Fortune | FORTUNE 08月19日
The ‘shadow AI economy’ is booming: Workers at 90% of companies say they use chatbots, but most of them are hiding it from IT
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一项MIT研究发现,尽管企业在生成式AI(GenAI)上投入了巨额资金,但仅有5%的组织看到了变革性的回报,95%的企业在利润和亏损报表中未显示出AI投资的显著影响。然而,研究同时揭示了一个“影子AI”经济:大量员工通过个人账户使用ChatGPT、Claude等消费级AI工具,以自动化日常任务。这种行为往往不为IT部门和高层所知,且其投资回报率(ROI)可能高于正式的企业AI项目。研究指出,员工偏爱个人AI工具的灵活性、易用性和与工作流程的契合度,而企业级解决方案常因集成复杂、界面僵化和缺乏持久记忆而受阻,导致项目停滞不前。

💡 **“影子AI”现象突出,员工私下采用AI工具效率更高。** 研究发现,尽管仅40%的公司购买了官方LLM订阅,但超过90%的公司员工定期使用个人AI工具进行工作,并认为其ROI优于正式的企业AI项目。这表明员工通过个人工具绕过了企业内部的审批流程和技术障碍,实现了更灵活、更高效的工作自动化。

🚀 **企业正式AI项目回报率低迷,主要受限于集成和适应性问题。** 尽管企业在GenAI上投资了数十亿至数百亿美元,但高达95%的企业在利润和亏损报表上未看到显著回报。问题根源并非监管或模型性能,而是企业级AI工具缺乏灵活性、即时效用以及与现有工作流程的良好契合度,这导致许多项目停留在试点阶段。

⚙️ **员工偏好个人AI工具,因其易用性、灵活性和工作流程契合度。** 员工青睐ChatGPT和Copilot等消费级AI工具,因为它们易于使用、适应性强且能立即显现价值,而许多企业定制的解决方案则缺乏这些特质。员工能够根据自身需求定制个人工具,从而加速了AI的采用。

📊 **AI已赢得“简单工作”之战,人类专注于关键任务。** 研究表明,70%的员工倾向于使用AI起草邮件,65%用于基本分析,显示AI在处理重复性、低复杂度的任务方面已占据主导地位。而90%的用户认为“任务关键性工作”应由人类完成,这反映了AI在自动化简单任务方面的优势,也为人类释放精力专注于更复杂的挑战提供了可能。

📉 **关于企业AI的误解:AI取代工作少,企业AI项目“买”优于“建”。** 研究还破除了关于企业AI的五大普遍认知,包括AI取代工作的情况很少,AI并未根本性改变商业运作方式,多数公司已大量投资AI试点项目,以及内部AI开发项目比外部采购方案失败率高一倍。这表明企业在AI战略上需要更明智的选择和更务实的落地方式。

The main thrust of the study is the “GenAI divide“: the finding by MIT that despite $30 billion-$40 billion invested in GenAI initiatives, only 5% of organizations are seeing transformative returns. The vast majority—95%—report zero impact on profit and loss statements from formal AI investments. Lurking under the surface, though, MIT also finds huge engagement with LLM tools on the part of workers, a shadow economy of seemingly widespread AI adoption.

Rather than waiting for official enterprise GenAI projects to overcome technical and organizational hurdles, employees are routinely leveraging personal ChatGPT accounts, Claude subscriptions, and other consumer-grade AI tools to automate tasks. This activity is often invisible to IT departments and C-suites.

“Employees are already crossing the GenAI Divide through personal AI tools. This ‘shadow AI’ often delivers better ROI than formal initiatives and reveals what actually works for bridging the divide,” the report states.

The 40% and 90% split

The study was based on a review of over 300 publicly disclosed AI initiatives, interviews with representatives from 52 organizations, and survey responses from 153 senior leaders.

It reveals that while only 40% of companies have purchased official LLM subscriptions, employees in over 90% of companies regularly use personal AI tools for work. In fact, nearly every respondent reported using LLMs in some form as part of their regular workflow.

Many shadow users describe interacting with LLMs multiple times a day, every workday—with adoption often far outpacing their companies’ sanctioned AI initiatives, which remain stuck in pilot stages.

Project NANDA’s analysis highlights key reasons for this divide:

    Flexibility and immediate utility: Tools like ChatGPT and Copilot are praised for their ease of use, adaptability, and instantly visible value—qualities missing from many custom-built enterprise solutions.Workflow fit: Employees customize consumer tools to their specific needs, bypassing enterprise approval cycles and integration challenges.Low barriers: Shadow AI’s accessibility accelerates adoption, as users can iterate and experiment freely.

As the report notes, “The organizations that recognize this pattern and build on it represent the future of enterprise AI adoption.”

These advantages contrast sharply with official GenAI deployments, where complex integrations, inflexible interfaces, and lack of persistent memory often stall progress. This helps explain a “chasm” in between pilots and production.

The ‘war for simple work’

According to the report, shadow AI usage creates a feedback loop: as employees become more familiar with personal AI tools that suit their needs, they become less tolerant of static enterprise tools.

“The dividing line isn’t intelligence,” the authors write, explaining that the problems with enterprise AI have to do with memory, adaptability, and learning capability.

As a result, 90% of users said they prefer humans to do “mission-critical work,” while AI has “won the war for simple work,” with 70% preferring AI for drafting emails and 65% for basic analysis.

Meanwhile, the study engages in some myth-busting, puncturing five commonly held beliefs about enterprise AI. Contrary to the hype, it finds:

    Few jobs have been replaced by AI.Beyond the limited impact on jobs, generative AI also isn’t transforming the way business is done.Most companies have already invested heavily in GenAI pilots.Problems stem less from regulations or model performance, and more from tools that fail to learn or adapt.Internal AI development “build” projects fail twice as often as externally sourced “buy” solutions.

That being said, the tech sector layoffs of the last several years have become entrenched in the economy, whether they are related to AI adoption or not. And research on the declining wage premium of the college degree suggests that a fundamental shift is occurring in the labor market.

But the AI sector may be hitting a plateau, with the underwhelming launch of OpenAI’s ChatGPT5 leading some prominent writers to wonder: what if this is as good as AI gets?

In fact, the Federal Reserve commissioned several staff economists to consider the question, and their base case is that it will significantly boost productivity. But they also said it could end up having an import more like an invention that literally banished shadows when it appeared over 100 years ago: the light bulb.

For this story, Fortune used generative AI to help with an initial draft. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing. 

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生成式AI 影子AI 企业AI ROI 工作自动化
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