息进行“去匿名化”，也对加密货币的风险感到担忧。作者质疑预购的必要性，担心自己是否处于一个错误的思考框架中，并向社区寻求建议，包括正确的思考方式、需要考虑的因素，以及在符合自身限制的情况下如何进行预购。作者还设想了一种可能的不寻常的解决方案，即找到愿意代为预购的人，并承诺未来以调整后的加密货币支付。

💰 **预购新书的动机与疑虑**：作者因EY的推文开始考虑预购新书，虽然经济上没有压力，但对预购的实际价值和必要性存有疑问，尤其担心这是否会带来实际的益处，以及这种行为是否值得付出额外的努力。

💳 **支付障碍与匿名性考量**：作者因制裁无法直接支付，尝试通过其他国家银行卡等方式付款显得过于复杂。同时，作者不愿通过支付行为暴露个人信息，保持匿名性是其重要的考量因素。

🌐 **加密货币的风险与规避**：作者对加密货币的了解有限，担心在不熟悉的情况下使用可能导致资金损失，因此尚未尝试。这进一步增加了其支付的难度和顾虑。

🤔 **寻求正确框架与解决方案**：作者感觉自己陷入了错误的思考模式，不确定该如何正确地看待和处理预购一事。因此，作者公开向社区求助，希望获得关于思考框架、关键考量因素以及可行的预购方式的建议。

🤝 **非传统解决方案的设想**：作者大胆设想了一种非传统的解决方案，即寻找愿意代为预购的人，并承诺未来以通胀和市场增长调整后的加密货币支付。这种设想体现了作者在克服限制条件下的创造性思维。

Published on August 20, 2025 1:39 PM GMT

When I first saw the new I dismissed the idea of actually putting effort into pre-ordering, as I suspect now, because it reminded some part of me about political calls to participate which account very badly in my previous experience.

But now I have seen Twitter post of EY where he says that pre-orders are really important, so I try to reconsider that.

Spend 30$ on that book is not a problem for me, even if I am not sure that it will actually give us any more time being alive.

But in all other senses it looks like a very complicated question to me. I can't pay because of sanctions (I checked on Google play). The ways around I heard about sound insanely complicated eg ordering remotely a card from Kazakhstan. And also I don't want to deanonymise myself by paying requisites. I am not familiar with crypto currency and it's legality, but as I heard it's really easy to lose your money trying to use it without understanding, so I wasn't trying. I am not even sure that I should try to make a way around sanctions, like, EY warns against pre-ordering 100 copies you will not read, what if it is similar?

Also I mostly feel that I am looking at this question stuck in completely wrong framing and I don't know how to solve it.

So I am making an ask to others: what should I do? What is right framing? Which are the factors I should consider? Will it be really important if I will pre-order that book, in the sense that it still costs all unusual to typical reader of call on Twitter problems?

And if it costs it, how should I order that book? I have a feeling in my head that considering which solutions people on lesswrong are ready to consider it may be something really not usual, like finding somebody who will be okay with pre-ordering that book for me now in exchange of me paying in crypto few years later a sum corrected to inflation and market growth and adjusted by manifold estimate of probability of me not paying. If such unusual solutions are in consideration I think it's possible to actually find something which will satisfy all my restrictions. If it costs it at all, because I suppose I probably indeed in some rare part of people who read this call, so even if all people who will think like me will not try to overcome obstacles it still will be tiny loss.

(If I need, I can provide some additional explanations, make corrections into phasing etc, I just really don't want to end up deciding to do it later every time)

Discuss