Astral Codex Ten 08月18日
Open Thread 395
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这是一个社区的每周开放讨论帖,鼓励成员们自由发帖、提问或分享任何内容。文中提及了社区的非官方社交平台,如Reddit、Discord和公告板,以及全球范围内的线下聚会活动。大部分内容免费,部分内容仅限订阅用户。作者感谢了ACX Grants的申请者,并表示将尽快公布获奖名单。同时,作者正在进行一项匿名调查,以减少选择性偏差,并邀请大家参与。此外,作者还感谢了在约会和淀粉样蛋白评论区积极参与讨论的用户,并提及了基于这些讨论创建的预测市场。

🌟 **社区互动与资源共享**:该社区鼓励成员在开放帖中自由交流,分享想法、提问,并提供了Reddit、Discord等多个非官方平台以及线下聚会活动,旨在增强社区凝聚力和成员间的互动。

📊 **ACX Grants进展与匿名调研**:作者感谢了ACX Grants的申请者,并计划在10月1日前公布获奖者。同时,为避免选择偏差,作者正在进行一项关于特定事物的匿名在线调研,并邀请用户参与,强调调研时长短且保密。

💬 **用户评论与预测市场**:社区对约会和淀粉样蛋白的评论区进行了管理,并对其中一些具有代表性的评论表示感谢。针对评论区的热烈讨论,作者创建了预测市场,鼓励用户对相关议题进行预测和分析。

This is the weekly visible open thread. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever. ACX has an unofficial subreddit, Discord, and bulletin board, and in-person meetups around the world. Most content is free, some is subscriber only; you can subscribe here. Also:


1: Thanks to everyone who applied to ACX Grants. I still hope to inform winners by October 1. This remains a goal but not a promise.

2: I am wondering about the prevalence of a certain thing and would like to run a survey on it. But if I tell you what it is, then there will be selection bias, since people involved with the thing will be more likely to take a survey about it. So please decide whether you feel like taking a survey, and if so take this one. Once you click on the link you’re committed to taking it whether you think it’s relevant to you or not, and you can’t tell anyone else what it’s about. Don’t worry, it will take less than five minutes, maybe less than one minute if it’s not relevant to you. Yes, I am aware that selection bias is still possible, and I have some hare-brained plans to get around it.

3: Thanks to everyone who posted comments on the dating review (except for people who posted bad comments, who I have banned). I think the prize for the most ACX-stereotype-fulfilling response is this person who is using it as an AI benchmark. Since there was a spirited debate about the author, I’ve created a prediction market here.

4: Thanks to everyone who posted comments on the amyloid review. Chris Strutheo has created a prediction market here about whether the author’s bet will pan out. This time the most ACX-stereotype-fulfilling response is the nominative determinism angle:

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社区 开放讨论 调研 ACX Grants 预测市场
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